Bzenec’s recent two-game winning streak and a clean sheet at home against a weaker side give the model a 64% chance of a home victory, making the home win the clear favourite. The Czech Cup fixture is expected to see 3.6 goals on average, with the most probable total of three goals at 21%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 2-1 for Bzenec, carrying a 9.5% probability. Bzenec scores an average of one goal and concedes none at home against weaker opponents, while Třinec averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away against stronger opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 97.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0% with a 19% edge, Under 6.5 at 93.0%, Over 1.5 at 87.9% with a 7% edge, Under 5.5 at 84.9%, Home or Away at 80.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 77.7%, and Under 4.5 at 71.3%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 64% for a home win, 20% for a draw, and 16% for an away win.
Results analysis
The upset was immediate: Bzenec, the pre-match favourite with a 64% chance of triumph, fell to a 1-4 defeat, so the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 1-4 confirmed an away win, a stark reversal of the 64% home-win probability. The model’s selection of “Under 7.5” goals hit, as did “Under 6.5”, “Over 1.5”, “Under 5.5”, “Home or Away”, and “Home under 3.5 goals”, all with probabilities of 97.1%, 93.0%, 87.9%, 84.9%, 80.2% and 77.7% respectively. “Under 4.5” missed at 71.3%, and “Away under 3.5 goals” missed at 97.0%. The match saw Bzenec’s run of five games end in a loss, while Třinec’s five-game streak began with a win.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bzenec win✗ Miss
64.3%
Avg Implied 14.1% · @ 6.43
Edge
+50.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Draw✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.55
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Třinec win✓ Hit
15.9%
Avg Implied 65.9% · @ 1.38
Edge
-50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.44
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bzenec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.50
1.40
2.00
0.00
5.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
5.50
0.00
6.00
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (3)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.33
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.23
1.54
1.41
1.41
vs Stronger (29)
1.14
1.52
1.23
1.54
1.06
1.50
vs Similar (1)
7.00
0.00
-
-
7.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bzenec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
@ 1.14+7.0%
Under 1.5
12.1%
@ 4.82-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.1%
@ 1.50+8.1%
Under 2.5
30.9%
@ 2.35-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.7%
@ 2.23+6.6%
Under 3.5
52.3%
@ 1.56-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
BetVictor
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.1%
@ 1.70+9.1%
No
36.9%
@ 2.00-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
No
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%@ 16.86+7.0%
1-1
8.7%@ 8.51+3.7%
2-0
8.2%@ 34.43+7.0%
3-1
7.6%@ 48.00+6.8%
3-0
6.6%@ 83.71+6.1%
1-0
6.0%@ 18.29+3.7%
2-2
5.5%@ 14.14+2.5%
4-1
4.6%@ 107.14+4.2%
Bzenec goals ↓
Třinec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.0%
8.7%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
2
8.2%
9.5%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.6%
7.6%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
4
4.0%
4.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bzenec goals (down), columns = Třinec goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Artis
1.25
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Bzenec is 2.00 points worse than Třinec in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Artis
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Bzenec is 4.00 goals worse than Třinec in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 4.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Bzenec is 3.75 goals worse than Třinec in terms of goals conceded per game (5.00 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bzenec or Draw✗ Miss
84.1%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.76
Edge
+50.6%
64%
20%
16%
covers Bzenec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
10Bet
2.80
Bzenec or Třinec✓ Hit
80.2%
Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.14
Edge
-0.6%
64%
20%
16%
covers Bzenec + Třinec
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Draw or Třinec✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 85.7% · @ 1.08
Edge
-50.0%
64%
20%
16%
covers Draw + Třinec
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bzenec over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.0%
@ 1.56+32.1%
Under
9.0%
@ 2.23-32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Under
BetVictor
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Bzenec over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
69.4%
@ 3.80+45.2%
Under
30.6%
@ 1.21-45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Bzenec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 6.50+29.3%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.06-29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.06
Bzenec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 26.00+18.6%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.01-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
26.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Třinec over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.07-17.5%
Under
31.5%
@ 6.55+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.40
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Třinec over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 1.41-33.5%
Under
67.9%
@ 2.68+33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
Marathonbet
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Třinec over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
@ 2.23-30.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.56+30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.25
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Marathonbet
1.59
BetVictor
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Třinec over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.0%
@ 4.12-19.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.20+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
1xBet
3.85
Under
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.17
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bzenec, so a minus line means Bzenec give that many goals of a start and Třinec receive them. At -1, Bzenec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bzenec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bzenec)Actual: Třinec
Bzenec -2
24.1%
Draw -2
19.1%
Třinec +2
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bzenec)Actual: Třinec
Bzenec -1
43.2%
Draw -1
21.1%
Třinec +1
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bzenec)Actual: Třinec
Bzenec +1
84.1%
@ 2.88+53.1%
Draw +1
9.7%
@ 3.73-14.2%
Třinec -1
6.2%
@ 1.97-38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.83
10Bet
2.80
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.96
Betfair
1.91
Handicap +2 (Bzenec)Actual: Třinec
Bzenec +2
93.8%
@ 1.73+42.1%
Draw +2
4.4%
@ 4.40-16.0%
Třinec -2
1.8%
@ 3.20-26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.73
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
3.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bzenec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.40
0.00
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.31
0.77
0.65
0.59
vs Stronger (29)
0.41
0.69
0.31
0.77
0.50
0.62
vs Similar (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bzenec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
BetVictor
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.20
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Under
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bzenec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.40
Bzenec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Bzenec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
Třinec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Třinec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bzenec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.83
1.40
1.60
0.00
3.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (3)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.33
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.92
0.77
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (29)
0.72
0.83
0.92
0.77
0.56
0.88
vs Similar (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bzenec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Under
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bzenec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.52
Bzenec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bzenec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.34
Třinec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.17
-
-
-
+19.5%
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.9%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.9%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
-
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.2%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
77.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-18.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.3%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-5.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov