PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 3-0
Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET
Vs
30%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Cardiff MET’s recent form shows a dip after two straight defeats, while Briton Ferry come off a win and have a solid away record. The model favours an away win, with a 45% chance, followed by a 30% home win and a 26% draw. The expected total is 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% chance. Cardiff MET averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Briton Ferry averages 1.38 scored and 1.31 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%), Under 6.5 (96.0% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.5%), and Under 5.5 (90.4% with a 1% edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, an away win, was denied as Cardiff MET turned the tide with a 3-0 triumph, extending their recent win streak. The model had assigned a 45% probability to the away victory, yet the outcome proved the opposite. The final score of 3-0 confirmed a home win. The model’s predictions on total goals were also off; the most likely 2-goal total (23%) did not materialise. All suggested picks were correct: Under 7.5 (98.5%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%) hit, Under 6.5 (96.0%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.2%) hit, and Under 5.5 (90.4%) hit. The model’s call was therefore incorrect, but its other selections proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff MET win✓ Hit
29.7%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.25
Edge
-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.37
Dafabet
2.36
Superbet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.33
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Briton Ferry win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.74
Edge
+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.83
SBO
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Dafabet
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cardiff METCardiff MET

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L02L21W21W13L22D61W20W01L05LA·HAV13/03H·BRI16/03A·LLA20/03H·BAL28/03A·BRI03/04H·FLI18/04H·HOL01/08A·AIR07/08A·BAR15/08H·THE21/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.401.881.691.361.07
vs Stronger (3)1.672.671.003.003.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.621.312.001.501.171.08
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D01L31W21W21W11D01L10WA·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.401.131.531.271.27
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.271.421.151.541.381.31
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
@ 1.20+7.1%
Under 1.5
17.2%
@ 3.73-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.10
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.72+6.6%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 1.98-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.79
Betfair
1.75
Unibet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.96
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
@ 2.74+4.4%
Under 3.5
62.2%
@ 1.37-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
Marathonbet
2.83
Unibet
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.7%
@ 1.57+4.3%
No
37.3%
@ 2.20-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.58
Superbet
1.57
No
William Hil
2.38
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.13+4.7%
1-2
9.2%@ 9.35+4.6%
2-1
7.3%@ 8.25+2.1%
0-2
6.7%@ 14.16+3.6%
0-1
6.6%@ 9.70+2.2%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.01+2.5%
0-0
5.5%@ 11.07+1.6%
1-3
5.3%@ 19.13+3.1%
Cardiff MET goals ↓
Briton Ferry goals →
01234
05.5%6.6%6.7%3.9%1.7%
15.1%12%9.2%5.3%2.3%
24.2%7.3%6.4%3.7%1.6%
32.0%3.4%2.9%1.7%0.7%
40.7%1.2%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff MET goals (down), columns = Briton Ferry goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Cardiff MET is 0.83 points better than Briton Ferry in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Cardiff MET is 1.83 goals better than Briton Ferry in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 0.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Cardiff MET is 0.50 goals better than Briton Ferry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cardiff MET or Draw✓ Hit
55.2%
Avg Implied 67.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-12.2%
30%
26%
45%
covers Cardiff MET + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Cardiff MET or Briton Ferry✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
+0.4%
30%
26%
45%
covers Cardiff MET + Briton Ferry
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Briton Ferry✗ Miss
70.3%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.55
Edge
+11.8%
30%
26%
45%
covers Draw + Briton Ferry
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.66
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.19-2.2%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.00+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Superbet
3.70
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.2%
@ 2.03-5.4%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.69+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Unibet
1.97
Under
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Unibet
1.65
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 4.16-5.8%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.17+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Cardiff MET over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 9.25-4.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.3%
@ 1.26+9.6%
Under
17.7%
@ 3.36-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.48
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.20
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.7%
@ 2.31+11.8%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.53-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.1%
@ 4.94+6.7%
Under
74.9%
@ 1.12-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
Briton Ferry over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 10.00+0.5%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.03-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Cardiff MET, so a minus line means Cardiff MET give that many goals of a start and Briton Ferry receive them. At -1, Cardiff MET must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cardiff MET win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cardiff MET)Actual: Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET -2
4.9%
@ 8.15-6.1%
Draw -2
8.8%
@ 6.25-5.5%
Briton Ferry +2
86.3%
@ 1.20+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.80
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Cardiff MET)Actual: Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET -1
13.7%
@ 3.97-8.1%
Draw -1
16.0%
@ 3.83-6.5%
Briton Ferry +1
70.3%
@ 1.55+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.25
Away
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Handicap +1 (Cardiff MET)Actual: Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET +1
55.2%
@ 1.34-10.6%
Draw +1
20.3%
@ 4.70+1.6%
Briton Ferry -1
24.5%
@ 5.70+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Cardiff MET)Actual: Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET +2
75.5%
@ 1.09-6.5%
Draw +2
13.9%
@ 8.50+3.3%
Briton Ferry -2
10.6%
@ 12.00+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
12.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cardiff METCardiff MET

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L03L01L30W10W00D01LA·HAV13/03H·BRI16/03A·LLA20/03H·BAL28/03A·BRI03/04H·FLI18/04H·HOL01/08A·AIR07/08A·BAR15/08H·THE21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.620.620.570.50
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.580.710.570.420.58
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D30W00D11D10W00D10WA·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.670.670.670.40
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.500.690.540.690.46
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.1%
@ 1.30+2.8%
Under 0.5
26.9%
@ 3.08-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.42-2.3%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.47+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Marathonbet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.40
Under
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 5.37-3.6%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Under
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.0%
@ 1.90-2.7%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.80+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Under
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.76
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.55-2.7%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.09+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.35
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 2.04+4.7%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.69-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.30-1.8%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.07+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.05
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cardiff METCardiff MET

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L11D20W10W21W31W10W01L04LA·HAV13/03H·BRI16/03A·LLA20/03H·BAL28/03A·BRI03/04H·FLI18/04H·HOL01/08A·AIR07/08A·BAR15/08H·THE21/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.831.251.060.790.57
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.040.731.290.930.750.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D01L01L21W10W01L01L00DA·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.470.870.600.87
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.920.461.000.690.85
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.17+2.7%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 4.16-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.88-1.4%
Under 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.82+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.74-3.1%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.22+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Under
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.61-3.6%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.16+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.12
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 4.08-2.9%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 11.50-4.1%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.8%
@ 1.73-0.5%
Under
47.2%
@ 1.97+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.89
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 4.67-1.7%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.15+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.8%1.03
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
---+4.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.590.4%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+1.4%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----0.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.3%1.07
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
---+1.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.7%1.09
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+3.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap86.3%1.20
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.14
---+11.6%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.2%1.09
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
---+2.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals83.8%1.17
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-+5.8%✗ Miss
Over 1.582.8%1.20
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+7.1%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals82.3%1.26
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+9.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.0%1.15
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
---+1.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.8%1.17
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+2.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.3%1.19
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
---+2.9%✗ Miss
Under 4.579.6%1.12
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-1.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.5%1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+3.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap75.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----6.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals74.9%1.19
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
--2.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals74.9%1.12
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
--6.7%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.5%1.22
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+0.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.1%1.30
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+2.8%✓ Hit
Draw or Away70.3%1.55
SBO
1.66
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
+11.8%✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap70.3%1.55
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
+14.6%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
CM wins
2
Draws
3
BF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry · H/A from CM
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26ABriton Ferry Vs CM3-1
16/03/26HCM Vs Briton Ferry0-2
16/12/25HCM Vs Briton Ferry2-2
15/08/25ABriton Ferry Vs CM1-1
26/12/24HCM Vs Briton Ferry1-3
23/08/24ABriton Ferry Vs CM1-5

Cardiff METCardiff MET

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HCM Vs The New Saints0-5
15/08/26ABarry Town Vs CM1-0
07/08/26AAirbus UK Vs CM0-2
01/08/26HCM Vs Holywell6-1
18/04/26HCM Vs Flint Town United2-2
03/04/26ABriton Ferry Vs CM3-1
28/03/26HCM Vs Bala Town2-1
20/03/26Allanelli AFC Vs CM1-2
16/03/26HCM Vs Briton Ferry0-2
13/03/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs CM1-0

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AFlint Town United Vs BF0-1
14/08/26AThe New Saints Vs BF1-0
07/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs BF1-1
31/07/26HBF Vs Ammanford AFC2-1
18/04/26ABala Town Vs BF1-2
03/04/26HBF Vs Cardiff MET3-1
28/03/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs BF1-0
21/03/26HBF Vs Flint Town United0-0
16/03/26ACardiff MET Vs BF0-2
13/03/26Allanelli AFC Vs BF0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff MET
Cardiff MET
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.26
HomeLWDWL1.42
AwayLWLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals3.003.622.33
Over 1.5 %80%92%67%
Over 2.5 %56%69%42%
Over 3.5 %40%50%29%
Scored1.401.651.12
Conceded1.601.961.21
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet18%12%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.34
HomeLWDWW1.12
AwayLWDLW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%42%
AVG goals3.022.833.19
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored1.401.171.62
Conceded1.621.671.58
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet26%21%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches