This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.10
0.94
1.12
1.57
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
1.11
1.26
1.00
1.15
1.33
1.50
vs Similar (11)
1.45
0.82
0.67
1.00
1.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 2.06+9.2%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.73-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
Cesena goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
6.4%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.9%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.5%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cesena goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Cesena is 0.46 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Cesena is 0.34 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Cesena is 0.24 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Cesena is 0.3 percentage points worse than Cosenza in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cesena
For 5.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 15.6 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cesena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.2
4.4
4.1
4.7
29.0
28.4
29.6
vs Stronger (3)
11.7
11.0
12.0
6.3
8.0
5.5
26.7
27.0
26.5
vs Similar (37)
9.5
8.7
10.2
4.3
4.1
4.4
29.3
28.7
29.9
vs Weaker (10)
9.0
8.7
9.5
4.3
3.5
5.5
28.5
27.7
29.8
% over line
46%
36%
56%
66%
56%
76%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
54%
64%
44%
34%
44%
24%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.5
6.4
6.1
6.8
28.4
27.8
29.1
vs Stronger (34)
10.3
10.4
10.3
6.2
6.1
6.3
28.7
28.0
29.7
vs Similar (16)
10.3
9.7
10.8
7.0
6.1
7.7
27.8
27.1
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
54%
62%
94%
96%
92%
84%
85%
83%
% under line
42%
46%
38%
6%
4%
8%
16%
15%
17%
This opponent (Cesena) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.6
Palermo
10.3
Cosenza
10.3
Salernitana
10.0
Spezia
10.0
Frosinone
10.0
Cremonese
9.8
Sassuolo
9.7
Bari
9.7
Modena
9.5
Cesena
9.5
Brescia
9.3
Cittadella
9.1
Reggiana
9.0
Sudtirol
9.0
Catanzaro
8.9
Mantova
8.9
Sampdoria
8.9
Carrarese
8.7
Pisa
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.4
Juve Stabia
6.4
Spezia
6.2
Reggiana
5.9
Sampdoria
5.8
Bari
5.8
Pisa
5.8
Mantova
5.5
Modena
5.5
Brescia
5.4
Catanzaro
5.3
Cittadella
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Palermo
5.0
Sudtirol
5.0
Salernitana
4.6
Frosinone
4.6
Carrarese
4.6
Cesena
4.4
Sassuolo
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.2
Juve Stabia
33.0
Spezia
32.6
Cittadella
30.9
Sampdoria
30.5
Bari
30.4
Reggiana
29.9
Sudtirol
29.4
Brescia
29.4
Cesena
29.0
Catanzaro
28.9
Modena
28.5
Carrarese
28.5
Cosenza
28.4
Palermo
28.2
Pisa
27.9
Cremonese
27.7
Salernitana
26.3
Frosinone
25.6
Sassuolo
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.8%
Under 21.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cesena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
1.00
0.31
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.45
1.08
0.42
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.50
0.69
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.84
0.46
0.77
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.18
0.67
0.33
1.12
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cesena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cesena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.81
0.81
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.77
0.83
0.83
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.44
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (19)
0.63
0.42
0.54
0.38
0.83
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.64
0.00
0.67
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cesena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cesena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Shpendi27%
Dario Šarić19%
Antonino La Gumina17%
Augustus Kargbo15%
Marco Curto14%
Elayis Tavsan13%
Giuseppe Prestia11%
Mirko Antonucci11%
Simone Bastoni10%
Tommaso Berti6%
Giacomo Calò6%
Emanuele Adamo5%
Daniele Donnarumma3%
Joseph Ceesay3%
Raffaele Celia3%
Jonathan Klinsmann0%
Matteo Pisseri0%
Riccardo Chiarello0%
Saber Hraiech0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Matteo Piacentini0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Flavio Russo0%
Simone Pieraccini0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emanuele Adamo35%
Marco Curto29%
Matteo Francesconi28%
Giacomo Calò28%
Leonardo Mendicino26%
Augustus Kargbo25%
Andrea Ciofi25%
Matteo Pisseri23%
Flavio Russo20%
Simone Bastoni18%
Antonino La Gumina17%
Sydney van Hooijdonk13%
Mirko Antonucci13%
Joseph Ceesay13%
Raffaele Celia13%
Massimiliano Mangraviti13%
Jonathan Klinsmann10%
Daniele Donnarumma10%
Simone Pieraccini10%
Elayis Tavsan10%
Matteo Piacentini9%
Giuseppe Prestia8%
Cristian Shpendi8%
Dario Šarić6%
Tommaso Berti3%
Riccardo Chiarello0%
Saber Hraiech0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Augustus Kargbo15%
Daniele Donnarumma10%
Flavio Russo10%
Joseph Ceesay10%
Antonino La Gumina8%
Giacomo Calò8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Elayis Tavsan6%
Tommaso Berti6%
Andrea Ciofi6%
Giuseppe Prestia5%
Simone Bastoni5%
Raffaele Celia3%
Matteo Francesconi3%
Cristian Shpendi3%
Jonathan Klinsmann0%
Matteo Pisseri0%
Marco Curto0%
Dario Šarić0%
Riccardo Chiarello0%
Saber Hraiech0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Matteo Piacentini0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Simone Pieraccini0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristian Shpendi22%
Augustus Kargbo15%
Dario Šarić12%
Simone Bastoni8%
Tommaso Berti6%
Mirko Antonucci5%
Elayis Tavsan3%
Giacomo Calò3%
Emanuele Adamo3%
Massimiliano Mangraviti3%
Jonathan Klinsmann0%
Matteo Pisseri0%
Marco Curto0%
Antonino La Gumina0%
Giuseppe Prestia0%
Riccardo Chiarello0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Saber Hraiech0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Joseph Ceesay0%
Raffaele Celia0%
Matteo Piacentini0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Flavio Russo0%
Simone Pieraccini0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sassuolo
Pisa
Spezia
Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Palermo
Bari
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Brescia
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella