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Carrick Rangers vs Linfield Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
Vs
23%
28%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Carrick Rangers win✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Linfield win✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W51W30W32W21W11D32W11D01L12LA·CLI17/01H·DUN24/01A·POR31/01H·BAN03/02H·GLE10/02H·COL14/02A·LAR20/02H·BAN28/02A·GLE03/03A·BAL14/03
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.401.801.401.40
vs Stronger (14)1.002.000.502.171.381.88
vs Similar (16)1.751.252.001.561.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D10W21W60W30W41W10W11D02L31WH·LAR16/01A·CRU24/01H·BAL31/01H·DUN10/02A·GLE14/02A·DUN17/02H·GLE21/02A·LAR24/02A·CLI01/03H·POR10/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.732.430.501.120.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.641.000.500.500.711.29
vs Weaker (19)2.370.583.200.501.440.67
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
Carrick Rangers goals ↓
Linfield goals →
01234
09.3%11%9.6%4.9%1.9%
16.7%13%9.4%4.8%1.9%
23.9%5.9%4.6%2.4%0.9%
31.3%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carrick Rangers goals (down), columns = Linfield goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Annagh United
1.50
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Ballymena United
1.03
Bangor
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Glenavon FC
0.74
Carrick Rangers is 0.41 points worse than Linfield in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.77).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Annagh United
2.00
Glentoran
1.92
Larne
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Glenavon FC
0.97
Carrick Rangers is 0.03 goals better than Linfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.64).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Glenavon FC
1.82
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Carrick Rangers is 0.69 goals worse than Linfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 0.87).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W30W30W21W20W11D30W11D00D00DA·CLI17/01H·DUN24/01A·POR31/01H·BAN03/02H·GLE10/02H·COL14/02A·LAR20/02H·BAN28/02A·GLE03/03A·BAL14/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.730.801.130.47
vs Stronger (14)0.710.860.171.171.120.62
vs Similar (16)1.120.441.110.561.140.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W20W10W11D00D01L00D11DH·LAR16/01A·CRU24/01H·BAL31/01H·DUN10/02A·GLE14/02A·DUN17/02H·GLE21/02A·LAR24/02A·CLI01/03H·POR10/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.200.860.140.440.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.270.000.250.290.29
vs Weaker (19)0.890.161.200.100.560.22
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carrick Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D11D01L00D02L00D01L12LA·CLI17/01H·DUN24/01A·POR31/01H·BAN03/02H·GLE10/02H·COL14/02A·LAR20/02H·BAN28/02A·GLE03/03A·BAL14/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.671.000.270.93
vs Stronger (14)0.291.140.331.000.251.25
vs Similar (16)0.620.810.891.000.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D40W20W30W10W10W02L20WH·LAR16/01A·CRU24/01H·BAL31/01H·DUN10/02A·GLE14/02A·DUN17/02H·GLE21/02A·LAR24/02A·CLI01/03H·POR10/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.570.360.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.730.500.250.431.00
vs Weaker (19)1.470.422.000.400.890.44
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrick Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Carrick Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrick Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Carrick Rangers and Linfield have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Carrick Rangers and Linfield have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Carrick Rangers and Linfield have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Carrick Rangers and Linfield have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
CR wins
2
Draws
6
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers vs Linfield · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/26HCR Vs Linfield0-0
29/11/25ALinfield Vs CR3-1
11/01/25ALinfield Vs CR3-0
03/11/24HCR Vs Linfield1-3
21/09/24ALinfield Vs CR1-0
02/04/24HCR Vs Linfield2-3
13/10/23HCR Vs Linfield1-2
26/08/23ALinfield Vs CR3-3

Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26ABallymena United Vs CR2-1
03/03/26AGlentoran Vs CR1-0
28/02/26HCR Vs Bangor1-1
20/02/26ALarne Vs CR2-3
14/02/26HCR Vs Coleraine FC1-1
10/02/26HCR Vs Glenavon FC2-1
03/02/26HCR Vs Bangor3-2
31/01/26APortadown Vs CR0-3
24/01/26HCR Vs Dungannon Swifts5-1
17/01/26ACliftonville FC Vs CR1-4

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26HLIN Vs Portadown3-1
01/03/26ACliftonville FC Vs LIN2-0
24/02/26ALarne Vs LIN1-1
21/02/26HLIN Vs Glentoran1-0
17/02/26ADungannon Swifts Vs LIN1-4
14/02/26AGlenavon FC Vs LIN0-3
10/02/26HLIN Vs Dungannon Swifts6-0
31/01/26HLIN Vs Ballymena United2-1
24/01/26ACrusaders FC Vs LIN0-1
16/01/26HLIN Vs Larne0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.14
HomeWWWDD1.19
AwayWWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.942.733.17
Over 1.5 %74%65%83%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.341.231.46
Conceded1.601.501.71
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.82
HomeDWWWW2.42
AwayWWWDL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%77%29%
AVG goals2.342.582.08
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.582.041.08
Conceded0.760.541.00
BTTS36%35%38%
Clean Sheet48%54%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
7326+47
2.6
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.7
-
2Coleraine FCColeraine FC3880
66%
2.1
8337+46
3.2
87%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.0
-
3GlentoranGlentoran3877
61%
2.0
7338+35
2.9
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
4LinfieldLinfield3969
51%
1.8
6434+30
2.5
72%
49%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.60.9
-
5Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3953
38%
1.4
6561+4
3.2
82%
62%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.6
-
6Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC3953
38%
1.4
5661-5
3.0
77%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.6
-
7Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4152
41%
1.3
4882-34
3.2
83%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.22.0
-
8PortadownPortadown3844
34%
1.2
4466-22
2.9
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.7
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
26%
1.0
4658-12
2.7
89%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.5
-
10BangorBangor3839
26%
1.0
4165-24
2.8
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.7
-
11Crusaders FCCrusaders FC4039
28%
1.0
5285-33
3.4
85%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.32.1
-
12Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3828
21%
0.7
3769-32
2.8
79%
58%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.8
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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