Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni Result & Analysis

Cetatea Suceava are the clear favourites, with the model rating a home win at 86 %. Their recent 1-3 loss to Ștefănești has not shaken their confidence, and the prediction model highlights their strong home form: averaging two goals scored and none conceded against weaker opponents. Popești-Leordeni, on the other hand, have a modest away record, conceding 1.5 goals on average against stronger teams, and their recent 4-1 win over CSM Reșița shows they can score but are vulnerable away. The expected total is 3.7 goals, with the most likely total being three and the single most probable scoreline 3-0 for Cetatea Suceava at 12.4 %. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 86 %, 10 % and 4 % respectively. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7 %, Home +2 handicap at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3 %, Under 7.5 at 96.4 % and Home or Draw at 96.3 %.

The pre-match favourite, Cetatea Suceava, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s pick incorrect. The game, which had the home side coming off a draw, saw both teams level at 1-1, a result that contradicted the model’s expectation of a 3-0 win. The model’s selection of a home win at 86% probability was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Home +2 handicap hit at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 96.4%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw, leaving the model’s prediction out of line.