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Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 1-5
Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
Vs
27%
26%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Carrick Rangers win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Glentoran win✓ Hit
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L33D01L11D20W10W02L23L31WA·LAR26/12H·CRU02/01H·CLI13/01A·COL24/01H·GLE28/01A·NEW10/02H·BAL14/02A·LIN18/02H·LAR25/02A·POR04/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.341.831.601.531.072.14
vs Stronger (13)0.922.151.502.170.432.14
vs Similar (16)1.691.561.671.111.712.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L01L31W60W20W22D30W31W12L00DA·BAL02/01H·LAR14/01A·NEW21/01H·DUN24/01H·CRU30/01A·COL11/02H·LIN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI25/02H·GLE28/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.890.712.380.461.470.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.470.871.750.621.141.14
vs Weaker (13)2.380.543.400.201.750.75
Clean sheet %54% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
Carrick Rangers goals ↓
Glentoran goals →
01234
06.6%8.1%7.7%4.3%1.8%
15.7%12%9.4%5.2%2.2%
24.2%7.0%5.8%3.2%1.3%
31.7%2.9%2.4%1.3%0.6%
40.5%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carrick Rangers goals (down), columns = Glentoran goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Linfield
2.03
Glentoran
2.00
Cliftonville FC
1.77
Crusaders FC
1.76
Coleraine FC
1.59
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.33
Carrick Rangers
1.05
Ballymena United
1.03
Dungannon Swifts
0.82
Newry City AFC
0.71
Portadown
0.68
Carrick Rangers is 0.95 points worse than Glentoran in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glentoran
2.10
Linfield
1.97
Crusaders FC
1.89
Cliftonville FC
1.70
Larne
1.68
Coleraine FC
1.54
Glenavon FC
1.49
Carrick Rangers
1.18
Annagh United
1.00
Ballymena United
0.97
Newry City AFC
0.92
Portadown
0.84
Dungannon Swifts
0.78
Carrick Rangers is 0.92 goals worse than Glentoran in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 2.10).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.58
Glentoran
0.70
Linfield
0.71
Coleraine FC
1.05
Crusaders FC
1.18
Cliftonville FC
1.40
Ballymena United
1.45
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.69
Carrick Rangers
1.95
Newry City AFC
1.95
Dungannon Swifts
2.15
Portadown
2.26
Carrick Rangers is 1.25 goals worse than Glentoran in terms of goals conceded per game (1.95 vs 0.70).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L13L00D00D10W10W00D00D11DA·LAR26/12H·CRU02/01H·CLI13/01A·COL24/01H·GLE28/01A·NEW10/02H·BAL14/02A·LIN18/02H·LAR25/02A·POR04/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.860.600.670.501.07
vs Stronger (13)0.380.920.500.830.291.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.810.670.560.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D20W50W00D11D10W11D02L00DA·BAL02/01H·LAR14/01A·NEW21/01H·DUN24/01H·CRU30/01A·COL11/02H·LIN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI25/02H·GLE28/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.391.000.310.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.530.380.380.290.71
vs Weaker (13)1.380.232.000.201.000.25
Clean sheet %68% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carrick Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W01L11D10W00D02L23L20WA·LAR26/12H·CRU02/01H·CLI13/01A·COL24/01H·GLE28/01A·NEW10/02H·BAL14/02A·LIN18/02H·LAR25/02A·POR04/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.971.000.870.571.07
vs Stronger (13)0.541.231.001.330.141.14
vs Similar (16)1.000.751.000.561.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D10W20W11D20W20W10W00DA·BAL02/01H·LAR14/01A·NEW21/01H·DUN24/01H·CRU30/01A·COL11/02H·LIN14/02A·BAL17/02A·CLI25/02H·GLE28/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.321.380.150.800.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.130.331.380.250.860.43
vs Weaker (13)1.000.311.400.000.750.50
Clean sheet %71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Carrick Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Carrick Rangers's squad is €1m less valuable than Glentoran's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Carrick Rangers and Glentoran have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Carrick Rangers and Glentoran have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Carrick Rangers and Glentoran have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CR wins
0
Draws
1
GLE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/22AGlentoran Vs CR5-0

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23APortadown Vs CR1-3
25/02/23HCR Vs Larne2-3
18/02/23ALinfield Vs CR2-0
14/02/23HCR Vs Ballymena United1-0
10/02/23ANewry City AFC Vs CR0-2
28/01/23HCR Vs Glenavon FC1-1
24/01/23AColeraine FC Vs CR1-0
13/01/23HCR Vs Cliftonville FC3-3
02/01/23HCR Vs Crusaders FC0-3
26/12/22ALarne Vs CR0-0

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/23HGLE Vs Glenavon FC0-0
25/02/23ACliftonville FC Vs GLE2-1
17/02/23ABallymena United Vs GLE1-3
14/02/23HGLE Vs Linfield3-0
11/02/23AColeraine FC Vs GLE2-2
30/01/23HGLE Vs Crusaders FC2-0
24/01/23HGLE Vs Dungannon Swifts6-0
21/01/23ANewry City AFC Vs GLE1-3
14/01/23HGLE Vs Larne0-1
02/01/23ABallymena United Vs GLE2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.17
HomeLDDWL1.53
AwayDLWLW0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%47%21%
AVG goals3.173.133.21
Over 1.5 %76%80%71%
Over 2.5 %55%53%57%
Over 3.5 %41%27%57%
Scored1.341.601.07
Conceded1.831.532.14
BTTS48%47%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.86
HomeLWWWD2.15
AwayLWDWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%69%47%
AVG goals2.612.852.40
Over 1.5 %68%69%67%
Over 2.5 %57%62%53%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.892.381.47
Conceded0.710.460.93
BTTS32%23%40%
Clean Sheet54%62%47%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
6422+42
2.3
68%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.6
-
2GlentoranGlentoran4080
62%
2.0
8428+56
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
3LinfieldLinfield3877
61%
2.0
7527+48
2.7
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.7
-
4Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4071
52%
1.8
6856+12
3.1
80%
68%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.4
-
5Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3867
50%
1.8
7245+27
3.1
84%
66%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.2
-
6Coleraine FCColeraine FC3962
46%
1.6
6041+19
2.6
74%
51%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.1
-
7Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3952
36%
1.3
5866-8
3.2
77%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
8Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3840
32%
1.1
4574-29
3.1
76%
55%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.9
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
29%
1.0
3755-18
2.4
68%
45%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.4
-
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4033
25%
0.8
3186-55
2.9
85%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0110.82.1
-
11Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3827
21%
0.7
3574-39
2.9
79%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
12PortadownPortadown3826
18%
0.7
3286-54
3.1
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.82.3
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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