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Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
42%
33%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity dominates this encounter, with Buducnost Podgorica averaging 0.7 goals scored and conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, while Petrovac concedes 0.9 goals away and scores only 0.5. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair, expecting just 2.1 goals overall and the most likely total of 2, a 28% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.7% probability, underscoring the evenly matched nature of the sides.

Probabilities for the match result are 40% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 28% for an away win, with the model’s pick being a Buducnost Podgorica victory. Recent form hints at a cautious start: Buducnost comes off a defeat, whereas Petrovac ends a draw.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.9%, Under 6.5 at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 5.5 at 98.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.1%, Under 4.5 at 94.2%, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.5%, and Home +2 handicap at 89.9%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D21W11D10W02L00D12L00DH·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08H·DEČ08/08A·ARS16/08A·MOR21/08H·BOK30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.971.070.870.601.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.641.000.830.500.501.38
vs Weaker (16)1.000.941.221.110.710.71
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W11D11D01L00D30W00D11DH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.2%
Under 1.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.8%
Under 2.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
39.7%
No
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
015%10.0%4.6%1.3%0.3%
115%14%5.4%1.5%0.3%
29.3%7.6%3.1%0.9%0.2%
33.6%3.0%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.20 points worse than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.40 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.40 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Buducnost Podgorica or Draw
75.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
33%
25%
covers Buducnost Podgorica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica or Petrovac
67.0%
Avg Implied -
42%
33%
25%
covers Buducnost Podgorica + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Petrovac
57.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
33%
25%
covers Draw + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5
Over
68.7%
Under
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5
Over
55.9%
Under
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Buducnost Podgorica, so a minus line means Buducnost Podgorica give that many goals of a start and Petrovac receive them. At -1, Buducnost Podgorica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Buducnost Podgorica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Buducnost Podgorica)
Buducnost Podgorica -2
6.2%
Draw -2
12.6%
Petrovac +2
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Buducnost Podgorica)
Buducnost Podgorica -1
18.8%
Draw -1
23.7%
Petrovac +1
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Buducnost Podgorica)
Buducnost Podgorica +1
75.5%
Draw +1
16.3%
Petrovac -1
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Buducnost Podgorica)
Buducnost Podgorica +2
91.8%
Draw +2
6.3%
Petrovac -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D21W01L00D01L00D02L00DH·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08H·DEČ08/08A·ARS16/08A·MOR21/08H·BOK30/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.400.600.270.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.210.570.330.170.120.88
vs Weaker (16)0.500.250.780.330.140.14
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D10W01L00D00D00D01LH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D10W10W01L00D10W00DH·MLA02/05A·JED10/05H·MOR16/05H·BOK20/05A·PET24/05A·SUT03/08H·DEČ08/08A·ARS16/08A·MOR21/08H·BOK30/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.470.600.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.430.430.500.330.380.50
vs Weaker (16)0.500.690.440.780.570.57
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W11D01L00D00D30W00D10WH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 5.598.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.0%-------
Under 4.594.9%-------
Home +2 handicap91.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals88.8%-------
Under 3.586.1%-------
Away +2 handicap81.2%-------
Away under 1.5 goals80.2%-------
Home or Draw75.5%-------
Home +1 handicap75.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BP wins
3
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26APetrovac Vs BP1-1
04/04/26HBP Vs Petrovac1-0
06/12/25APetrovac Vs BP2-1
27/09/25HBP Vs Petrovac1-1
06/04/25APetrovac Vs BP3-3
07/12/24HBP Vs Petrovac3-1
27/11/24APetrovac Vs BP1-4
06/08/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-1

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HBP Vs Bokelj0-0
21/08/26AMornar Vs BP2-1
16/08/26AArsenal Tivat Vs BP0-0
08/08/26HBP Vs Dečić0-2
03/08/26ASutjeska Vs BP0-1
24/05/26APetrovac Vs BP1-1
20/05/26HBP Vs Bokelj2-1
16/05/26HBP Vs Mornar0-0
10/05/26AJedinstvo Vs BP0-0
02/05/26HBP Vs Mladost DG0-1

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPET Vs Mornar1-1
22/08/26AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
16/08/26HPET Vs Jezero3-0
09/08/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs PET0-0
01/08/26HPET Vs Bokelj0-1
24/05/26HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
20/05/26AMornar Vs PET1-1
16/05/26HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
02/05/26HPET Vs Dečić1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.30
HomeLDWLD1.44
AwayDDWDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals1.962.001.92
Over 1.5 %58%60%56%
Over 2.5 %30%28%32%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS36%36%36%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.32
HomeWDLWD1.62
AwayLLDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.162.082.25
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.161.311.00
Conceded1.000.771.25
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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