PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Buducnost Podgorica vs Dečić Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 0-2
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
48%
31%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Buducnost Podgorica's recent form has been impressive, with an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches, including a 1-0 win over Sutjeska. Their home form is solid, conceding just 0.62 goals on average against similar opponents. In contrast, Dečić has struggled on the road, conceding 1.21 goals per game against similar opponents. The expected total goals stands at 2.1, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

The model's selection is the home win with a 48% probability, while the away win and draw probabilities are 21% and 31%, respectively. The most likely score is 1-1 with a 13.9% probability. The home side is expected to score 0.75 goals on average at home, while Dečić's away form sees them scoring 0.79 goals on average against similar opponents. The model's selection is Under 3.5, with an 84.6% probability and a 5% edge.

Results analysis

A stunning upset has unfolded in the Montenegro: First League match between Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić, with the latter claiming a 0-2 victory. This result extends Dečić's winning streak after coming off a win and a previous defeat to Buducnost Podgorica. The pre-match favourite, a home win, was a 48% probability according to the model, but it was wrong in its call. The model's selection, a home win, failed to come through. Meanwhile, the model also suggested an Under 3.5 total goals, which hit with an 84.6% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.16
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.88
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
Dečić win✓ Hit
20.6%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.41
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.59
1xBet
3.58
Dafabet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L02L00D01L00D00D21W11D10WH·JEZ08/04A·SUT12/04H·ARS18/04A·DEČ26/04H·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.901.200.870.800.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.791.000.330.621.12
vs Weaker (16)1.191.001.331.221.000.71
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L42W01L00D11D30W03L12L01L00DA·MLA08/04H·JED12/04A·MOR18/04H·BUD26/04A·PET02/05H·JEZ10/05A·SUT16/05H·ARS20/05A·BOK24/05H·ARS02/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.101.271.000.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.931.111.081.000.791.21
vs Weaker (3)2.331.002.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.3%
@ 1.45-0.9%
Under 1.5
37.7%
@ 2.49+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.59
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
BetVictor
2.44
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.0%
@ 2.37-4.8%
Under 2.5
66.0%
@ 1.50+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.4%
@ 4.38-5.4%
Under 3.5
84.6%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.0%
@ 2.01-5.5%
No
60.0%
@ 1.68+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
No
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
BetVictor
1.67

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.3%@ 5.67+7.8%
0-0
14.0%@ 6.49+7.5%
1-1
13.9%@ 5.63+6.3%
2-0
10.8%@ 8.76+5.9%
0-1
8.4%@ 7.43+2.7%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.86+3.4%
1-2
4.8%@ 11.79+1.2%
3-0
4.7%@ 18.29+2.4%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Dečić goals →
01234
014%8.4%3.7%0.9%0.2%
115%14%4.8%1.2%0.2%
211%8.2%3.1%0.8%0.2%
34.7%3.6%1.4%0.3%0.1%
41.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Dečić goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.60 points worse than Dečić in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.20 goals worse than Dečić in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.60 goals worse than Dečić in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L00D00D00D00D21W01L00DH·JEZ08/04A·SUT12/04H·ARS18/04A·DEČ26/04H·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.300.600.200.130.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.210.360.330.000.120.62
vs Weaker (16)0.500.250.780.330.140.14
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D00D10W10W01L00D00D00DA·MLA08/04H·JED12/04A·MOR18/04H·BUD26/04A·PET02/05H·JEZ10/05A·SUT16/05H·ARS20/05A·BOK24/05H·ARS02/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.330.400.400.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.330.310.380.570.29
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L00D01L00D00D00D10W10WH·JEZ08/04A·SUT12/04H·ARS18/04A·DEČ26/04H·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.600.670.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.670.330.500.50
vs Weaker (16)0.690.750.560.890.860.57
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dečić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DečićDečić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W01L00D01L20W02L12L01L00DA·MLA08/04H·JED12/04A·MOR18/04H·BUD26/04A·PET02/05H·JEZ10/05A·SUT16/05H·ARS20/05A·BOK24/05H·ARS02/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.870.600.270.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.480.780.770.620.210.93
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dečić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.6%1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Dečić have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BP wins
4
Draws
1
DEČ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Dečić · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ADečić Vs BP0-0
01/03/26HBP Vs Dečić0-0
14/12/25ADečić Vs BP1-0
24/08/25HBP Vs Dečić2-0
24/05/25HBP Vs Dečić0-0
02/04/25ADečić Vs BP1-1
01/12/24HBP Vs Dečić3-1
27/09/24ADečić Vs BP0-2

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/26ASutjeska Vs BP0-1
24/05/26APetrovac Vs BP1-1
20/05/26HBP Vs Bokelj2-1
16/05/26HBP Vs Mornar0-0
10/05/26AJedinstvo Vs BP0-0
02/05/26HBP Vs Mladost DG0-1
26/04/26ADečić Vs BP0-0
18/04/26HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat0-2
12/04/26ASutjeska Vs BP2-0
08/04/26HBP Vs Jezero2-0

DečićDečić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HDEČ Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
24/05/26ABokelj Vs DEČ1-0
20/05/26HDEČ Vs Arsenal Tivat1-2
16/05/26ASutjeska Vs DEČ3-0
10/05/26HDEČ Vs Jezero3-0
02/05/26APetrovac Vs DEČ1-1
26/04/26HDEČ Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-0
18/04/26AMornar Vs DEČ1-0
12/04/26HDEČ Vs Jedinstvo4-2
08/04/26AMladost DG Vs DEČ2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.46
HomeWLLDW1.58
AwayLDDDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.242.212.27
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.281.381.19
Conceded0.960.831.08
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Dečić
Dečić
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.32
HomeWDWLD1.58
AwayLLDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.362.542.17
Over 1.5 %64%62%67%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %22%31%12%
Scored1.141.420.83
Conceded1.221.121.33
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners14.0017.0011.00
Cards3.506.001.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

← all matches