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Cardiff vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Cardiff
Cardiff
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Match preview & prediction

Cardiff’s defensive record at home shows they concede 1.18 goals per game against similar opposition, while Stoke’s away form lets in just one goal on average, hinting at a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a Cardiff win, with a 39% chance, a draw at 31%, and a Stoke win at 30%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal match with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6% chance. Cardiff’s home scoring average is 0.91 goals, and they concede 1.18, whereas Stoke’s away scoring sits at 1.17 with a 1.00 concession rate. Suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners at 82.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.7%, Under 3.5 at 81.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.0%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.4%. The match is poised for a narrow Cardiff victory.

Results analysis

Cardiff’s 2-1 win over Stoke extended a modest home run, while Stoke returned to the table after a narrow victory. The model’s favourite was a home win at 39%, and it proved correct. The most likely score was 1-1, but the match settled on 2-1, with the total goals 3, higher than the expected 2.2. The model’s selections delivered a mix of hits and misses: Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.7%, Under 3.5 hit at 81.2%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 75.9%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 71.4%. The other picks - Under 11.5 corners, Under 10.5 corners, and Over 2.5 cards - missed, each with probabilities of 82.9%, 73.9%, and 73.0% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.57
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.14
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.93
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W12L20W11D12L01L10W21W00DA·BAR02/02H·PET09/02A·MIL12/02H·COV15/02H·BLA19/02A·HUD23/02H·FUL26/02H·DER01/03A·QPR05/03H·PRE12/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.570.881.121.292.07
vs Stronger (7)0.571.430.801.000.002.50
vs Similar (23)1.221.610.911.181.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D30W22D22D12L12L01L11D22DA·COV25/01A·HUD28/01H·SWA08/02A·NOT12/02H·BIR19/02H·LUT23/02A·BOU26/02H·BLA05/03A·BAR08/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.271.201.131.13
vs Stronger (5)1.001.801.002.001.001.67
vs Similar (25)1.241.041.311.081.171.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.7%
@ 2.40-0.9%
Under 2.5
61.3%
@ 1.57+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
Cardiff goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
012%9.7%5.7%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.8%2.4%0.6%
27.8%8.0%4.1%1.4%0.4%
33.1%3.2%1.7%0.6%0.1%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fulham
1.96
Bournemouth
1.91
Huddersfield
1.78
Nottingham Forest
1.74
Luton
1.63
Sheffield United
1.63
Middlesbrough
1.52
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
West Brom
1.46
QPR
1.43
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.39
Stoke
1.35
Swansea
1.33
Blackpool
1.30
Bristol City
1.20
Derby
1.20
Cardiff
1.15
Hull
1.11
Reading
1.02
Birmingham
1.02
Peterboro
0.80
Barnsley
0.65
Cardiff is 0.20 points worse than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fulham
2.30
Bournemouth
1.61
Nottingham Forest
1.59
Huddersfield
1.39
Luton
1.37
Sheffield United
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Coventry
1.30
QPR
1.30
Middlesbrough
1.28
Blackburn
1.28
Swansea
1.26
Stoke
1.24
Reading
1.17
Blackpool
1.17
Millwall
1.15
Preston
1.13
West Brom
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Derby
0.98
Peterboro
0.93
Hull
0.89
Barnsley
0.72
Cardiff is 0.15 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bournemouth
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.87
Fulham
0.93
Millwall
0.98
West Brom
0.98
Sheffield United
0.98
Huddersfield
1.02
Middlesbrough
1.09
Blackburn
1.09
Stoke
1.13
Derby
1.15
Hull
1.17
Luton
1.20
Preston
1.22
Blackpool
1.26
Coventry
1.28
QPR
1.28
Swansea
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Barnsley
1.59
Birmingham
1.63
Bristol City
1.67
Reading
1.89
Peterboro
1.89
Cardiff is 0.35 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Swansea
64%
Fulham
61%
Sheffield United
57%
Bournemouth
57%
QPR
54%
Coventry
53%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Derby
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Preston
50%
Middlesbrough
49%
Huddersfield
48%
Peterboro
48%
Reading
48%
Millwall
46%
Hull
46%
Blackpool
46%
Cardiff
45%
Barnsley
45%
Blackburn
45%
Bristol City
45%
Luton
44%
Birmingham
44%
Cardiff is 7.5 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CardiffCardiff

For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

17052283689212324256766710917145611136H·PREA·QPRH·DERH·FULA·HUDH·BLAH·COVA·MILH·PETA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

902212422723121131424164943146H·PREA·QPRH·DERH·FULA·HUDH·BLAH·COVA·MILH·PETA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

270751281110121095151110610141710111412202122142616242725H·PREA·QPRH·DERH·FULA·HUDH·BLAH·COVA·MILH·PETA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1203382223666525581535561049127109810A·PETA·BARH·BLAA·BOUH·LUTH·BIRA·NOTH·SWAA·HUDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80212334416342532123268707753A·PETA·BARH·BLAA·BOUH·LUTH·BIRA·NOTH·SWAA·HUDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

290101811151510111681181014157141089628262527191829211815A·PETA·BARH·BLAA·BOUH·LUTH·BIRA·NOTH·SWAA·HUDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.53.63.83.421.821.622.1
vs Stronger (11)10.210.59.83.74.23.220.220.819.4
vs Similar (38)8.98.39.53.63.83.422.221.522.8
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-27.027.0-
% over line38%31%46%48%62%33%56%62%50%
% under line62%69%54%52%38%67%44%38%50%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.310.23.74.03.422.222.222.2
vs Stronger (11)9.710.09.63.52.54.022.218.824.1
vs Similar (38)9.68.910.43.94.53.222.122.821.4
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-23.023.0-
% over line48%40%56%48%56%40%54%60%48%
% under line52%60%44%52%44%60%46%40%52%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Middlesbrough
10.7
West Brom
10.5
QPR
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Sheffield United
10.0
Luton
9.9
Bournemouth
9.8
Stoke
9.8
Bristol City
9.6
Millwall
9.6
Coventry
9.5
Nottingham Forest
9.5
Barnsley
9.4
Preston
9.3
Hull
9.3
Cardiff
9.2
Huddersfield
9.2
Blackburn
9.1
Peterboro
9.1
Reading
9.1
Blackpool
9.0
Birmingham
8.9
Derby
8.8
Swansea
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Blackburn
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Middlesbrough
4.0
Derby
3.8
Stoke
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Blackpool
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Reading
3.5
Swansea
3.5
Peterboro
3.4
Preston
3.4
Sheffield United
3.4
Hull
3.4
Barnsley
3.3
Luton
3.3
Fulham
3.3
Huddersfield
3.3
Millwall
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Bristol City
3.2
QPR
3.2
Birmingham
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Reading
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Middlesbrough
23.3
Peterboro
23.0
Bournemouth
22.8
Coventry
22.8
Luton
22.7
Birmingham
22.6
Blackpool
22.4
Blackburn
22.4
Preston
22.4
Hull
22.3
Stoke
22.2
Derby
22.1
Swansea
22.1
Millwall
22.1
Cardiff
21.8
West Brom
21.6
Barnsley
21.5
QPR
21.4
Bristol City
20.9
Fulham
20.9
Huddersfield
20.2
Sheffield United
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.6%
Under 9.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 3.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.1%
Under 21.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D01L00D01L00D01L00DA·BAR02/02H·PET09/02A·MIL12/02H·COV15/02H·BLA19/02A·HUD23/02H·FUL26/02H·DER01/03A·QPR05/03H·PRE12/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.700.250.560.210.86
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.200.400.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.260.780.270.640.250.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D00D11D00D10W00D00D11DA·COV25/01A·HUD28/01H·SWA08/02A·NOT12/02H·BIR19/02H·LUT23/02A·BOU26/02H·BLA05/03A·BAR08/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.470.330.470.40
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.501.000.330.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.360.460.230.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W12L20W10W12L00D10W20W00DA·BAR02/02H·PET09/02A·MIL12/02H·COV15/02H·BLA19/02A·HUD23/02H·FUL26/02H·DER01/03A·QPR05/03H·PRE12/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.620.561.071.21
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.600.600.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.960.830.640.551.251.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W22D11D12L02L01L11D11DA·COV25/01A·HUD28/01H·SWA08/02A·NOT12/02H·BIR19/02H·LUT23/02A·BOU26/02H·BLA05/03A·BAR08/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.800.870.670.73
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.501.000.671.67
vs Similar (25)0.760.680.850.850.670.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners82.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cardiff · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Salech60%
Jack Moylan40%
Cian Ashford40%
Rubin Colwill25%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Robertson40%
Rubin Colwill25%
Perry Ng20%
Jack Moylan20%
Isaak Davies20%
Joel Colwill20%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Yousef Salech0%
Cian Ashford0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cian Ashford40%
Rubin Colwill25%
Ronan Kpakio25%
Yousef Salech20%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Jack Moylan0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Salech80%
Jack Moylan40%
Cian Ashford20%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Stoke · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Róbert Boženík40%
Eric Bocat25%
Sam Gallagher20%
Ethan Galbraith20%
George Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Million Manhoef0%
Tomáš Rigo0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bosun Lawal50%
Jun-Ho Bae50%
Sam Gallagher40%
George Hirst33%
Svante Ingelsson33%
Maksym Talovierov33%
Luke Graham33%
Sorba Thomas20%
Ethan Galbraith20%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Million Manhoef0%
Tomáš Rigo0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Rigo25%
Jun-Ho Bae25%
Sorba Thomas20%
Sam Gallagher20%
George Hirst0%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Million Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Gallagher40%
Tomáš Rigo25%
George Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Million Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
NFO (28)
€551m
FUL (21)
€329m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
Cardiff's squad is €50m less valuable than Stoke's (€29m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
FUL (9)
€178m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
BAR (5)
€2m
Cardiff's attack is €20m less valuable than Stoke's (€15m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
SHU (5)
€32m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PET (5)
€1m
Cardiff's midfield is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€4m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BOU (14)
€182m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
Cardiff's defence is €22m less valuable than Stoke's (€10m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
CAR wins
2
Draws
0
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff vs Stoke · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/21AStoke Vs CAR3-3
16/03/21HCAR Vs Stoke0-0
08/12/20AStoke Vs CAR1-2

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/22HCAR Vs Preston0-0
05/03/22AQPR Vs CAR1-2
01/03/22HCAR Vs Derby1-0
26/02/22HCAR Vs Fulham0-1
23/02/22AHuddersfield Vs CAR2-1
19/02/22HCAR Vs Blackpool1-1
15/02/22HCAR Vs Coventry2-0
12/02/22AMillwall Vs CAR2-1
09/02/22HCAR Vs Peterboro4-0
02/02/22ABarnsley Vs CAR0-1

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/22APeterboro Vs STK2-2
08/03/22ABarnsley Vs STK1-1
05/03/22HSTK Vs Blackpool0-1
26/02/22ABournemouth Vs STK2-1
23/02/22HSTK Vs Luton1-2
19/02/22HSTK Vs Birmingham2-2
12/02/22ANottingham Forest Vs STK2-2
08/02/22HSTK Vs Swansea3-0
28/01/22AHuddersfield Vs STK1-1
25/01/22ACoventry Vs STK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff
Cardiff
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.22
HomeWDLWD1.15
AwayLWLLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.582.232.96
Over 1.5 %72%62%83%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.201.121.29
Conceded1.381.121.67
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners9.188.859.54
Cards3.623.853.38
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.22
HomeLWDLL1.28
AwayDDLDD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.342.482.20
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.181.201.16
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners9.769.3210.20
Cards3.744.043.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FulhamFulham4690
59%
2.0
10643+63
3.2
80%
54%
35%
10.4
57%
3.9
50%
21.1
43%
329
178281232.30.9
61%
2BournemouthBournemouth4688
54%
1.9
7439+35
2.5
74%
50%
20%
10.1
61%
4.2
59%
21.8
50%
573
2851061821.60.8
57%
3HuddersfieldHuddersfield4682
50%
1.8
6447+17
2.4
74%
43%
17%
9.4
46%
3.6
50%
19.5
30%
16
4481.41.0
48%
4Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest4680
50%
1.7
7340+33
2.5
78%
46%
20%
9.9
54%
4.7
72%
23.2
59%
551
263522361.60.9
50%
5Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4675
46%
1.6
6345+18
2.3
63%
41%
28%
9.8
50%
3.7
50%
20.6
48%
110
2932491.41.0
57%
6LutonLuton4675
46%
1.6
6355+8
2.6
72%
48%
26%
9.5
52%
3.9
52%
22.9
50%
29
134121.41.2
44%
7MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4670
43%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
76%
39%
20%
10.3
61%
4.6
67%
23.0
67%
142
7427411.31.1
49%
8BlackburnBlackburn4669
41%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
65%
43%
24%
9.3
54%
4.5
65%
22.0
57%
36
157141.31.1
45%
9MillwallMillwall4669
39%
1.5
5345+8
2.1
67%
37%
13%
10.4
59%
3.3
39%
21.1
48%
85
3029251.21.0
46%
10West BromWest Brom4667
39%
1.5
5245+7
2.1
63%
39%
20%
9.8
54%
3.5
50%
21.1
46%
52
1522151.11.0
52%
11QPRQPR4666
41%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
52%
24%
10.0
50%
3.5
46%
21.6
43%
71
2915271.31.3
54%
12CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
48%
26%
10.6
63%
3.8
52%
21.1
43%
237
8552991.31.3
53%
13PrestonPreston4664
35%
1.4
5256-4
2.3
67%
48%
24%
9.9
54%
3.7
54%
21.7
43%
43
173221.11.2
50%
14StokeStoke4662
37%
1.3
5752+5
2.4
67%
46%
20%
10.2
54%
3.8
54%
20.5
39%
79
3511321.21.1
52%
15SwanseaSwansea4661
35%
1.3
5868-10
2.7
67%
52%
35%
8.9
48%
3.9
48%
21.7
43%
91
569261.31.5
64%
16BlackpoolBlackpool4660
35%
1.3
5458-4
2.4
70%
41%
20%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
21.5
48%
11
4341.21.3
46%
17DerbyDerby4655
30%
1.2
4553-8
2.1
63%
39%
17%
9.3
50%
4.1
59%
21.1
37%
57
2514181.01.2
51%
18Bristol CityBristol City4655
33%
1.2
6277-15
3.0
85%
61%
33%
10.1
52%
3.4
46%
20.6
41%
66
2919181.31.7
45%
19CardiffCardiff4653
33%
1.2
5068-18
2.6
72%
52%
22%
9.5
37%
3.8
52%
20.3
41%
29
154101.11.5
45%
20HullHull4651
30%
1.1
4154-13
2.1
67%
30%
13%
9.7
59%
3.3
43%
20.7
35%
105
2231520.91.2
46%
21BirminghamBirmingham4647
24%
1.0
5075-25
2.7
78%
54%
28%
9.7
52%
3.2
46%
21.4
50%
93
4612351.11.6
44%
22ReadingReading4647
28%
1.0
5487-33
3.1
74%
59%
35%
9.0
41%
3.8
52%
22.3
52%
10
3341.21.9
48%
23PeterboroPeterboro4637
20%
0.8
4387-44
2.8
80%
61%
30%
9.7
50%
3.5
43%
22.4
52%
7
3130.91.9
48%
24BarnsleyBarnsley4630
13%
0.7
3373-40
2.3
74%
37%
17%
9.8
52%
3.2
39%
21.1
46%
8
2330.71.6
45%
England: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches