Cardiff MET vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with the probability of a Cardiff MET victory at 30%, a draw at 26%, and a GAP Connah S Quay FC win at 43%. The expected total goals hover around three, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.2% chance. Cardiff MET, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while GAP Connah S Quay FC, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries an 81.1% probability. The match is expected to be competitive, but the away side’s recent five-game winning streak and higher scoring average give them the edge.

Cardiff MET’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, yet the model’s favourite was an away win, a pick that proved correct as GAP Connah S Quay FC sealed a 0-3 victory. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 43 percent. The model’s single suggested selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 81.1 percent chance. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result of an away win, confirming the model’s overall accuracy. The prediction of a 2-goal total was the most likely outcome at 24 percent, but the match produced three goals, underscoring the uncertainty in total-goals markets.