PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cailungo vs Tre Penne Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 2-2
Cailungo
Cailungo
Vs
6%
13%
80%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tre Penne
Tre Penne
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cailungo win✗ Miss
6.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne win✗ Miss
80.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L04L03L01L02L01L24L05L06L03LH·TRE13/03H·SAN17/03H·VIR07/04A·JUV14/04H·LA 20/04H·FAE31/08A·LA 13/09H·COS22/09H·TRE25/09A·FOL29/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.472.900.532.400.403.40
vs Stronger (22)0.273.410.202.900.333.83
vs Similar (8)1.001.501.201.400.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D11D13L11D11D40W00D60W00DA·COS04/05H·COS11/05A·MUR18/05A·FLO11/07H·FLO18/07H·LA 01/09A·FAE13/09H·PEN22/09A·CAI25/09A·DOM29/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.101.151.082.651.12
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.001.360.711.141.501.75
vs Weaker (17)2.760.821.801.003.170.75
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%09%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.2%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.6%
Cailungo goals ↓
Tre Penne goals →
01234
03.4%7.5%11%11%7.8%
11.4%6.4%8.2%7.8%5.6%
20.7%2.1%3.0%2.8%2.0%
30.2%0.5%0.7%0.7%0.5%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cailungo goals (down), columns = Tre Penne goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.57
La Fiorita
2.40
Tre Fiori
1.89
Folgore
1.69
Cosmos
1.69
Tre Penne
1.56
San Giovanni
1.54
Fiorentino
1.39
Murata
1.26
Faetano
1.03
Juvenes / Dogana
1.00
Domagnano
0.97
Libertas
0.87
Cailungo
0.77
Pennarossa
0.57
San Marino Academy
0.53
Cailungo is 0.80 points worse than Tre Penne in terms of average points per game (0.77 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
La Fiorita
2.26
Virtus
2.20
Tre Fiori
1.97
Cosmos
1.91
San Giovanni
1.83
Tre Penne
1.53
Folgore
1.31
Cailungo
1.17
Murata
1.06
Fiorentino
1.06
Faetano
1.03
San Marino Academy
1.00
Domagnano
0.97
Libertas
0.97
Pennarossa
0.87
Juvenes / Dogana
0.81
Cailungo is 0.36 goals worse than Tre Penne in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.53).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.57
Virtus
0.60
Tre Fiori
0.91
Folgore
1.03
Tre Penne
1.09
Murata
1.10
Cosmos
1.11
Juvenes / Dogana
1.16
Fiorentino
1.21
San Giovanni
1.29
Domagnano
1.47
Faetano
2.00
Libertas
2.00
Cailungo
2.20
San Marino Academy
2.27
Pennarossa
2.53
Cailungo is 1.11 goals worse than Tre Penne in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CailungoCailungo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Tre PenneTre Penne

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CailungoCailungo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.04.010.00.20.10.223.0-23.0
vs Stronger (4)9.08.010.02.21.53.023.0-23.0
vs Similar (16)0.00.0-0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (30)---0.00.00.0---
% over line33%0%100%2%0%4%100%-100%
% under line67%100%0%98%100%96%0%-0%
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CailungoCailungo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L01L01L01L21W01L04L01LH·TRE13/03H·SAN17/03H·VIR07/04A·JUV14/04H·LA 20/04H·FAE31/08A·LA 13/09H·COS22/09H·TRE25/09A·FOL29/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.370.201.130.331.60
vs Stronger (22)0.181.450.101.300.251.58
vs Similar (8)0.501.120.400.800.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L00D00D11D30W00D40W00DA·COS04/05H·COS11/05A·MUR18/05A·FLO11/07H·FLO18/07H·LA 01/09A·FAE13/09H·PEN22/09A·CAI25/09A·DOM29/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.400.690.381.120.41
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.550.820.430.570.751.25
vs Weaker (17)1.290.181.200.201.330.17
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CailungoCailungo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D03L02L00D01L00D03L04L02L02LH·TRE13/03H·SAN17/03H·VIR07/04A·JUV14/04H·LA 20/04H·FAE31/08A·LA 13/09H·COS22/09H·TRE25/09A·FOL29/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.530.331.270.071.80
vs Stronger (22)0.091.950.101.600.082.25
vs Similar (8)0.500.380.800.600.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W13L11D00D10W00D20W00DA·COS04/05H·COS11/05A·MUR18/05A·FLO11/07H·FLO18/07H·LA 01/09A·FAE13/09H·PEN22/09A·CAI25/09A·DOM29/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.700.460.691.530.71
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.550.290.570.750.50
vs Weaker (17)1.470.650.600.801.830.58
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.7%-------✓ Hit
Away win80.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Cailungo and Tre Penne have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Cailungo and Tre Penne have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Cailungo and Tre Penne have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Cailungo and Tre Penne have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
CAI wins
0
Draws
5
TP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cailungo vs Tre Penne · H/A from CAI
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/24HCAI Vs Tre Penne0-6
27/01/24ATre Penne Vs CAI4-0
01/10/23HCAI Vs Tre Penne1-4
28/01/23ATre Penne Vs CAI3-0
10/09/22HCAI Vs Tre Penne0-2

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24AFolgore Vs CAI3-0
25/09/24HCAI Vs Tre Penne0-6
22/09/24HCAI Vs Cosmos0-5
13/09/24ALa Fiorita Vs CAI4-2
31/08/24HCAI Vs Faetano0-1
20/04/24HCAI Vs La Fiorita0-2
14/04/24AJuvenes / Dogana Vs CAI1-0
07/04/24HCAI Vs Virtus0-3
17/03/24HCAI Vs San Giovanni0-4
13/03/24HCAI Vs Tre Fiori1-3

Tre PenneTre Penne

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24ADomagnano Vs TP0-0
25/09/24ACailungo Vs TP0-6
22/09/24HTP Vs Pennarossa0-0
13/09/24AFaetano Vs TP0-4
01/09/24HTP Vs La Fiorita1-1
18/07/24HTP Vs Floriana1-1
11/07/24AFloriana Vs TP3-1
18/05/24AMurata Vs TP1-1
11/05/24HTP Vs Cosmos0-0
04/05/24ACosmos Vs TP1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cailungo
Cailungo
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.42
HomeLLLLL0.33
AwayLWLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%8%15%
AVG goals3.483.383.58
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %70%67%73%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored0.660.750.58
Conceded2.822.623.00
BTTS34%42%27%
Clean Sheet10%4%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Tre Penne
Tre Penne
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.84
HomeWDDDD1.71
AwayDLWWD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%50%58%
AVG goals3.443.293.58
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %48%38%58%
Scored2.202.002.38
Conceded1.241.291.19
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners6.004.0010.00
Cards3.001.506.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3584
71%
2.4
7920+59
2.8
86%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.30.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3077
80%
2.6
6618+48
2.8
87%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
3Tre FioriTre Fiori3566
57%
1.9
6932+37
2.9
83%
57%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.00.9
-
4CosmosCosmos3559
46%
1.7
6739+28
3.0
83%
60%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5San GiovanniSan Giovanni3554
40%
1.5
6445+19
3.1
91%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
6FolgoreFolgore3254
47%
1.7
4233+9
2.3
72%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
7Tre PenneTre Penne3250
38%
1.6
4935+14
2.6
81%
41%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.1
-
8FiorentinoFiorentino3346
39%
1.4
3540-5
2.3
70%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9MurataMurata3139
35%
1.3
3334-1
2.2
52%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10FaetanoFaetano3334
30%
1.0
3466-32
3.0
79%
52%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
11Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3131
26%
1.0
2536-11
2.0
52%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.2
-
12DomagnanoDomagnano3029
20%
1.0
2944-15
2.4
70%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.5
-
13LibertasLibertas3026
20%
0.9
2960-31
3.0
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
14CailungoCailungo3023
20%
0.8
3566-31
3.4
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
15PennarossaPennarossa3017
10%
0.6
2676-50
3.4
87%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
16San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3016
13%
0.5
3068-38
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

← all matches