This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.45
0.36
2.50
0.50
2.40
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
2.50
0.40
2.60
0.60
2.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
12.0%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
Bukovyna goals ↓
Polessya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
13%
12%
6.8%
2.9%
1
5.4%
12%
9.5%
5.4%
2.3%
2
2.6%
4.4%
3.8%
2.1%
0.9%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bukovyna goals (down), columns = Polessya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Polessya
2.55
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Khust City
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
1.91
Karpaty
1.82
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.55
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.55
Prykarpattia
1.36
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.27
Kremin'
1.18
Nyva Ternopil
1.14
Chernihiv
1.09
SK Poltava
1.05
Bukovyna
1.00
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.00
Hirnyk-Sport
0.73
Yarud Mariupol'
0.62
Bukovyna is 1.55 points worse than Polessya in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polessya
2.18
LNZ Cherkasy
1.64
Kremin'
1.59
Karpaty
1.41
Obolon'-Brovar
1.32
SK Poltava
1.18
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.14
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.14
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.09
Prykarpattia
1.09
Nyva Ternopil
1.05
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.05
Khust City
1.00
Yarud Mariupol'
0.96
Bukovyna
0.95
Chernihiv
0.91
Hirnyk-Sport
0.73
Bukovyna is 1.23 goals worse than Polessya in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Khust City
0.50
Polessya
0.55
LNZ Cherkasy
0.64
Obolon'-Brovar
0.73
Nyva Ternopil
0.91
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Karpaty
1.00
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.14
Prykarpattia
1.18
Chernihiv
1.32
Bukovyna
1.36
SK Poltava
1.55
Yarud Mariupol'
1.67
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.73
Hirnyk-Sport
1.77
Kremin'
1.86
Bukovyna is 0.82 goals worse than Polessya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bukovyna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.18
0.55
0.40
0.20
0.00
0.83
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.45
0.09
1.50
0.17
1.40
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.10
1.60
0.20
1.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
91% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bukovyna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.91
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.83
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.27
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.30
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Polessya · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksandr Nazarenko30%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak29%
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi25%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi25%
Igor Krasnopir25%
Mykola Haiduchyk23%
Eduard Sarapiyy18%
Vladyslav Veleten17%
Giorgi Maisuradze17%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Lindon Emërllahu12%
Bohdan Liedniev10%
Talles Costa10%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Mykyta Kravchenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Andi Hadroj0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Yevgen Volynets0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Borys Krushynskyi0%
João Vialle0%
André Gonçalves0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Maksym Melnychenko0%
Yaroslav Karaman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vladyslav Veleten33%
Yaroslav Karaman33%
Borys Krushynskyi31%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi25%
Talles Costa20%
Yevgen Volynets19%
Serhii Chobotenko17%
Oleg Fedor17%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko15%
Eduard Sarapiyy14%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Ilir Krasniqi12%
Mykyta Kravchenko11%
Bohdan Liedniev10%
Oleksandr Nazarenko5%
Ruslan Babenko5%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Andi Hadroj0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Giorgi Maisuradze0%
Mykola Haiduchyk0%
João Vialle0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
André Gonçalves0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Maksym Melnychenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vladyslav Veleten33%
Igor Krasnopir25%
Oleg Fedor17%
Borys Krushynskyi15%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Lindon Emërllahu12%
Bohdan Liedniev10%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak10%
Serhii Chobotenko6%
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi5%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko5%
Oleksandr Nazarenko5%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Mykyta Kravchenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Andi Hadroj0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Yevgen Volynets0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Talles Costa0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Giorgi Maisuradze0%
Mykola Haiduchyk0%
João Vialle0%
André Gonçalves0%
Maksym Melnychenko0%
Yaroslav Karaman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleksiy Gutsulyak29%
Eduard Sarapiyy23%
Tomer Yosefi17%
Mykola Haiduchyk14%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi10%
Bohdan Liedniev10%
Borys Krushynskyi8%
Oleksandr Filippov6%
Oleksandr Nazarenko5%
Ruslan Babenko5%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Mykyta Kravchenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Andi Hadroj0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Yevgen Volynets0%
Vladyslav Veleten0%
Talles Costa0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Giorgi Maisuradze0%
João Vialle0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
André Gonçalves0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Maksym Melnychenko0%
Yaroslav Karaman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (32)
€34m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
CHE (22)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
Bukovyna's squad is €25m less valuable than Polessya's (€9m vs €34m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (9)
€12m
LC (9)
€8m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
OBO (9)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
CHE (4)
€0m
Bukovyna's attack is €8m less valuable than Polessya's (€4m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (9)
€8m
LC (5)
€5m
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
OBO (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
Bukovyna's midfield is €6m less valuable than Polessya's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (14)
€14m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
NT (9)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
Bukovyna's defence is €10m less valuable than Polessya's (€3m vs €14m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →