This opponent (Oxford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.07
1.94
0.69
2.14
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.10
1.00
0.86
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
2.72
1.00
2.67
0.56
2.78
1.44
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.94+5.0%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.86-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
Cambridge goals ↓
Oxford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
7.9%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.4%
13%
9.1%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.9%
7.5%
5.8%
3.0%
1.2%
3
2.1%
3.2%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cambridge goals (down), columns = Oxford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wigan
2.00
Rotherham
1.96
Milton Keynes Dons
1.93
Sheffield Weds
1.85
Sunderland
1.83
Wycombe
1.80
Plymouth
1.74
Oxford
1.65
Portsmouth
1.59
Bolton
1.59
Ipswich
1.52
Accrington
1.33
Charlton
1.28
Cambridge
1.26
Cheltenham
1.22
Burton
1.15
Lincoln
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.09
Morecambe
0.91
Gillingham
0.87
Fleetwood Town
0.87
Doncaster
0.83
AFC Wimbledon
0.80
Crewe
0.63
Cambridge is 0.39 points worse than Oxford in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Oxford
1.78
Wigan
1.78
Sunderland
1.72
Sheffield Weds
1.70
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Wycombe
1.63
Bolton
1.61
Rotherham
1.52
Portsmouth
1.48
Plymouth
1.48
Ipswich
1.46
Cheltenham
1.43
Fleetwood Town
1.35
Accrington
1.33
Morecambe
1.24
Cambridge
1.22
Lincoln
1.20
Charlton
1.20
Burton
1.11
AFC Wimbledon
1.07
Shrewsbury
1.02
Crewe
0.80
Doncaster
0.80
Gillingham
0.76
Cambridge is 0.57 goals worse than Oxford in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Rotherham
0.72
Wigan
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Ipswich
1.00
Plymouth
1.04
Sheffield Weds
1.09
Portsmouth
1.11
Shrewsbury
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Sunderland
1.15
Bolton
1.24
Oxford
1.28
Charlton
1.28
Lincoln
1.37
Burton
1.46
Gillingham
1.50
Cambridge
1.61
AFC Wimbledon
1.63
Accrington
1.74
Cheltenham
1.74
Doncaster
1.78
Fleetwood Town
1.78
Crewe
1.80
Morecambe
1.91
Cambridge is 0.33 goals worse than Oxford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Milton Keynes Dons
59%
Bolton
57%
Sunderland
56%
Oxford
55%
Wigan
55%
Sheffield Weds
54%
Lincoln
53%
Plymouth
52%
Portsmouth
52%
Crewe
52%
Rotherham
51%
Charlton
50%
Accrington
50%
Cheltenham
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Burton
46%
Wycombe
45%
Doncaster
45%
Cambridge
44%
Morecambe
43%
Shrewsbury
43%
Gillingham
38%
Cambridge is 11.5 percentage points worse than Oxford in terms of average possession (44% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cambridge
For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oxford
For 5.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambridge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
9.6
9.1
10.1
2.9
3.1
2.7
24.9
26.4
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
5.0
11.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
24.5
28.0
21.0
vs Similar (34)
9.6
8.9
10.3
2.7
2.9
2.6
25.1
26.4
23.8
vs Weaker (10)
10.0
10.6
9.4
3.3
4.0
2.6
24.5
26.4
22.6
% over line
52%
43%
61%
33%
35%
30%
76%
87%
65%
% under line
48%
57%
39%
67%
65%
70%
24%
13%
35%
This opponent (Oxford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
10.0
11.4
8.6
3.3
3.2
3.4
27.9
26.5
29.3
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
11.0
10.0
3.5
1.5
5.5
30.2
30.0
30.5
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.3
8.4
3.1
2.6
3.7
28.8
24.3
33.3
vs Weaker (24)
10.8
13.1
8.5
3.4
4.0
2.8
26.8
27.6
26.1
% over line
57%
74%
39%
46%
43%
48%
87%
83%
91%
% under line
43%
26%
61%
54%
57%
52%
13%
17%
9%
This opponent (Cambridge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Accrington
11.8
Wigan
10.8
Doncaster
10.6
Fleetwood Town
10.5
Plymouth
10.5
Burton
10.3
Lincoln
10.3
Gillingham
10.2
Rotherham
10.2
Portsmouth
10.1
Bolton
10.0
Sunderland
10.0
Morecambe
10.0
Oxford
10.0
Wycombe
10.0
Crewe
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Charlton
9.7
Cambridge
9.6
Sheffield Weds
9.5
Ipswich
9.4
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cheltenham
9.0
Shrewsbury
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Charlton
4.0
Lincoln
3.9
Portsmouth
3.5
Ipswich
3.4
Milton Keynes Dons
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Fleetwood Town
3.2
Sunderland
3.2
Accrington
3.2
Shrewsbury
3.1
Gillingham
3.1
Crewe
3.0
Burton
3.0
Plymouth
3.0
Wycombe
2.9
Sheffield Weds
2.9
Morecambe
2.9
Bolton
2.9
Cambridge
2.9
Wigan
2.8
Rotherham
2.7
Doncaster
2.7
AFC Wimbledon
2.4
Cheltenham
2.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gillingham
28.0
Oxford
27.9
Charlton
27.4
Portsmouth
27.3
Sunderland
27.0
Wigan
26.4
Rotherham
26.4
Lincoln
26.3
Milton Keynes Dons
26.0
Shrewsbury
25.9
Wycombe
25.8
Accrington
25.6
Ipswich
25.5
Bolton
25.2
Cambridge
24.9
Burton
24.8
Crewe
24.7
Doncaster
24.6
Fleetwood Town
24.5
Sheffield Weds
23.8
AFC Wimbledon
23.4
Morecambe
23.2
Plymouth
22.9
Cheltenham
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
30.0%
Under 9.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.1%
Under 3.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
93.2%
Under 21.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cambridge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.36
0.36
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.83
0.30
0.50
0.77
1.08
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.88
0.31
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.60
0.29
0.43
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.28
0.44
1.33
0.22
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cambridge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.40
0.86
0.50
1.12
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.09
0.39
1.10
0.50
1.08
0.31
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.06
0.38
1.21
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.50
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.56
1.33
0.33
1.56
0.78
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cambridge · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Knight75%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Callum Perry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
G. McConnell33%
Dominic Ball20%
S. Lavery20%
K. Watts20%
J. Eastwood20%
Liam Bennett20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Louis Appéré0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Isaac Heath0%
Callum Perry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louis Appéré40%
G. McConnell33%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
Isaac Heath0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Knight50%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Oxford · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
G. O'Donkor67%
C. Brannagan33%
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Harris33%
C. Brannagan33%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
C. Brannagan0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
C. Brannagan0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
MOR (1)
€0m
Cambridge's squad is €15m less valuable than Oxford's (€5m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Cambridge's attack is €4m less valuable than Oxford's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
IPS (7)
€66m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Cambridge's midfield is €5m less valuable than Oxford's (€1m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
IPS (13)
€85m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
MOR (0)
€0m
Cambridge's defence is €6m less valuable than Oxford's (€2m vs €8m).
England: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Wigan
Rotherham
Milton Keynes Dons
Sheffield Weds
Sunderland
Wycombe
Plymouth
Bolton
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Accrington
Charlton
Cheltenham
Burton
Lincoln
Shrewsbury
Morecambe
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
Crewe