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Burnley vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 10/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Burnley
Burnley
Vs
43%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: D Webb

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burnley win✓ Hit
42.6%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.97
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.36
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.02
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D10W00D20W11D00D01L00DA·LEE14/09H·POR21/09A·OXF28/09H·PLY01/10H·PRE05/10A·SHE19/10A·HUL23/10H·QPR26/10A·MIL03/11A·WES07/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.151.381.121.24
vs Stronger (5)1.002.600.005.001.252.00
vs Similar (23)1.171.131.251.081.091.18
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D01L00D01L00D01L21W10WH·NOR14/09A·COV21/09H·BRI29/09A·SHE02/10H·STO05/10A·BLA19/10A·SHE22/10H·MIL26/10A·OXF02/11H·WAT05/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.190.621.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.501.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.801.080.540.671.08
vs Weaker (3)2.670.332.000.504.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.8%
@ 2.27+2.0%
Under 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.63-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0 ✓
10.8%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
Burnley goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
010%8.1%5.0%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.3%8.8%4.6%1.6%0.4%
33.8%4.0%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burnley goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Burnley is 0.85 points better than Swansea in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Burnley is 0.39 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Burnley is 0.87 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (0.35 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Burnley is 1.2 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (57% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

For 6.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1708232161843102371624239105171213588612A·WESA·MILH·QPRA·HULA·SHEH·PREH·PLYA·OXFH·PORA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

80332211213412122536411371348A·WESA·MILH·QPRA·HULA·SHEH·PREH·PLYA·OXFH·PORA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 8.7 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

29020612177101541110101214813815413826291719212222211921A·WESA·MILH·QPRA·HULA·SHEH·PREH·PLYA·OXFH·PORA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

16068811066983595538364514916151114101199H·WATA·OXFH·MILA·SHEA·BLAH·STOA·SHEH·BRIA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

503211144214231332235254345455H·WATA·OXFH·MILA·SHEA·BLAH·STOA·SHEH·BRIA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

2809108151314585158149131015512141419232713202222251728H·WATA·OXFH·MILA·SHEA·BLAH·STOA·SHEH·BRIA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.110.64.34.04.621.720.822.5
vs Stronger (11)10.610.510.74.53.84.919.518.220.1
vs Similar (37)10.210.010.54.34.04.622.521.423.6
vs Weaker (2)10.5-10.53.0-3.021.0-21.0
% over line55%45%63%64%50%75%43%32%52%
% under line45%55%37%36%50%25%57%68%48%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.610.94.03.64.422.622.822.4
vs Stronger (6)11.010.711.33.74.03.322.321.323.3
vs Similar (39)10.310.110.54.13.74.622.823.322.4
vs Weaker (5)15.016.014.03.42.74.520.519.521.5
% over line60%58%62%66%62%71%58%58%58%
% under line40%42%38%34%38%29%42%42%42%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.8
Plymouth
11.4
Luton
11.3
QPR
11.3
Sheffield United
11.2
Sheffield Weds
11.2
Derby
11.0
Stoke
11.0
West Brom
10.8
Swansea
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.6
Leeds
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Blackburn
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Watford
10.4
Burnley
10.4
Hull
10.3
Portsmouth
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Oxford
10.2
Sunderland
10.1
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.8
Portsmouth
4.7
Watford
4.4
Burnley
4.4
Plymouth
4.4
Coventry
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.2
QPR
4.2
Millwall
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Leeds
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Middlesbrough
4.1
Oxford
4.1
Luton
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Hull
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Preston
4.0
Derby
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Cardiff
3.6
Bristol City
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.9
Luton
24.3
Preston
23.9
Leeds
23.7
Sunderland
23.7
Watford
23.3
Millwall
23.2
Plymouth
22.9
Coventry
22.8
Sheffield Weds
22.5
QPR
22.4
Swansea
22.3
Hull
22.2
Stoke
21.9
Burnley
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.7
Norwich
21.6
Oxford
21.4
Derby
21.3
Bristol City
21.3
Cardiff
20.8
Blackburn
20.6
Sheffield United
20.4
West Brom
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.8%
Under 21.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L00D10W00D10W01L00D00D00DA·LEE14/09H·POR21/09A·OXF28/09H·PLY01/10H·PRE05/10A·SHE19/10A·HUL23/10H·QPR26/10A·MIL03/11A·WES07/11
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.460.850.590.41
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.002.000.500.75
vs Similar (23)0.570.570.500.750.640.36
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W10W01L00D01L00D00D10W10WH·NOR14/09A·COV21/09H·BRI29/09A·SHE02/10H·STO05/10A·BLA19/10A·SHE22/10H·MIL26/10A·OXF02/11H·WAT05/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.690.190.500.64
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.400.690.080.420.75
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D00D10W10W00D01L00DA·LEE14/09H·POR21/09A·OXF28/09H·PLY01/10H·PRE05/10A·SHE19/10A·HUL23/10H·QPR26/10A·MIL03/11A·WES07/11
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.690.540.530.82
vs Stronger (5)0.601.600.003.000.751.25
vs Similar (23)0.610.570.750.330.450.82
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L00D00D00D00D01L11D00DH·NOR14/09A·COV21/09H·BRI29/09A·SHE02/10H·STO05/10A·BLA19/10A·SHE22/10H·MIL26/10A·OXF02/11H·WAT05/11
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.500.440.500.36
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.320.400.380.460.250.33
vs Weaker (3)2.330.331.500.504.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Brownhill36%
Vitinho33%
Zian Flemming28%
Manuel Benson20%
Jaidon Anthony16%
Marcus Edwards12%
Jay Rodriguez10%
Jeremy Sarmiento8%
Luca Koleosho7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Lyle Foster7%
Connor Roberts5%
Josh Cullen5%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Josh Laurent2%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Maxime Estève2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Lucas Pires0%
Enock Agyei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Cullen25%
Lucas Pires22%
Hannibal Mejbri21%
Manuel Benson20%
Joe Worrall17%
CJ Egan-Riley16%
James Trafford16%
Luca Koleosho14%
Lyle Foster13%
Connor Roberts12%
Josh Brownhill11%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Josh Laurent9%
Jaidon Anthony9%
Zian Flemming8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Maxime Estève6%
Jay Rodriguez5%
Vitinho0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Enock Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitinho33%
Nathan Redmond33%
Lyle Foster17%
Jaidon Anthony14%
Josh Brownhill14%
Hannibal Mejbri13%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Zian Flemming11%
Joe Worrall8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Connor Roberts7%
Josh Cullen7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Josh Laurent5%
Lucas Pires3%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming36%
Vitinho33%
Jaidon Anthony19%
Josh Brownhill11%
Lyle Foster10%
Jeremy Sarmiento3%
Josh Laurent2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Cullen0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Lucas Pires0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Cullen24%
Žan Vipotnik16%
Harry Darling13%
Myles Peart-Harris10%
Azeem Abdulai10%
Florian Bianchini8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Matt Grimes6%
Lewis O'Brien6%
Ronald6%
Gonçalo Franco5%
Ben Cabango4%
Josh Tymon4%
Joe Allen4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton3%
Josh Key2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Myles Peart-Harris20%
Ben Cabango19%
Liam Cullen18%
Jay Fulton18%
Hannes Delcroix17%
Matt Grimes16%
Josh Tymon15%
Gonçalo Franco14%
Lewis O'Brien12%
Joe Allen11%
Harry Darling10%
Azeem Abdulai10%
Cyrus Christie8%
Florian Bianchini8%
Josh Key6%
Ronald6%
Ji-sung Eom5%
Kyle Naughton4%
Žan Vipotnik2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ronald14%
Myles Peart-Harris13%
Josh Tymon10%
Josh Key9%
Harry Darling8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Oliver Cooper7%
Liam Cullen7%
Gonçalo Franco5%
Joe Allen4%
Matt Grimes3%
Ben Cabango2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Liam Cullen11%
Harry Darling8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Žan Vipotnik7%
Lewis O'Brien6%
Ronald6%
Azeem Abdulai5%
Myles Peart-Harris3%
Jay Fulton3%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Josh Tymon2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Matt Grimes0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Joe Allen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Samuel Parker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Burnley's squad is €24m more valuable than Swansea's (€115m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Burnley's attack is €14m more valuable than Swansea's (€70m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Burnley and Swansea have a similar midfield value (both €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Burnley's defence is €11m more valuable than Swansea's (€37m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
BUR wins
0
Draws
0
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Burnley vs Swansea · H/A from BUR
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/23ASwansea Vs BUR1-2
15/10/22HBUR Vs Swansea4-0

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/24AWest Brom Vs BUR0-0
03/11/24AMillwall Vs BUR1-0
26/10/24HBUR Vs QPR0-0
23/10/24AHull Vs BUR1-1
19/10/24ASheffield Weds Vs BUR0-2
05/10/24HBUR Vs Preston0-0
01/10/24HBUR Vs Plymouth1-0
28/09/24AOxford Vs BUR0-0
21/09/24HBUR Vs Portsmouth2-1
14/09/24ALeeds Vs BUR0-1

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/24HSWA Vs Watford1-0
02/11/24AOxford Vs SWA1-2
26/10/24HSWA Vs Millwall0-1
22/10/24ASheffield Weds Vs SWA0-0
19/10/24ABlackburn Vs SWA1-0
05/10/24HSWA Vs Stoke0-0
02/10/24ASheffield United Vs SWA1-0
29/09/24HSWA Vs Bristol City1-1
21/09/24ACoventry Vs SWA1-2
14/09/24HSWA Vs Norwich1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD0.96
HomeDWWDD1.00
AwayDWDLD0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals2.602.682.54
Over 1.5 %78%82%75%
Over 2.5 %46%45%46%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.101.141.07
Conceded1.501.551.46
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet20%23%18%
Corners10.3510.0910.56
Cards4.393.954.74
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.28
HomeWDDLW1.38
AwayWLLDW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.262.002.54
Over 1.5 %60%54%67%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.081.041.12
Conceded1.180.961.42
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners10.7510.6210.88
Cards4.173.924.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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