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Buducnost Podgorica vs Dečić Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 0-0
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
52%
27%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Buducnost Podgorica are tipped to win this match, with a 52% chance of a home victory, 27% for a draw and 21% for a win by Dečić. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals, a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9% chance. Buducnost, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, while Dečić on the road averages 0.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 74.1% chance that the match will see over 1.5 goals and a 74.0% chance of under 3.5 goals. The recent form narrative shows Buducnost coming off a draw and Dečić on a four-game winning streak, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise. Buducnost Podgorica, fresh from a draw, had been tipped to win with a 52% probability, yet the match ended in a stalemate. The model’s call was wrong. Its other selections were mixed: Over 1.5, with a 74.1% chance, missed, while Under 3.5, also at 74.0%, hit. The game’s most likely score was 1-1 at 12.9%, but the scoreline settled on 0-0, a result that surprised the model’s predictions. The away side, Dečić, continued a four-game winning streak but could not break the deadlock.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✗ Miss
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dečić win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W11D33D31W50W40W30W10W23L31WH·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04A·SUT11/04H·ARS20/04A·BOK26/04H·MOR04/05A·OTR10/05H·JEZ14/05A·JED18/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.630.902.790.932.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.250.832.200.602.291.00
vs Weaker (18)2.890.943.111.112.670.78
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L01L10W20W22D11D22D11DA·PET29/03H·BUD02/04H·SUT06/04A·ARS12/04H·BOK20/04A·MOR26/04H·OTR04/05A·JEZ10/05H·JED14/05H·PET18/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.931.061.000.790.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.920.791.000.750.83
vs Weaker (4)2.001.003.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0 ✓
8.7%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Dečić goals →
01234
08.7%6.0%3.4%1.1%0.3%
111%13%5.6%1.8%0.4%
210%9.6%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.5%5.2%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.2%2.1%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Dečić goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.03 points better than Dečić in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.56 goals better than Dečić in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.06 goals better than Dečić in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 0.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W01L10W10W10W20W10W10W12L11DH·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04A·SUT11/04H·ARS20/04A·BOK26/04H·MOR04/05A·OTR10/05H·JEZ14/05A·JED18/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.070.571.000.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.250.800.200.860.29
vs Weaker (18)1.170.611.220.781.110.44
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D00D00D10W00D11D00DA·PET29/03H·BUD02/04H·SUT06/04A·ARS12/04H·BOK20/04A·MOR26/04H·OTR04/05A·JEZ10/05H·JED14/05H·PET18/05
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.230.380.310.290.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.230.230.290.290.170.17
vs Weaker (4)1.000.251.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W23L21W40W20W20W00D11D20WH·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04A·SUT11/04H·ARS20/04A·BOK26/04H·MOR04/05A·OTR10/05H·JEZ14/05A·JED18/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.431.710.361.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.420.581.400.401.430.71
vs Weaker (18)1.720.331.890.331.560.33
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L01L10W20W12L11D11D11DA·PET29/03H·BUD02/04H·SUT06/04A·ARS12/04H·BOK20/04A·MOR26/04H·OTR04/05A·JEZ10/05H·JED14/05H·PET18/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.690.690.500.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.690.500.710.580.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.752.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BP wins
4
Draws
2
DEČ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Dečić · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/25ADečić Vs BP1-1
01/12/24HBP Vs Dečić3-1
27/09/24ADečić Vs BP0-2
09/04/24ADečić Vs BP1-1
18/02/24HBP Vs Dečić2-2
01/10/23ADečić Vs BP2-0
09/08/23HBP Vs Dečić1-1
15/04/23ADečić Vs BP4-3

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25AJedinstvo Vs BP1-3
14/05/25HBP Vs Jezero2-3
10/05/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs BP0-1
04/05/25HBP Vs Mornar3-0
26/04/25ABokelj Vs BP0-4
20/04/25HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat5-0
11/04/25ASutjeska Vs BP1-3
06/04/25APetrovac Vs BP3-3
02/04/25ADečić Vs BP1-1
29/03/25HBP Vs Jedinstvo5-2

DečićDečić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25HDEČ Vs Petrovac1-1
14/05/25HDEČ Vs Jedinstvo2-2
10/05/25AJezero Vs DEČ1-1
04/05/25HDEČ Vs Otrant-Olympic2-2
26/04/25AMornar Vs DEČ0-2
20/04/25HDEČ Vs Bokelj1-0
12/04/25AArsenal Tivat Vs DEČ1-0
06/04/25HDEČ Vs Sutjeska0-1
02/04/25HDEČ Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
29/03/25APetrovac Vs DEČ0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.08
HomeWWWWL2.20
AwayDWWWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%68%60%
AVG goals3.123.243.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored2.222.402.04
Conceded0.900.840.96
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.50
HomeLWDDD1.60
AwayWDLWD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals1.962.001.92
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %26%32%20%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded0.840.800.88
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet44%48%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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