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Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 19:00
Final 0-1
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✗ Miss
55.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mornar win✓ Hit
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W20W11D20W40W20W10W21W12LA·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09H·JED22/09A·DEČ27/09A·SUT06/10H·ARS19/10A·BOK23/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.802.270.671.330.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.190.811.570.710.890.89
vs Weaker (14)2.500.792.880.622.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D40W22D02L02L21W20W21W11DH·BUD25/08A·SUT31/08H·ARS14/09A·JEZ18/09A·BOK22/09H·PET29/09A·OTR02/10H·JEZ06/10A·JED19/10H·DEČ23/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.620.881.141.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.231.151.570.860.831.50
vs Weaker (4)2.501.502.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Mornar goals →
01234
06.8%4.7%2.9%1.0%0.3%
19.5%12%5.4%1.8%0.5%
29.8%9.9%5.0%1.7%0.4%
36.0%6.1%3.1%1.0%0.3%
42.8%2.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Mornar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.14 points better than Mornar in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 1.39 goals better than Mornar in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.67 goals better than Mornar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W10W01L10W10W10W10W10W01LA·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09H·JED22/09A·DEČ27/09A·SUT06/10H·ARS19/10A·BOK23/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.800.400.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.250.570.290.440.22
vs Weaker (14)0.790.571.000.500.500.67
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W10W01L01L01L20W21W01LH·BUD25/08A·SUT31/08H·ARS14/09A·JEZ18/09A·BOK22/09H·PET29/09A·OTR02/10H·JEZ06/10A·JED19/10H·DEČ23/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.750.500.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.460.500.710.500.170.50
vs Weaker (4)1.751.001.000.502.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W10W10W30W10W00D11D11DA·ARS17/08H·BOK21/08A·MOR25/08H·OTR31/08A·JEZ15/09H·JED22/09A·DEČ27/09A·SUT06/10H·ARS19/10A·BOK23/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.401.470.270.870.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.561.000.430.440.67
vs Weaker (14)1.710.211.880.121.500.33
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W12L01L01L20W00D00D10WH·BUD25/08A·SUT31/08H·ARS14/09A·JEZ18/09A·BOK22/09H·PET29/09A·OTR02/10H·JEZ06/10A·JED19/10H·DEČ23/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.880.380.640.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.650.860.360.671.00
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
BP wins
1
Draws
2
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24AMornar Vs BP0-2
18/05/24HBP Vs Mornar0-1
17/03/24AMornar Vs BP1-0
26/11/23HBP Vs Mornar4-3
16/09/23AMornar Vs BP0-0
25/05/23AMornar Vs BP0-1
01/04/23HBP Vs Mornar2-0
03/12/22AMornar Vs BP1-2

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/24ABokelj Vs BP2-1
19/10/24HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat2-1
06/10/24ASutjeska Vs BP0-1
27/09/24ADečić Vs BP0-2
22/09/24HBP Vs Jedinstvo4-0
15/09/24AJezero Vs BP0-2
31/08/24HBP Vs Otrant-Olympic1-1
25/08/24AMornar Vs BP0-2
21/08/24HBP Vs Bokelj4-0
17/08/24AArsenal Tivat Vs BP0-2

MornarMornar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/24HMOR Vs Dečić1-1
19/10/24AJedinstvo Vs MOR1-2
06/10/24HMOR Vs Jezero2-0
02/10/24AOtrant-Olympic Vs MOR1-2
29/09/24HMOR Vs Petrovac0-2
22/09/24ABokelj Vs MOR2-0
18/09/24AJezero Vs MOR2-2
14/09/24HMOR Vs Arsenal Tivat4-0
31/08/24ASutjeska Vs MOR1-1
25/08/24HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.86
HomeDWDWW2.12
AwayWWWWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.762.962.54
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.782.081.46
Conceded0.980.881.08
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.68
HomeLWLWD1.88
AwayDDLWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.302.232.38
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.281.421.12
Conceded1.020.811.25
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards5.003.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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