Cetatea Suceava is favoured to win, with a 61% chance of triumph, a 24% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of a CSM Râmnicu Valea loss. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.3% chance. Cetatea’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against weaker opposition, while CSM Râmnicu Valea, playing away against stronger opponents, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Home +2 handicap (94.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%), Under 5.5 (93.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.2%), and Home over 0.5 goals (85.2%).
Cetatea Suceava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Ramnicu Valcea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.29 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.62 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 1.69 | 1.85 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11% | 11% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Cetatea Suceava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Ramnicu Valcea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.88 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.92 | 0.54 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.29 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Cetatea Suceava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
CSM Ramnicu Valcea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 1.20 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.77 | 1.31 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 98.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 97.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 97.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 95.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 95.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 94.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 94.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 93.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 89.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 87.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 87.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 86.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 85.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 85.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 84.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +1 handicap | 84.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 84.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 83.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 goals | 77.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Away | 76.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 72.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 71.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 70.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Cetatea Suceava| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/08/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-3 |
CSM Ramnicu Valcea| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 18/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 13/08/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 06/08/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 17/12/24 | A | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |