Cambridge are tipped to win, with a 45 % chance of a home victory, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 28 % chance of Huddersfield taking the win. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, and the most likely total is 2, a 25 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8 % chance. Cambridge, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Huddersfield, on the road, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 % with a 3 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.4 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.3 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7 % with a 4 % edge) and Under 5.5 (93.2 % with a 3 % edge). Both sides have recently drawn 1-1, hinting at a cautious start.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Cambridge, failed to deliver, as Huddersfield snatched a 1-2 victory. The model had tipped a home win at 45% and was wrong. The upset is underscored by Cambridge’s recent form, after two straight defeats, versus Huddersfield’s unbeaten run. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%) was correct, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%) landed, Under 6.5 (97.4%) and Under 5.5 (93.2%) both succeeded, as did Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.4%). All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and no other side was called the favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cambridge win✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.82
Edge
+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.00
Dafabet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betfair
2.90
Betano
2.90
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.33
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.48
Unibet
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Huddersfield win✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.38
Edge
-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.49
Unibet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cambridge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.77
2.12
0.94
1.14
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.71
0.68
2.29
0.79
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huddersfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.23
1.87
1.13
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.46
1.32
1.79
1.21
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.23+2.7%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 3.85-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.18
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.76+0.3%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.02-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
SBO
1.78
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.76
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
@ 2.82-1.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
@ 1.39+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
@ 1.60-0.4%
No
42.4%
@ 2.21+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.65
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.12+5.4%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.40+4.5%
1-0
8.3%@ 9.46+3.6%
2-0
7.6%@ 14.17+4.4%
1-2 ✓
7.1%@ 8.58+1.9%
0-0
7.1%@ 11.03+3.0%
0-1
6.1%@ 8.58+0.8%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.18+1.7%
Cambridge goals ↓
Huddersfield goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.1%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
1
8.3%
13%
7.1%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.3%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.1%
5.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.6%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cambridge goals (down), columns = Huddersfield goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Cambridge is 0.25 points worse than Huddersfield in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.46).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Cambridge is 0.45 goals worse than Huddersfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Cambridge is 0.10 goals worse than Huddersfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cambridge
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huddersfield
For 4.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambridge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
8.9
2.9
2.8
3.0
22.4
22.2
22.6
vs Stronger (6)
6.2
4.3
12.0
1.8
2.2
1.0
21.0
21.3
20.0
vs Similar (44)
9.2
9.7
8.7
3.1
2.9
3.2
22.5
22.3
22.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
42%
55%
32%
30%
35%
56%
58%
55%
% under line
52%
58%
45%
68%
70%
65%
44%
42%
45%
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huddersfield
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.9
9.9
3.9
3.8
4.1
24.3
24.3
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
6.0
13.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
14.5
14.0
15.0
vs Similar (45)
10.4
11.1
9.8
4.0
3.9
4.2
25.1
25.4
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
11.0
8.0
3.7
4.0
3.0
20.0
17.5
25.0
% over line
57%
67%
48%
58%
58%
58%
69%
67%
72%
% under line
43%
33%
52%
42%
42%
42%
31%
33%
28%
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
10.9
Wigan
10.6
Bromley
10.4
Luton
10.4
Blackpool
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Stockport
10.0
AFC Wimbledon
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.6
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Luton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Plymouth
24.5
Huddersfield
24.2
Luton
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Leyton Orient
23.4
Blackpool
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Doncaster
22.5
Reading
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Burton
22.2
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
20.9
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cambridge or Draw✗ Miss
72.0%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.53
Edge
+11.1%
45%
27%
28%
covers Cambridge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Cambridge or Huddersfield✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.9%
45%
27%
28%
covers Cambridge + Huddersfield
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Huddersfield✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied 66.9% · @ 1.39
Edge
-12.0%
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + Huddersfield
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cambridge over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
@ 1.27+6.8%
Under
20.1%
@ 3.45-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.69
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Cambridge over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.7%
@ 2.37+8.3%
Under
52.3%
@ 1.54-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Cambridge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.8%
@ 5.48+4.9%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.12-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.40
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Cambridge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 13.25+0.8%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.02-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Huddersfield over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.6%
@ 1.22-5.7%
Under
29.4%
@ 3.92+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.13
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
Huddersfield over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.6%
@ 2.13-9.3%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.67+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
10Bet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Under
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Huddersfield over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 4.61-7.5%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.16+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Huddersfield over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.50-5.4%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cambridge, so a minus line means Cambridge give that many goals of a start and Huddersfield receive them. At -1, Cambridge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cambridge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cambridge)Actual: Huddersfield
Cambridge -2
9.9%
@ 13.25+3.0%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 8.03+2.7%
Huddersfield +2
76.2%
@ 1.10-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.00
Away
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.07
Handicap -1 (Cambridge)Actual: Huddersfield
Cambridge -1
23.8%
@ 5.62+7.9%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 4.50+1.3%
Huddersfield +1
54.9%
@ 1.40-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Handicap +1 (Cambridge)Actual: Draw
Cambridge +1
72.0%
@ 1.53+13.7%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.08-6.0%
Huddersfield -1
12.1%
@ 4.53-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Away
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Cambridge)Actual: Cambridge
Cambridge +2
87.9%
@ 1.16+11.5%
Draw +2
8.1%
@ 6.31-5.9%
Huddersfield -2
3.9%
@ 9.29-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
8.70
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cambridge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.81
0.44
0.43
0.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.25
0.93
0.29
0.43
0.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huddersfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.87
0.60
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.46
0.79
0.64
0.64
0.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.34+2.8%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.07-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.54-0.7%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.46+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Betfair
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.34-1.5%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.2%
@ 2.05-1.1%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.70+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Cambridge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.41-1.7%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Cambridge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 18.00-3.6%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.5%
@ 1.92+3.1%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.79-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.68-0.7%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 15.83-3.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cambridge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.31
0.50
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.04
0.43
1.36
0.50
0.71
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huddersfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
1.00
0.53
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.86
1.00
0.57
0.50
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.20+0.5%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.20-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 1.94-3.5%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.78+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 3.91-3.2%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.1%
@ 1.74-3.4%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.99+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Cambridge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 4.60-5.8%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.16+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Cambridge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 12.33-3.5%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.3%
@ 1.64+0.9%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.13-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.4%
@ 4.12-2.1%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.19+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 11.00-2.9%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.2%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.3%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.19
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.5%
1.23
BetVictor
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.2%
1.10
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.07
-
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.1%
1.29
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.34
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.0%
1.53
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
+11.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
72.0%
1.53
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
+13.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.6%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
-5.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cambridge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Knight75%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Callum Perry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
G. McConnell33%
Dominic Ball20%
S. Lavery20%
K. Watts20%
J. Eastwood20%
Liam Bennett20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Louis Appéré0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Isaac Heath0%
Callum Perry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louis Appéré40%
G. McConnell33%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
Isaac Heath0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Knight50%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Huddersfield
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Taylor75%
B. Radulović33%
R. Balker25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
Ryan Ledson0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Kasumu33%
M. Wallace33%
B. Radulović33%
Ryan Ledson25%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Ledson50%
B. Radulović33%
D. Sanches Fernandes25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Taylor75%
D. Sanches Fernandes50%
Ashley Fletcher25%
Ryan Ledson25%
M. Harness25%
I. Bowat25%
D. Kasumu0%
M. Wallace0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
B. Radulović0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Cambridge's squad is €11m less valuable than Huddersfield's (€5m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Cambridge's attack is €2m less valuable than Huddersfield's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Cambridge's midfield is €3m less valuable than Huddersfield's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Cambridge's defence is €6m less valuable than Huddersfield's (€2m vs €8m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe