This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.29
1.36
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
1.70
1.80
1.60
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.35
1.00
1.22
1.55
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Under
Unibet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.24
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.09
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
No
Unibet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.27
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Cambuur
1.04
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Cambuur is 0.08 points worse than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Willem II
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
ADO Den Haag
1.15
Cambuur is 0.06 goals worse than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.94
Cambuur
2.09
PEC Zwolle
2.09
ADO Den Haag
2.17
Cambuur is 0.44 goals worse than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.65).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cambuur
For 6.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 16.3 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior
For 4.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambuur
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.9
3.8
4.0
27.0
26.5
27.4
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
15.0
10.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
26.0
31.0
21.0
vs Similar (48)
9.7
9.8
9.7
3.9
3.9
4.0
27.0
26.3
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
50%
40%
60%
80%
76%
84%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
50%
60%
40%
20%
24%
16%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
2.9
2.9
2.9
22.2
21.2
23.2
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
7.1
11.6
2.3
2.1
2.4
19.3
18.4
20.1
vs Similar (35)
9.7
10.2
9.3
3.2
3.3
3.1
23.4
22.3
24.4
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
34%
32%
36%
52%
44%
60%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
66%
68%
64%
48%
56%
40%
This opponent (Cambuur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.4
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Willem II
10.8
Fortuna Sittard
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
Telstar
10.5
ADO Den Haag
10.3
AZ Alkmaar
10.2
Heerenveen
10.2
Groningen
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Ajax
9.8
Cambuur
9.8
Twente
9.8
Feyenoord
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
Excelsior
9.7
PEC Zwolle
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NEC Nijmegen
4.1
AZ Alkmaar
4.0
Cambuur
4.0
Feyenoord
3.8
ADO Den Haag
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Twente
3.8
Utrecht
3.7
Ajax
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Groningen
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.3
Telstar
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
27.1
Cambuur
27.0
Fortuna Sittard
24.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.5
Feyenoord
23.0
PEC Zwolle
23.0
Utrecht
22.6
Ajax
22.5
Telstar
22.4
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
Willem II
22.3
Excelsior
22.2
Twente
21.1
Heerenveen
20.8
Groningen
20.4
Sparta Rotterdam
20.0
GO Ahead Eagles
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.92+10.3%
Under 9.5
41.5%
@ 1.79-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Under
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 1.97+1.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.75-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.62
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.6%
@ 1.70+2.0%
Under 21.5
44.4%
@ 1.96-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.63
Under
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
1.82
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cambuur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.60
0.53
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.59
0.60
0.53
0.86
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.45
0.56
0.22
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cambuur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambuur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambuur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cambuur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.73
1.47
0.47
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.24
0.72
1.47
0.47
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.64
0.93
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.90
1.00
0.80
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.90
0.44
1.00
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cambuur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambuur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambuur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
1.30
Unibet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+14.0%
-
Under 25.5 fouls
75.5%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.8%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
1.35
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
-
-
-
+3.1%
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
1.53
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
-
+9.4%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cambuur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafik El Arguioui67%
Nicky Souren0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Lucas Jetten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicky Souren33%
Lucas Jetten33%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Rafik El Arguioui0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicky Souren33%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Rafik El Arguioui0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafik El Arguioui67%
Sami Bouhoudane33%
Nicky Souren0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Casper Widell33%
David Garden33%
Irakli Yegoian33%
Nesto Groen33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Jan Plug0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Simon Janssen33%
Jan Plug33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Irakli Yegoian67%
Simon Janssen33%
Ilano Silva Timas33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Garden33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Jan Plug0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Cambuur's squad is €4m less valuable than Excelsior's (€12m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Cambuur's attack is €4m less valuable than Excelsior's (€3m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Cambuur's midfield is €1m less valuable than Excelsior's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Cambuur's defence is €1m more valuable than Excelsior's (€8m vs €6m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
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AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Utrecht