This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.57
1.80
0.47
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.71
1.11
0.67
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
2.15
0.38
2.83
0.17
1.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
Celje goals ↓
Olimpija Ljubljana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.1%
5.8%
3.1%
1.2%
1
5.7%
12%
8.7%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.1%
8.1%
6.5%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.5%
4.1%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celje goals (down), columns = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Celje is 0.36 points worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 2.06).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Celje is 0.36 goals better than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.75).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Celje is 0.86 goals worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.56).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Celje
For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olimpija Ljubljana
For 5.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.4 · Total 29.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.3
1.6
1.5
1.7
26.6
26.3
26.8
vs Stronger (3)
6.7
5.0
7.5
4.3
6.0
3.5
26.7
30.0
25.0
vs Similar (25)
9.2
9.6
8.8
2.7
2.5
3.0
26.6
25.6
27.8
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
24%
28%
20%
75%
67%
83%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
76%
72%
80%
25%
33%
17%
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
12.0
9.5
1.0
1.0
0.9
29.2
24.2
34.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
10.8
12.0
9.5
1.5
1.6
1.5
29.2
24.2
34.2
vs Weaker (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
75%
75%
16%
15%
17%
88%
75%
100%
% under line
25%
25%
25%
84%
85%
83%
12%
25%
0%
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.6
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.4
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.5%
Under 3.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.6%
Under 21.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
1.00
0.75
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.77
1.12
0.62
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.64
1.00
0.86
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.23
0.73
0.20
0.27
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.35
0.56
0.33
0.12
0.38
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.08
1.00
0.00
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.87
1.56
0.94
1.07
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.77
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
0.86
2.43
1.14
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.07
0.27
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.35
0.56
0.33
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (13)
1.46
0.31
1.83
0.17
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Celje
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armandas KuÄys57%
David Zec33%
Tamar Svetlin33%
Juanjo Nieto25%
AljoÅĄa Matko18%
Ivan BrniÄ17%
Svit SeÅĄlar17%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet17%
Klemen NemaniÄ9%
Edmilson8%
Mario KvesiÄ0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Nino Kouter0%
Å―an KarniÄnik0%
MatjaÅū Rozman0%
Marco Dulca0%
Mark Zabukovnik0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Clement Lhernault0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Armandas KuÄys57%
Nino Kouter33%
Klemen NemaniÄ27%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ20%
Mark Zabukovnik18%
David Zec17%
Ricardo Silva17%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Tamar Svetlin17%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet17%
Mario KvesiÄ10%
Å―an KarniÄnik10%
Svit SeÅĄlar8%
Edmilson8%
Ivan BrniÄ0%
MatjaÅū Rozman0%
AljoÅĄa Matko0%
Marco Dulca0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Clement Lhernault0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Svit SeÅĄlar50%
Ivan BrniÄ33%
AljoÅĄa Matko18%
Mark Zabukovnik18%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet17%
Armandas KuÄys14%
Å―an KarniÄnik10%
Mario KvesiÄ0%
David Zec0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Nino Kouter0%
MatjaÅū Rozman0%
Klemen NemaniÄ0%
Marco Dulca0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Edmilson0%
Clement Lhernault0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
AljoÅĄa Matko36%
Armandas KuÄys29%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet17%
Mario KvesiÄ10%
Svit SeÅĄlar8%
Ivan BrniÄ0%
David Zec0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Nino Kouter0%
Å―an KarniÄnik0%
MatjaÅū Rozman0%
Klemen NemaniÄ0%
Marco Dulca0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Mark Zabukovnik0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Edmilson0%
Clement Lhernault0%
Olimpija Ljubljana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ãlex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ0%
AgustÃn Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko RistiÄ0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko RistiÄ25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
AgustÃn Doffo14%
Ãlex Blanco14%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ12%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko RistiÄ25%
AgustÃn Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Ãlex Blanco0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ãlex Blanco14%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ12%
Antonio Marin0%
AgustÃn Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko RistiÄ0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Celje's squad is €2m more valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€14m vs €12m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Celje and Olimpija Ljubljana have a similar attack value (both €7m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Celje and Olimpija Ljubljana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Celje's defence is €1m more valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€6m vs €5m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
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Maribor
Koper
Bravo
Primorje
Mura
Radomlje
NK Domzale
Nafta
Triglav