This Wales Premier League match between Cambrian & Clydach and Flint Town United is finely balanced, with both teams having recent form that could influence the outcome. Cambrian & Clydach are coming off a draw, while Flint Town United are struggling after two straight defeats. The home side has a strong record at home, scoring an average of 2.55 goals and conceding just 0.55, particularly against weaker opponents. In contrast, Flint Town United have struggled away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals but conceding 2.67 against stronger opponents. The model predicts a home win, with a 39% chance of Cambrian & Clydach emerging victorious. The model's favoured match result is a home win. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1 at 13.2%. The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals at 77.4%, and also the Under 3.5 goals at 70.1%. The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 39%, 28%, and 33% respectively.
Results analysis
Cambrian & Clydach secured a 1-0 win, extending their recent form storyline. The model correctly predicted a home win, with a pre-match probability of 40%. The model's call was correct, as the home side emerged victorious. The model's selection, a home win, was the favourite.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 70.1%. The selection of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 77.4%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cambrian & Clydach win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.36
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.45
William Hil
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Dafabet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
10Bet
3.45
Flint Town United win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied 34.9% · @ 2.59
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
888Sport
2.63
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cambrian & Clydach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
0.83
2.23
0.85
2.24
0.82
vs Stronger (21)
2.48
0.86
2.67
0.89
2.33
0.83
vs Similar (7)
1.71
0.71
1.00
1.00
2.25
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.50
1.44
1.56
1.57
1.43
vs Stronger (4)
2.75
1.00
2.67
1.33
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.64
1.17
1.75
1.46
1.54
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.4%
@ 1.17-0.7%
Under 1.5
22.6%
@ 4.17+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.60-5.3%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.15+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
@ 2.45-7.4%
Under 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.46+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
10Bet
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Under
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
@ 1.51-3.8%
No
42.9%
@ 2.34+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
888Sport
1.53
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.52
No
Betfair
2.50
888Sport
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.49+6.4%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.53+3.5%
1-0 ✓
8.0%@ 9.77+3.5%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.03+2.9%
0-0
7.5%@ 12.41+4.0%
0-1
7.1%@ 10.32+2.7%
2-0
6.7%@ 12.57+3.2%
2-2
5.7%@ 10.59+1.5%
Cambrian & Clydach goals ↓
Flint Town United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.1%
5.4%
2.3%
0.8%
1
8.0%
13%
7.8%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.7%
8.7%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.3%
4.2%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cambrian & Clydach goals (down), columns = Flint Town United goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Cambrian & Clydach is 1.17 points better than Flint Town United in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Cambrian & Clydach is 0.33 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Cambrian & Clydach is 0.50 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cambrian & Clydach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.08
0.46
1.00
0.41
vs Stronger (21)
1.19
0.52
1.44
0.67
1.00
0.42
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.29
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.75
0.69
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.50
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.72
0.58
0.75
0.92
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cambrian & Clydach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.40
1.15
0.38
1.24
0.41
vs Stronger (21)
1.29
0.33
1.22
0.22
1.33
0.42
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.43
0.67
1.00
1.25
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.69
0.88
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.92
0.58
1.00
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.4%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.1%
1.46
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
+7.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Cambrian & Clydach and Flint Town United have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cambrian & Clydach and Flint Town United have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Cambrian & Clydach and Flint Town United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cambrian & Clydach and Flint Town United have a similar defence value (both €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
C&C wins
0
Draws
0
FTU wins
Head-to-head
Cambrian & Clydach vs Flint Town United · H/A from C&C
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →