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Cardiff vs Watford Prediction & Stats

Date: 13/10/2026
Time: 18:45
Cardiff
Cardiff
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Cardiff are tipped to lift the trophy at home, a 46% chance of victory the most likely outcome, with the draw and away win probabilities at 27% each. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals, but the average total of 2 goals is the most probable, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 12.8% probability. Cardiff’s home form against similar opponents shows 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Watford’s away record against similar teams is 0.93 scored and 1.87 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Under 5.5 (93.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.8%), Home +2 handicap (88.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.3%) and Under 4.5 (84.7%). Cardiff entered the game after a 2-2 draw with Sheffield United, while Watford also came off a 1-1 draw against West Ham.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff win
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W10W51W45L32W11D22D12L22D12LA·REA18/04H·POR22/04H·NOR25/04A·MAN02/05H·SWI08/08H·WRE17/08A·DER22/08H·NOR25/08H·SHE29/08A·QPR02/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.271.871.002.131.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (21)1.571.481.401.001.731.91
vs Weaker (8)3.250.753.251.003.250.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L03L15L04L10W21W11D15L11D02LH·SHE18/04A·WES21/04A·MID25/04H·COV02/05H·CRA08/08H·SOU16/08A·WRE22/08H·PET25/08H·WES29/08A·SWA01/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.701.001.470.801.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (26)0.921.651.091.270.801.93
vs Weaker (2)1.002.501.002.50--
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
Cardiff goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
07.5%6.0%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.1%13%6.6%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.5%5.4%2.0%0.6%
34.5%5.2%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Cardiff is 0.06 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Cardiff is 0.08 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Cardiff is 0.05 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CardiffCardiff

For 6.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

1804312253779963863266977148141891451216A·QPRH·SHEH·NORA·DERH·WREH·SWIA·MANH·NORH·PORA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

70222311521312111432446243217A·QPRH·SHEH·NORA·DERH·WREH·SWIA·MANH·NORH·PORA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2501210121212131012913817714128361162224252222252120917A·QPRH·SHEH·NORA·DERH·WREH·SWIA·MANH·NORH·PORA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 4.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1403531122310481216363485814413121369713A·SWAH·WESH·PETA·WREH·SOUH·CRAH·COVA·MIDA·WESH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

90431126323212134244412953376A·SWAH·WESH·PETA·WREH·SOUH·CRAH·COVA·MIDA·WESH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.1

⚠️ Fouls

2601469779111312911131610108151111920161624212426182620A·SWAH·WESH·PETA·WREH·SOUH·CRAH·COVA·MIDA·WESH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.010.93.02.83.220.219.720.9
vs Stronger (3)13.714.013.02.72.53.019.018.021.0
vs Similar (34)11.411.711.13.02.83.220.519.921.2
vs Weaker (13)9.28.69.83.02.93.219.919.720.2
% over line64%61%67%42%40%44%34%35%33%
% under line36%39%33%58%60%56%66%65%67%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.53.93.84.020.621.319.9
vs Stronger (3)9.310.57.04.04.53.020.723.016.0
vs Similar (45)10.610.510.73.93.84.020.621.320.1
vs Weaker (2)8.58.5-3.03.0-20.020.0-
% over line60%57%64%50%50%50%33%35%32%
% under line40%43%36%50%50%50%67%65%68%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.5%
Under 9.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
44.3%
Under 21.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cardiff or Draw
74.5%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Cardiff + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cardiff or Watford
73.1%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Cardiff + Watford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Watford
52.4%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Watford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cardiff over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
Under
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5
Over
48.4%
Under
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5
Over
68.0%
Under
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5
Over
31.5%
Under
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Cardiff, so a minus line means Cardiff give that many goals of a start and Watford receive them. At -1, Cardiff must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cardiff win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cardiff)
Cardiff -2
10.8%
Draw -2
14.8%
Watford +2
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Cardiff)
Cardiff -1
25.6%
Draw -1
22.0%
Watford +1
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Cardiff)
Cardiff +1
74.5%
Draw +1
15.0%
Watford -1
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Cardiff)
Cardiff +2
89.6%
Draw +2
7.2%
Watford -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W03L21W01L21W01L22D01LA·REA18/04H·POR22/04H·NOR25/04A·MAN02/05H·SWI08/08H·WRE17/08A·DER22/08H·NOR25/08H·SHE29/08A·QPR02/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.000.530.930.87
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (21)0.900.810.900.500.911.09
vs Weaker (8)1.250.381.500.501.000.25
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L02L02L00D20W11D02L11D02LH·SHE18/04A·WES21/04A·MID25/04H·COV02/05H·CRA08/08H·SOU16/08A·WRE22/08H·PET25/08H·WES29/08A·SWA01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.530.400.201.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (26)0.380.650.640.180.201.00
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W21W42W11D10W01L11D00D11DA·REA18/04H·POR22/04H·NOR25/04A·MAN02/05H·SWI08/08H·WRE17/08A·DER22/08H·NOR25/08H·SHE29/08A·QPR02/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.570.870.471.200.67
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.670.670.500.500.820.82
vs Weaker (8)2.000.381.750.502.250.25
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L13L02L10W01L00D13L00D00DH·SHE18/04A·WES21/04A·MID25/04H·COV02/05H·CRA08/08H·SOU16/08A·WRE22/08H·PET25/08H·WES29/08A·SWA01/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.471.070.600.93
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (26)0.541.000.451.090.600.93
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Under 6.597.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.1%-------
Under 5.593.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.7%-------
Home +2 handicap89.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.3%-------
Under 4.585.3%-------
Under 25.5 fouls83.7%-------
Under 5.5 cards80.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals77.6%-------
Over 1.577.5%-------
Home or Draw74.5%-------
Home +1 handicap74.5%-------
Away +2 handicap74.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------
Home or Away73.1%-------
Over 8.5 corners73.1%-------
Under 23.5 fouls71.6%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Salech50%
Jack Moylan33%
Cian Ashford33%
Rubin Colwill20%
Perry Ng17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Perry Ng33%
Alex Robertson33%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Jack Moylan17%
Isaak Davies17%
Joel Colwill17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Yousef Salech0%
Cian Ashford0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cian Ashford33%
Ronan Kpakio25%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Yousef Salech17%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Jack Moylan0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Salech67%
Jack Moylan33%
Perry Ng17%
Cian Ashford17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amin Nabizada33%
Luca Kjerrumgaard25%
Iker Bravo20%
M. Doumbia17%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Payero0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
O. Traoré0%
F. Ravaglia0%
H. Kyprianou0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Othmane Maamma0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
H. Kyprianou33%
Edoardo Bove33%
K. Keben33%
Othmane Maamma33%
J. Zemura25%
M. Payero20%
M. Pollock20%
O. Traoré20%
Iker Bravo20%
M. Doumbia17%
Amin Nabizada17%
E. Kayembe0%
F. Ravaglia0%
R. Vata0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Traoré20%
Amin Nabizada17%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Payero0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
F. Ravaglia0%
H. Kyprianou0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Iker Bravo0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Othmane Maamma0%
M. Doumbia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luca Kjerrumgaard50%
Iker Bravo40%
M. Payero20%
H. Kyprianou17%
M. Doumbia17%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
O. Traoré0%
F. Ravaglia0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Othmane Maamma0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Cardiff's squad is €59m less valuable than Watford's (€29m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Cardiff's attack is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€15m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Cardiff's midfield is €35m less valuable than Watford's (€4m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Cardiff's defence is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€10m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
CAR wins
2
Draws
2
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff vs Watford · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/25HCAR Vs Watford1-1
29/12/24AWatford Vs CAR1-2
03/02/24AWatford Vs CAR0-1
07/10/23HCAR Vs Watford1-1
19/04/23AWatford Vs CAR1-3
02/11/22HCAR Vs Watford1-2
13/03/21HCAR Vs Watford1-2
05/12/20AWatford Vs CAR0-1

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AQPR Vs CAR2-1
29/08/26HCAR Vs Sheffield United2-2
25/08/26HCAR Vs Norwich1-2
22/08/26ADerby Vs CAR2-2
17/08/26HCAR Vs Wrexham1-1
08/08/26HCAR Vs Swindon3-2
02/05/26AMansfield Vs CAR5-4
25/04/26HCAR Vs Northampton5-1
22/04/26HCAR Vs Port Vale1-0
18/04/26AReading Vs CAR1-3

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ASwansea Vs WAT2-0
29/08/26HWAT Vs West Ham1-1
25/08/26HWAT Vs Peterboro1-5
22/08/26AWrexham Vs WAT1-1
16/08/26HWAT Vs Southampton2-1
08/08/26HWAT Vs Crawley Town1-0
02/05/26HWAT Vs Coventry0-4
25/04/26AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT5-1
21/04/26AWest Brom Vs WAT3-0
18/04/26HWAT Vs Sheffield United0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff
Cardiff
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.74
HomeWWDLD1.96
AwayDWLDL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.203.243.16
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.881.961.80
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS66%60%72%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.8210.9610.67
Cards3.453.323.58
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.22
HomeLWWLD1.58
AwayLLLDL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.682.542.83
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored1.141.271.00
Conceded1.541.271.83
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet16%23%8%
Corners10.3810.4210.33
Cards4.384.424.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches