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Buducnost Podgorica vs Jedinstvo Result & Analysis

Date: 12/05/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
61%
22%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W21W01L20W12L11D31W13L22D40WH·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04A·JEZ21/04H·SUT27/04A·ARS04/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.202.201.131.601.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.461.232.171.330.861.14
vs Weaker (17)2.241.182.221.002.251.38
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L01L00D02L11D20W13L11D34LA·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04H·JEZ13/04A·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.601.121.441.211.79
vs Stronger (14)0.932.140.751.881.172.50
vs Similar (13)1.381.151.571.141.171.17
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.000.001.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.3%
Under 2.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0 ✓
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Jedinstvo goals →
01234
04.5%3.2%2.3%0.9%0.2%
17.1%9.9%5.0%1.9%0.5%
28.7%9.8%5.5%2.1%0.6%
36.4%7.2%4.0%1.5%0.4%
43.5%3.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Jedinstvo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.00
Dečić
1.94
Mornar
1.78
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Sutjeska
1.47
Jezero
1.42
Petrovac
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.17
Jedinstvo
1.03
Mladost DG
0.92
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.75
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.67 points better than Jedinstvo in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.83
Dečić
1.53
Otrant-Olympic
1.50
Sutjeska
1.28
Mornar
1.25
Jedinstvo
1.21
Arsenal Tivat
1.19
Petrovac
1.17
Jezero
1.14
Mladost DG
1.03
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.69
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.62 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.75
Mornar
0.89
Otrant-Olympic
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Jezero
1.06
Petrovac
1.11
Buducnost Podgorica
1.19
Jedinstvo
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.50
Arsenal Tivat
1.61
Mladost DG
1.63
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.31 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D10W12L01L11D12L11D10WH·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04A·JEZ21/04H·SUT27/04A·ARS04/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.070.530.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.541.000.670.290.43
vs Weaker (17)1.120.591.110.441.120.75
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D01L10W10W02L01L23LA·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04H·JEZ13/04A·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.560.810.570.93
vs Stronger (14)0.431.070.501.120.331.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.710.570.670.83
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W01L10W00D10W20W01L11D30WH·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04A·JEZ21/04H·SUT27/04A·ARS04/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.130.600.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.691.170.670.570.71
vs Weaker (17)1.120.591.110.561.120.62
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L00D01L01L10W11D10W11DA·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04H·JEZ13/04A·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.560.620.640.86
vs Stronger (14)0.501.070.250.750.831.50
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.860.570.500.33
vs Weaker (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica's squad is €2m more valuable than Jedinstvo's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
7
BP wins
0
Draws
0
JED wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Jedinstvo · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/24AJedinstvo Vs BP1-2
11/11/23HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-2
03/09/23AJedinstvo Vs BP1-4
14/05/23AJedinstvo Vs BP1-3
12/03/23HBP Vs Jedinstvo4-0
12/11/22AJedinstvo Vs BP0-1
04/09/22HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-0

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AArsenal Tivat Vs BP0-4
27/04/24HBP Vs Sutjeska2-2
21/04/24AJezero Vs BP3-1
13/04/24HBP Vs Rudar (Montenegro)3-1
09/04/24ADečić Vs BP1-1
03/04/24HBP Vs Mladost DG1-2
30/03/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-0
17/03/24AMornar Vs BP1-0
13/03/24AJedinstvo Vs BP1-2
10/03/24HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat6-0

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24HJED Vs Mornar3-4
27/04/24HJED Vs Arsenal Tivat1-1
21/04/24ASutjeska Vs JED3-1
13/04/24HJED Vs Jezero2-0
07/04/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs JED1-1
03/04/24HJED Vs Dečić0-2
30/03/24HJED Vs Mladost DG0-0
17/03/24APetrovac Vs JED1-0
13/03/24HJED Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2
09/03/24AMornar Vs JED0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.76
HomeWWLWD1.92
AwayWLDLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.283.563.00
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.962.161.76
Conceded1.321.401.24
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners5.753.508.00
Cards3.752.005.50
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.06
HomeDLWDL1.36
AwayDDLDL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%36%16%
AVG goals2.802.642.96
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.221.281.16
Conceded1.581.361.80
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić3670
56%
1.9
5527+28
2.3
69%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
2MornarMornar3664
47%
1.8
4532+13
2.1
50%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
3Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3661
47%
1.7
6643+23
3.0
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.2
-
4SutjeskaSutjeska3653
36%
1.5
4636+10
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.0
-
5JezeroJezero3651
39%
1.4
4138+3
2.2
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
6PetrovacPetrovac3648
31%
1.3
4240+2
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.1
-
7Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3642
25%
1.2
4358-15
2.8
83%
47%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.6
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo3839
24%
1.0
4657-11
2.7
74%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
9Mladost DGMladost DG3835
24%
0.9
3962-23
2.7
76%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
10Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3627
19%
0.8
2554-29
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
11Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Montenegro: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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