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Bylis vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Bylis
Bylis
Vs
30%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bylis win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BylisBylis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W32W14L42W00D23L12L10W00DH·KAS31/03A·LUS06/04H·KOR13/04A·APO21/04H·FLA29/04A·VOR04/05H·AF 09/05A·TEU18/08H·DIN26/08A·LAC31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.001.930.711.311.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.610.891.800.701.381.12
vs Weaker (12)1.581.172.250.751.251.38
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L01L00D30W11D01L00D22D11DA·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04A·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.271.211.361.621.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.331.261.081.421.531.13
vs Weaker (3)2.331.332.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
Bylis goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
012%11%7.7%3.1%1.0%
19.5%15%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.7%7.0%4.3%1.7%0.5%
32.0%2.4%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bylis goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.66
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Partizani
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.45
AF Elbasani
1.39
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Bylis
1.17
Tirana
1.08
Skenderbeu Korce
1.06
Laci
1.03
Bylis is 0.08 points better than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.47
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.34
Dinamo Tirana
1.34
Tirana
1.19
AF Elbasani
1.11
Partizani
1.05
Skenderbeu Korce
0.97
Bylis
0.92
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.81
Bylis is 0.28 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.79
Partizani
0.89
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani
1.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.16
Teuta Durrës
1.17
Dinamo Tirana
1.18
Tirana
1.22
Skenderbeu Korce
1.25
Bylis
1.39
Bylis is 0.17 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BylisBylis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W22D01L12L00D21W11D00D00DH·KAS31/03A·LUS06/04H·KOR13/04A·APO21/04H·FLA29/04A·VOR04/05H·AF 09/05A·TEU18/08H·DIN26/08A·LAC31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.930.500.560.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.500.900.500.620.50
vs Weaker (12)0.670.421.000.500.500.38
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D00D20W01L01L00D10W01LA·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04A·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.500.570.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.590.500.670.670.53
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.001.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bylis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BylisBylis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W13L30W00D02L01L10W00DH·KAS31/03A·LUS06/04H·KOR13/04A·APO21/04H·FLA29/04A·VOR04/05H·AF 09/05A·TEU18/08H·DIN26/08A·LAC31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.531.000.210.750.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.830.390.900.200.750.62
vs Weaker (12)0.920.751.250.250.751.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D10W10W00D00D12L10WA·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04A·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.710.790.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.670.580.750.870.60
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bylis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
BYL wins
2
Draws
2
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bylis vs Tirana · H/A from BYL
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23ATirana Vs BYL2-2
18/03/23HBYL Vs Tirana1-1
21/01/23ATirana Vs BYL4-1
16/10/22HBYL Vs Tirana0-1

BylisBylis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ALaci Vs BYL0-0
26/08/24HBYL Vs Dinamo Tirana1-0
18/08/24ATeuta Durrës Vs BYL2-1
09/05/24HBYL Vs AF Elbasani2-3
04/05/24AVora Vs BYL0-0
29/04/24HBYL Vs Flamurtari4-2
21/04/24AApolonia Fier Vs BYL4-1
13/04/24HBYL Vs Korabi Peshkopi3-2
06/04/24ALushnja Vs BYL1-2
31/03/24HBYL Vs Kastrioti Krujë2-0

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
25/08/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR2-2
19/08/24ALaci Vs TIR0-0
18/07/24HTIR Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-1
11/07/24ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs TIR1-1
11/05/24AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR0-3
08/05/24HTIR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0
04/05/24ALaci Vs TIR1-0
28/04/24HTIR Vs Partizani1-2
19/04/24AErzeni Shijak Vs TIR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.74
HomeWWWLW1.96
AwayWLDLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.522.602.44
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.441.641.24
Conceded1.080.961.20
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.32
HomeWLDLD1.04
AwayLWDDD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%21%42%
AVG goals2.822.623.00
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%38%69%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.461.211.69
Conceded1.361.421.31
BTTS68%67%69%
Clean Sheet18%12%23%
Corners8.257.509.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3863
45%
1.7
5130+21
2.1
74%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.8
-
2Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
5644+12
2.6
79%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.2
-
3PartizaniPartizani3857
37%
1.5
4034+6
1.9
68%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.10.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3855
37%
1.4
5145+6
2.5
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.31.2
-
5AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3650
31%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3644
28%
1.2
2942-13
2.0
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.81.2
-
7BylisBylis3642
31%
1.2
3350-17
2.3
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8TiranaTirana3639
19%
1.1
4344-1
2.4
72%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
-
9Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3638
25%
1.1
3545-10
2.2
69%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
10LaciLaci3637
22%
1.0
3137-6
1.9
58%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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