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Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma II Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2025
Time: 10:00
Final 1-0
Carroi
Carroi
Vs
60%
22%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UE Santa Coloma II
UE Santa Coloma II
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Carroi host UE Santa Coloma II in Andorra's second division. The home side's recent form is a storyline to watch, coming off a win, but they have also shown inconsistency in their last five matches. UE Santa Coloma II, meanwhile, are coming off a draw, and their away form suggests they struggle to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per match against stronger opponents. This match is projected to be high-scoring, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals.

Carroi are the favourites to win at home, with a 60% chance of victory, while UE Santa Coloma II have a 18% chance of winning away. The draw is a 22% possibility. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1% probability. Carroi have a strong home record, scoring 2.25 goals per match and conceding 1.5. UE Santa Coloma II, however, have struggled away, conceding 2 goals per match against stronger opponents.

The model's selection is the Home win, with the Over 1.5 goals also selected with an 84.5% probability. The model's selection of the Over 1.5 goals has a 84.5% probability, offering a significant edge.

Results analysis

The win extends Carroi's run of form, coming off the back of a victory. The final score was 1-0, with Carroi securing a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 60%. The model's call was well justified, given the home team's recent form, having last played Inter Club d'Escaldes and winning 2-1. UE Santa Coloma II's away form was also a factor, having last drawn 1-1 against Atlètic Amèrica. The model also suggested Over 1.5, but this selection missed, with a probability of 84.5%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Carroi win✓ Hit
60.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma II win✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W31W21W41W40W80W31W20W11D03LA·CIT27/10H·RAN10/11A·CIT01/12H·RAN19/01A·UE 25/01A·RAN01/02H·CIT08/02H·UE 16/02H·ATL19/02A·ATL30/03
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.031.072.071.562.00
vs Stronger (13)0.542.920.503.000.572.86
vs Similar (7)1.431.570.671.332.001.75
vs Weaker (10)2.301.202.001.402.601.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L22D12L20W04L03L02L01L41W31WH·ATL09/11H·CIT24/11A·RAN01/12A·ATL18/01H·CAR25/01A·ATL09/02A·CAR16/02A·CIT23/02H·RAN29/03H·RAN05/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.901.931.931.271.87
vs Stronger (6)1.502.172.002.001.002.33
vs Similar (20)1.551.801.701.701.401.90
vs Weaker (4)2.002.003.003.001.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.1%
Under 2.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0 ✓
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
Carroi goals ↓
UE Santa Coloma II goals →
01234
04.8%3.4%2.4%0.9%0.2%
17.4%10%5.1%1.9%0.5%
28.9%9.9%5.5%2.0%0.6%
36.4%7.1%3.9%1.4%0.4%
43.4%3.8%2.1%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = UE Santa Coloma II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
2.19
Atlètic Amèrica
1.88
City Escaldes
1.44
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
Ranger's II
0.62
Carroi is 1.19 points better than UE Santa Coloma II in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Carroi
2.50
Atlètic Amèrica
2.19
City Escaldes
1.88
UE Santa Coloma II
1.31
Ranger's II
1.00
Carroi is 1.19 goals better than UE Santa Coloma II in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.88
Atlètic Amèrica
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II
1.81
City Escaldes
1.81
Ranger's II
3.38
Carroi is 0.94 goals better than UE Santa Coloma II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (34)
€5m
ACI (35)
€5m
USC (26)
€5m
CAR (29)
€3m
CE (51)
€0m
Carroi's squad is €2m less valuable than UE Santa Coloma II's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma II · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma II2-0
25/01/25AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR0-4
20/10/24AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR2-2
04/12/22AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR0-6
18/09/22HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma II1-0

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CAR3-0
19/02/25HCAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-1
16/02/25HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma II2-0
08/02/25HCAR Vs City Escaldes3-1
01/02/25ARanger's II Vs CAR0-8
25/01/25AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR0-4
19/01/25HCAR Vs Ranger's II4-1
01/12/24ACity Escaldes Vs CAR1-2
10/11/24HCAR Vs Ranger's II3-1
27/10/24ACity Escaldes Vs CAR0-1

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HUSC Vs Ranger's II3-1
29/03/25HUSC Vs Ranger's II4-1
23/02/25ACity Escaldes Vs USC1-0
16/02/25ACarroi Vs USC2-0
09/02/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs USC3-0
25/01/25HUSC Vs Carroi0-4
18/01/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs USC0-2
01/12/24ARanger's II Vs USC2-1
24/11/24HUSC Vs City Escaldes2-2
09/11/24HUSC Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-4

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.26
HomeWWWWD1.17
AwayWWWWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals3.423.263.56
Over 1.5 %92%96%89%
Over 2.5 %66%57%74%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.441.301.56
Conceded1.981.962.00
BTTS42%35%48%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners---
Cards---
UE Santa Coloma II
UE Santa Coloma II
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW0.94
HomeLDLWW1.17
AwayLWLLL0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%22%
AVG goals4.094.583.57
Over 1.5 %91%96%87%
Over 2.5 %81%83%78%
Over 3.5 %60%71%48%
Scored1.361.581.13
Conceded2.723.002.43
BTTS60%62%57%
Clean Sheet11%8%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CarroiCarroi1635
69%
2.2
4014+26
3.4
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.50.9
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica1630
56%
1.9
3516+19
3.2
88%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3City EscaldesCity Escaldes1623
44%
1.4
3029+1
3.7
75%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
4UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II1616
25%
1.0
2129-8
3.1
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.31.8
-
5RangerRanger's II1610
19%
0.6
1654-38
4.4
88%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.03.4
-
6Atlètic Club IIAtlètic Club II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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