Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC Result & Analysis

The match between Cardiff MET and Haverfordwest County AFC is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: 38% for Cardiff, 29% for a draw and 33% for Haverfordwest. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. Cardiff, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Haverfordwest, on the road, averages 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 75% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.1%. The recent form adds intrigue: Cardiff are on a two-game winning streak after a 5-0 thrashing of Ammanford, whereas Haverfordwest are coming off a win after a string of losses. This balance makes the outcome uncertain, but the favourite remains a Cardiff win.

Cardiff MET extended a two-game winning run to finish 2-0 over Haverfordwest County AFC, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 38% probability and was right. The model’s selections proved accurate: Over 1.5 goals, with a 75% chance, hit; Under 3.5 goals, at 73.1%, also hit. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 (13.7%) was not the outcome. Cardiff’s home form, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, contrasted with Haverfordwest’s away average of 0.86 scored and 1.57 conceded. The match delivered on the model’s expectations.