

Carroi is coming off a win, having beaten Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-1. However, their home form against similar opponents has been modest, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.6. Atlético Améríca, on the other hand, has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, but their away scoring and conceding record against similar opponents is less impressive, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded.
This match is likely to be high-scoring, with an expected total of 4 goals and a most likely total of 6+. The most probable scoreline is a 2-1 home win for Carroi, with a probability of 8.1%.
Carroi is the favourite to win, with a 48% chance of victory, followed by a 31% chance of an Atlético Améríca win and a 22% chance of a draw. The model's selection is a home win.
The model suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a 91.5% probability, and BTTS Yes, with a 74.8% probability. Over 2.5 goals is not the model's selection, with a 76.1% probability of missing. Carroi has a 48% chance of winning, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 31% chance of losing.
A dramatic turn of events in Andorra's 2a Divisió, as Carroi's unbeaten run in front of their home fans came to an end with a 1-1 draw against Atlético América. The home side's win streak was extended to five matches, but it was not enough to secure all three points. In a major upset, the model's selection, a home win, failed to materialize, with the probability of 48% proving to be incorrect. Atlético América's away form, unbeaten in their last five matches, was a significant factor in the draw. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks performed well, with Over 1.5 goals hitting at 91.5% probability and BTTS Yes also hitting at 74.8%. However, the selection of Over 2.5 goals missed the mark, coming in at 76.1%.
Carroi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 2.00 | 1.08 | 2.15 | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.77 | 2.85 | 0.40 | 3.40 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.43 | 1.57 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 2.30 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Atlètic Amèrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 2.97 | 1.20 | 2.87 | 1.20 | 3.07 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.50 | 4.75 | 0.67 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 4.60 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.45 | 2.45 | 1.78 | 1.89 |
| Clean sheet % | 7% (-18pp vs league) | |||||
| Atlètic Amèrica goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 91.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 | 76.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 74.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 20/04/24 | H | 2-3 | |
| 10/12/23 | A | 1-3 | |
| 17/09/23 | H | 2-2 | |
| 20/05/23 | A | 2-3 | |
| 26/03/23 | H | 1-4 | |
| 27/11/22 | A | 2-2 |
Carroi| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/02/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 01/02/25 | A | 0-8 | |
| 25/01/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 19/01/25 | H | 4-1 | |
| 01/12/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 10/11/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 27/10/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 20/10/24 | A | 2-2 | |
| 29/09/24 | A | 2-1 |
Atlètic Amèrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 02/02/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 26/01/25 | A | 4-2 | |
| 18/01/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 24/11/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/11/24 | A | 1-4 | |
| 19/10/24 | A | 0-5 | |
| 05/10/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 29/09/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/05/24 | A | 8-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Carroi | 16 | 35 | 69% | 2.2 | 40 | 14 | +26 | 3.4 | 75% | 62% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | - |
| 2 | Atlètic Amèrica | 16 | 30 | 56% | 1.9 | 35 | 16 | +19 | 3.2 | 88% | 56% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | City Escaldes | 16 | 23 | 44% | 1.4 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 3.7 | 75% | 69% | 56% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | - |
| 4 | UE Santa Coloma II | 16 | 16 | 25% | 1.0 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 3.1 | 75% | 56% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 5 | Ranger's II | 16 | 10 | 19% | 0.6 | 16 | 54 | -38 | 4.4 | 88% | 81% | 69% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | - |
| 6 | Atlètic Club II | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |