The New Saints are the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win. This is largely due to their impressive away form, having scored an average of 2.13 goals and conceded just 0.6 per game against weaker opponents. In contrast, Cardiff MET's home form is less impressive, having scored only 1.44 goals and conceded 2.33 per game against stronger opponents.
The model predicts a high-scoring match with an expected total of 3.1 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 11%. The home side's recent form is also noteworthy, having won their last two games, including a 2-0 victory over Airbus UK.
The model's selection is an away win, with a probability of 67%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 82.7%. The home win percentage is 13%, the draw percentage is 20%, and the away win percentage is 67%.
Results analysis
The New Saints extended their three-game winning streak with a 5-0 triumph over Cardiff MET, confirming the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had assigned a 67 % probability to the away victory, and it proved correct. The final score of 0-5 matched the most likely outcome, and the model’s selections performed strongly: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.7 %, Under 7.5 at 98.5 %, Under 6.5 at 96.0 %, Away +2 handicap at 95.8 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 94.4 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 93.9 %, and Under 5.5 at 90.3 %. All picks were settled, and every probability was expressed as a percentage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cardiff MET win✗ Miss
12.7%
Avg Implied 12.7% · @ 7.10
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.20
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Pinnacle
7.85
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied 19.5% · @ 4.64
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.07
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.85
The New Saints win✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 67.8% · @ 1.33
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.44
SBO
1.37
Unibet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Dafabet
1.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cardiff MET
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
1.88
1.62
1.36
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.56
1.41
1.87
1.67
1.17
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
The New Saints
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
0.80
2.50
0.86
2.19
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
2.34
0.79
2.50
0.86
2.20
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.16+3.9%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 4.32-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
888Sport
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.56+1.7%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 2.22-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.59
888Sport
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
888Sport
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.0%
@ 2.40-0.1%
Under 3.5
62.0%
@ 1.48+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
888Sport
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Under
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.4%
@ 1.82+3.2%
No
46.6%
@ 1.84-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
No
Unibet
1.97
888Sport
1.95
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.0%@ 6.32+4.2%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.27+3.9%
1-1
9.6%@ 8.34+4.5%
0-1
9.0%@ 6.86+2.7%
0-3
8.2%@ 8.42+3.1%
1-3
7.3%@ 9.73+2.9%
0-0
5.3%@ 13.65+2.1%
0-4
4.6%@ 13.79+1.5%
Cardiff MET goals ↓
The New Saints goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
9.0%
11%
8.2%
4.6%
1
3.0%
9.6%
9.8%
7.3%
4.1%
2
1.7%
3.9%
4.3%
3.2%
1.8%
3
0.5%
1.1%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff MET goals (down), columns = The New Saints goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Cardiff MET is 0.67 points worse than The New Saints in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Cardiff MET and The New Saints are level in goals scored per game (both 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Cardiff MET is 0.67 goals worse than The New Saints in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cardiff MET or Draw✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.88
Edge
+1.2%
13%
20%
67%
covers Cardiff MET + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Cardiff MET or The New Saints✓ Hit
79.7%
Avg Implied 81.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
-1.9%
13%
20%
67%
covers Cardiff MET + The New Saints
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.12
Draw or The New Saints✓ Hit
87.3%
Avg Implied 86.6% · @ 1.06
Edge
+0.7%
13%
20%
67%
covers Draw + The New Saints
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
Unibet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.8%
@ 1.67+3.6%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.06-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
888Sport
2.30
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 4.23+0.6%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.18-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Under
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 10.88-2.5%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
12.00
1xBet
11.00
Bet365
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Cardiff MET over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 21.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.3%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Under
10.7%
@ 6.75-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.90
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
7.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.85
The New Saints over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
65.4%
@ 1.42+0.8%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.59-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Under
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.75
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
The New Saints over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
38.7%
@ 2.30-1.3%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.53+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.50
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
The New Saints over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
18.8%
@ 4.38-2.3%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.80
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
Under
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.15
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cardiff MET, so a minus line means Cardiff MET give that many goals of a start and The New Saints receive them. At -1, Cardiff MET must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cardiff MET win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cardiff MET)Actual: The New Saints
Cardiff MET -2
1.0%
@ 51.00-0.9%
Draw -2
3.2%
@ 26.00-0.5%
The New Saints +2
95.8%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
51.00
Draw
Bet365
26.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Cardiff MET)Actual: The New Saints
Cardiff MET -1
4.2%
@ 21.00-0.2%
Draw -1
8.4%
@ 10.00-0.8%
The New Saints +1
87.3%
@ 1.07+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap +1 (Cardiff MET)Actual: The New Saints
Cardiff MET +1
33.0%
@ 2.91+3.0%
Draw +1
22.6%
@ 3.48-2.5%
The New Saints -1
44.5%
@ 1.93-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Unibet
2.50
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.00
Away
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Handicap +2 (Cardiff MET)Actual: The New Saints
Cardiff MET +2
55.5%
@ 1.76+6.2%
Draw +2
20.3%
@ 3.84-2.3%
The New Saints -2
24.1%
@ 3.11-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Unibet
1.57
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Unibet
3.05
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cardiff MET
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.62
0.69
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
The New Saints
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
0.86
0.43
1.12
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (29)
1.03
0.34
0.86
0.43
1.20
0.27
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.24+1.0%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.31-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.26+5.5%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.53-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 4.89-2.9%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.10+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betfair
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.4%
@ 2.95-1.6%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.32+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 11.00-2.8%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.9%
@ 1.46+2.6%
Under
34.1%
@ 2.52-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.58
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
The New Saints over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 3.24+5.0%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.28-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
The New Saints over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 8.60+1.6%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.04-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cardiff MET
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
1.25
0.94
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
0.78
1.20
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
The New Saints
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.47
1.64
0.43
1.06
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
1.31
0.45
1.64
0.43
1.00
0.47
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.02
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.3%
1.07
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
87.3%
1.06
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
Unibet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
87.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.10
Betfair
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
81.2%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
79.7%
1.12
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.12
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.4%
1.17
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.15
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
77.7%
1.18
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.32
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
The New Saints · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Holden25%
Jordan Williams14%
Declan McManus12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ashley Baker25%
Declan McManus25%
Sion Bradley17%
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Connor Roberts12%
Daniel Redmond12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Daniel Williams12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Leo Smith0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Declan McManus0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Declan McManus25%
Jordan Williams14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Cardiff MET's squad is €2m less valuable than The New Saints's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and The New Saints have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and The New Saints have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Cardiff MET and The New Saints have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →