Celje vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Celje are the clear favourites, with a 56% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 19% for Radomlje to win. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.9% probability. Celje, playing at home against a weaker side, typically score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals, while Radomlje, on the road to a stronger opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 2.57 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 84.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.5% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.3% and Over 23.5 fouls at 72.7%. Celje’s recent form shows a win, loss, draw, draw, win, while Radomlje’s last five are draw, loss, win, loss, draw. The game is poised to be a tight affair with Celje’s home advantage likely to tip the scales.

The draw was a shock, especially after Celje’s recent win streak that had fans expecting a home triumph. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw, contrary to the model’s pre-match favourite of a Celje win at 56%. The model’s call was wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.5% probability, and it hit as the match produced two goals. Celje, who had been on a winning run, and Radomlje, coming off a draw, finished level, leaving the model’s prediction off the mark.