Carroi vs Atlètic Amèrica Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025

Time: 18:30

Final 0-1

Carroi

43%

24%

33%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Atlètic Amèrica

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Carroi host Atlético América in the Andorra 2a División, with the home side's recent form a positive storyline. Coming off a win, Carroi has shown resilience, but this will be a tough test against an unbeaten opponent in their last 5 matches. Atlético América's away form is impressive, scoring 2.17 goals on average and conceding 2.33, but this is against similar strength opponents.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.5 goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 10.1%. The model's selection, the home win, is the most likely outcome, with a 43% probability. The away win probability is 33%, and the draw probability is 24%.

Carroi has struggled at home, scoring 1 goal on average and conceding 1.5. Atlético América's away scoring and conceding numbers are similar to their opponent's strength tier. The model's selection, the home win, has a 43% probability, while the away win has a 33% probability and the draw has a 24% chance. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 87.5% probability.

Results analysis

Atlético América's unbeaten run was extended to six matches with a 0-1 away win over Carroi, ending the home team's three-match winning streak. Despite being the pre-match favourite, Carroi's win probability was just 43%. The model correctly identified Atlético América as the favourite, although its call was ultimately wrong. The model's selection was a home win, which had a 43% probability. The model also suggested an Over 1.5 goals total, which had an 87.5% probability but ultimately missed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Carroi win✗ Miss

42.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

23.9%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Atlètic Amèrica win✓ Hit

33.5%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Carroi

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

3.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.57	1.83	1.14	1.79	1.94	1.88
vs Stronger (12)	0.50	2.92	0.50	3.00	0.50	2.83
vs Similar (8)	1.38	1.38	0.75	1.00	2.00	1.75
vs Weaker (10)	3.00	0.90	2.50	0.75	3.33	1.00
Clean sheet %	23% (-1pp vs league)

This opponent (Atlètic Amèrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.4

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.60	2.43	1.79	2.21	1.44	2.62
vs Stronger (5)	0.60	5.00	1.00	8.00	0.50	4.25
vs Similar (2)	0.00	3.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	6.00
vs Weaker (23)	1.96	1.78	2.00	1.83	1.91	1.73
Clean sheet %	17% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

87.5%

Under 1.5

12.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

68.2%

Under 2.5

31.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

46.6%

Under 3.5

53.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

69.2%

30.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.1%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

7.5%

2-2

7.0%

3-1

5.3%

2-0

5.2%

1-0

4.7%

3-2

4.4%

Carroi goals ↓

	Atlètic Amèrica goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	4.0%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%
1	4.7%	10%	7.5%	4.1%	1.7%
2	5.2%	8.6%	7.0%	3.9%	1.6%
3	3.2%	5.3%	4.4%	2.4%	1.0%
4	1.5%	2.5%	2.0%	1.1%	0.5%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = Atlètic Amèrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Carroi

2.19

Atlètic Amèrica

1.88

City Escaldes

1.44

UE Santa Coloma II

1.00

Ranger's II

0.62

Carroi is 0.31 points better than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Carroi

2.50

Atlètic Amèrica

2.19

City Escaldes

1.88

UE Santa Coloma II

1.31

Ranger's II

1.00

Carroi is 0.31 goals better than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Carroi

0.88

Atlètic Amèrica

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II

1.81

City Escaldes

1.81

Ranger's II

3.38

Carroi is 0.12 goals better than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	87.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (34)

€5m

ACI (35)

€5m

USC (26)

€5m

CAR (29)

€3m

CE (51)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Carroi vs Atlètic Amèrica · H/A from CAR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
30/03/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CAR	3-0
19/02/25	H	CAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-1
29/09/24	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CAR	2-1
20/04/24	H	CAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica	2-3
10/12/23	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CAR	1-3
17/09/23	H	CAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica	2-2
20/05/23	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CAR	2-3
26/03/23	H	CAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-4

Carroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/05/25	A	Ranger's II Vs CAR	1-7
13/04/25	H	CAR Vs UE Santa Coloma II	1-0
30/03/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CAR	3-0
19/02/25	H	CAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-1
16/02/25	H	CAR Vs UE Santa Coloma II	2-0
08/02/25	H	CAR Vs City Escaldes	3-1
01/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs CAR	0-8
25/01/25	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR	0-4
19/01/25	H	CAR Vs Ranger's II	4-1
01/12/24	A	City Escaldes Vs CAR	1-2

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
13/04/25	H	AA Vs Ranger's II	5-0
06/04/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	2-0
30/03/25	H	AA Vs Carroi	3-0
22/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs AA	1-4
19/02/25	A	Carroi Vs AA	1-1
09/02/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	3-0
02/02/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	1-3
26/01/25	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	4-2
18/01/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	0-2
24/11/24	H	AA Vs Ranger's II	1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Carroi

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDLWW	1.32
Home	WWWDW	1.23
Away	WWWLW	1.39

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	36%	43%
AVG goals	3.42	3.05	3.71
Over 1.5 %	90%	91%	89%
Over 2.5 %	64%	50%	75%
Over 3.5 %	44%	41%	46%
Scored	1.50	1.18	1.75
Conceded	1.92	1.86	1.96
BTTS	42%	32%	50%
Clean Sheet	28%	27%	29%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Atlètic Amèrica

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWWW	1.14
Home	LWWWW	1.15
Away	WWLDW	1.12

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	35%	33%
AVG goals	3.90	3.88	3.92
Over 1.5 %	88%	88%	88%
Over 2.5 %	72%	73%	71%
Over 3.5 %	50%	46%	54%
Scored	1.64	1.81	1.46
Conceded	2.26	2.08	2.46
BTTS	50%	54%	46%
Clean Sheet	16%	23%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Carroi	16	35	69%	2.2	40	14	+26	3.4	75%	62%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	-
2	Atlètic Amèrica	16	30	56%	1.9	35	16	+19	3.2	88%	56%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
3	City Escaldes	16	23	44%	1.4	30	29	+1	3.7	75%	69%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.8	-
4	UE Santa Coloma II	16	16	25%	1.0	21	29	-8	3.1	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.3	1.8	-
5	Ranger's II	16	10	19%	0.6	16	54	-38	4.4	88%	81%	69%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.0	3.4	-
6	Atlètic Club II	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-

Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches

Carroi vs Atlètic Amèrica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Carroi

Atlètic Amèrica

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Carroi

Atlètic Amèrica

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature