This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
1.06
1.00
0.93
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.53
1.12
1.25
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.93
1.00
0.75
0.86
1.14
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.7%
Under 1.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.8%
No
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.4%
0-0 ✓
14.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
Cadiz goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.2%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.0%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.6%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cadiz goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Cadiz is 0.38 points better than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Cadiz is 0.10 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Cadiz is 0.38 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (0.69 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cadiz
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 18.0 · Total 33.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cadiz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.1
10.8
3.3
3.4
3.2
28.3
29.4
27.1
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
10.4
9.3
11.4
3.4
3.3
3.6
27.6
28.8
26.5
vs Weaker (13)
8.4
8.4
8.3
3.2
3.6
2.8
30.2
30.6
29.7
% over line
52%
47%
56%
46%
48%
44%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
48%
53%
44%
54%
52%
56%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.2
10.8
3.8
3.6
4.1
31.1
29.9
32.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
10.9
12.0
9.6
4.0
4.8
3.2
31.5
31.3
31.7
vs Weaker (26)
11.1
10.4
11.7
3.7
2.6
5.0
30.7
28.4
32.8
% over line
64%
71%
56%
54%
58%
50%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
36%
29%
44%
46%
42%
50%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
11.1
Valladolid
11.1
Almeria
11.0
Zaragoza
10.7
Huesca
10.7
Rayo Vallecano
10.4
Granada CF
10.3
Alcorcon
10.3
Numancia
10.1
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Barcelona B
10.0
Mallorca
9.9
Cadiz
9.9
Tenerife
9.8
Sevilla B
9.7
Gimnastic
9.7
Cordoba
9.7
Cultural Leonesa
9.4
Albacete
9.2
Oviedo
8.9
Osasuna
8.5
Reus Deportiu
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valladolid
6.0
Sevilla B
6.0
Tenerife
5.8
Osasuna
5.8
Almeria
5.8
Lugo
5.8
Oviedo
5.8
Gimnastic
5.8
Huesca
5.5
Albacete
5.5
Zaragoza
5.3
Granada CF
5.2
Numancia
5.0
Cultural Leonesa
5.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.0
Cadiz
5.0
Alcorcon
5.0
Cordoba
4.9
Barcelona B
4.9
Mallorca
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Reus Deportiu
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
32.4
Alcorcon
32.4
Oviedo
31.8
Lugo
31.8
Gimnastic
31.8
Cordoba
31.5
Tenerife
31.5
Valladolid
31.2
Almeria
31.1
Mallorca
30.1
Sevilla B
29.3
Cultural Leonesa
29.3
Zaragoza
29.2
Huesca
29.0
Osasuna
28.9
Reus Deportiu
28.9
Sporting Gijon
28.8
Barcelona B
28.3
Cadiz
28.3
Granada CF
28.3
Rayo Vallecano
27.6
Numancia
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.3%
Under 3.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.3%
Under 21.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cadiz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.20
0.56
0.06
0.29
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.21
0.50
0.08
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.53
0.38
0.50
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.33
0.47
0.38
0.38
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cadiz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cadiz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.81
0.50
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.42
0.58
0.42
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.75
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.69
0.56
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.71
1.29
vs Weaker (15)
0.60
0.47
0.62
0.38
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cadiz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cadiz · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iuri Tabatadze28%
Brian Ocampo17%
Lucas Pérez14%
Sergio Arribas12%
Pelayo Fernández10%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual10%
Antonio Cordero10%
Joaquín González9%
Efe Ugiagbe9%
Dawda Camara9%
Roger Martí7%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa7%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Moussa Diakité6%
Jorge Moreno5%
Suso4%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Álex Fernández3%
Sergio Ortuño3%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Iza Carcelén0%
Iker Recio0%
Mario Climent0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rominigue Kouamé50%
Mario Climent43%
Iker Recio38%
Alfred Caicedo36%
David Gil25%
Jeronimo Domina25%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa24%
Brian Ocampo23%
Moussa Diakité22%
Jorge Moreno21%
Iza Carcelén20%
Joaquín González18%
Bojan Kovačević17%
Iuri Tabatadze17%
Sergio Ortuño16%
Suso15%
Lucas Pérez14%
Roger Martí14%
Youssouf Diarra14%
Dawda Camara12%
Pelayo Fernández10%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual10%
Raúl Pereira10%
Antonio Cordero10%
Efe Ugiagbe9%
Juan Díaz9%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Álex Fernández3%
Sergio Arribas0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergio Arribas12%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual12%
Suso11%
Sergio Ortuño11%
Iza Carcelén10%
Mario Climent10%
Joaquín González9%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa7%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Brian Ocampo7%
Jorge Moreno5%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Álex Fernández3%
Iker Recio3%
Lucas Pérez0%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Roger Martí0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Dawda Camara0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Moussa Diakité0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Antonio Cordero0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual20%
Dawda Camara12%
Antonio Cordero10%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Brian Ocampo7%
Iuri Tabatadze6%
Roger Martí4%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa3%
Moussa Diakité3%
Suso0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Álex Fernández0%
Iza Carcelén0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Iker Recio0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Joaquín González0%
Mario Climent0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Cadiz's squad is €27m less valuable than Almeria's (€27m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Cadiz's attack is €27m less valuable than Almeria's (€11m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Cadiz's midfield is €1m less valuable than Almeria's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Cadiz and Almeria have a similar defence value (both €12m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →