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Buducnost Podgorica vs Jedinstvo Result & Analysis

Date: 22/09/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
60%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica wināœ“ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo wināœ— Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W01L10W21W11D20W40W20W11D20WH·MAL18/07A·CSK25/07H·CSK01/08H·PET06/08H·SUT11/08A·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.002.000.801.401.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.251.061.620.880.881.25
vs Weaker (14)2.210.932.430.712.001.14
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W00D12L01L21W10W01L13L11DA·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08A·MOR17/08H·OTR21/08A·JEZ25/08A·PET31/08H·DEČ14/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.331.071.071.121.56
vs Stronger (13)1.081.770.831.671.291.86
vs Similar (15)1.131.071.290.711.001.38
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Jedinstvo goals →
01234
05.5%3.8%2.5%0.9%0.2%
18.3%11%5.1%1.8%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.5%6.8%3.5%1.2%0.3%
43.3%3.5%1.8%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Jedinstvo goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.17 points better than Jedinstvo in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.19).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.25 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.25).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.81 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.61).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L00D10W01L00D10W10W01L10WH·MAL18/07A·CSK25/07H·CSK01/08H·PET06/08H·SUT11/08A·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.800.400.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.310.750.250.380.38
vs Weaker (14)0.790.640.860.570.710.71
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D00D00D10W00D01L02L01LA·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08A·MOR17/08H·OTR21/08A·JEZ25/08A·PET31/08H·DEČ14/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.500.710.440.75
vs Stronger (13)0.380.850.501.000.290.71
vs Similar (15)0.530.730.570.570.500.88
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W11D10W20W30W10W10W10WH·MAL18/07A·CSK25/07H·CSK01/08H·PET06/08H·SUT11/08A·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.531.200.400.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.750.880.620.500.88
vs Weaker (14)1.430.291.570.141.290.43
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D12L01L11D10W00D11D10WA·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08A·MOR17/08H·OTR21/08A·JEZ25/08A·PET31/08H·DEČ14/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.570.360.690.81
vs Stronger (13)0.690.920.330.671.001.14
vs Similar (15)0.600.330.710.140.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.4%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica's squad is €2m more valuable than Jedinstvo's (€3m vs €1m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar attack value (both €1m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jedinstvo have a similar defence value (both €2m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
8
BP wins
0
Draws
0
JED wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Jedinstvo · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24HBP Vs Jedinstvo2-0
13/03/24AJedinstvo Vs BP1-2
11/11/23HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-2
03/09/23AJedinstvo Vs BP1-4
14/05/23AJedinstvo Vs BP1-3
12/03/23HBP Vs Jedinstvo4-0
12/11/22AJedinstvo Vs BP0-1
04/09/22HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-0

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24AJezero Vs BP0-2
31/08/24HBP Vs Otrant-Olympic1-1
25/08/24AMornar Vs BP0-2
21/08/24HBP Vs Bokelj4-0
17/08/24AArsenal Tivat Vs BP0-2
11/08/24HBP Vs Sutjeska1-1
06/08/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-1
01/08/24HBP Vs CSKA 19481-0
25/07/24ACSKA 1948 Vs BP1-0
18/07/24HBP Vs Malisheva3-0

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24HJED Vs Dečić1-1
31/08/24APetrovac Vs JED3-1
25/08/24AJezero Vs JED1-0
21/08/24HJED Vs Otrant-Olympic1-0
17/08/24AMornar Vs JED1-2
11/08/24HJED Vs Bokelj0-1
04/08/24AArsenal Tivat Vs JED2-1
04/06/24HJED Vs Mladost LjeŔkopolje0-0
31/05/24AMladost LjeŔkopolje Vs JED1-3
25/05/24AMladost DG Vs JED1-2

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.68
HomeWWDWD1.88
AwayLLWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals2.903.152.62
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.741.961.50
Conceded1.161.191.12
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners4.673.507.00
Cards3.672.007.00
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.00
HomeWDLWD1.24
AwayWLWLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%32%16%
AVG goals2.742.682.80
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.201.281.12
Conceded1.541.401.68
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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