This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pacos Ferreira
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.47
1.47
1.40
0.67
1.53
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.46
1.22
1.56
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.47
1.83
1.17
0.64
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.4%
Under 1.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.1%
Under 2.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.1%
Under 3.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.0%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
14.5%
0-1 ✓
10.0%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
CF Os Belenenses goals ↓
Pacos Ferreira goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
10%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.5%
1.5%
0.3%
2
9.2%
7.6%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CF Os Belenenses goals (down), columns = Pacos Ferreira goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Santa Clara
2.15
Nacional
2.09
AVS
1.88
Maritimo
1.88
Pacos Ferreira
1.53
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
Tondela
1.44
Torreense
1.41
Benfica B
1.32
Mafra
1.29
FC Porto B
1.29
Academico Viseu
1.26
União de Leiria
1.24
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.09
Oliveirense
1.00
Feirense
0.94
Vilaverdense
0.82
CF Os Belenenses
0.76
CF Os Belenenses is 0.76 points worse than Pacos Ferreira in terms of average points per game (0.76 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nacional
1.94
Maritimo
1.53
FC Porto B
1.50
AVS
1.47
Santa Clara
1.41
Benfica B
1.41
Tondela
1.35
União de Leiria
1.29
Pacos Ferreira
1.24
Mafra
1.18
Torreense
1.18
Oliveirense
1.09
Academico Viseu
1.06
Feirense
0.94
Penafiel
0.91
Vilaverdense
0.88
Leixoes
0.85
CF Os Belenenses
0.82
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.50
CF Os Belenenses is 0.41 goals worse than Pacos Ferreira in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Santa Clara
0.56
Maritimo
0.85
AVS
1.00
Nacional
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
Torreense
1.09
Leixoes
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
União de Leiria
1.18
Mafra
1.24
Tondela
1.26
Feirense
1.39
Benfica B
1.41
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Oliveirense
1.59
CF Os Belenenses
1.74
Vilaverdense
1.74
CF Os Belenenses is 0.71 goals worse than Pacos Ferreira in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto B
54%
Pacos Ferreira
53%
Mafra
53%
AVS
53%
Leixoes
52%
Feirense
52%
Benfica B
52%
Oliveirense
52%
Maritimo
51%
União de Leiria
50%
Santa Clara
50%
Nacional
50%
Torreense
49%
Tondela
47%
Academico Viseu
47%
Vilaverdense
47%
CF Os Belenenses
45%
Penafiel
42%
CF Os Belenenses is 8.2 percentage points worse than Pacos Ferreira in terms of average possession (45% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CF Os Belenenses
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pacos Ferreira
For 4.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 16.2 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CF Os Belenenses
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
8.5
10.3
6.7
1.9
2.0
1.9
25.2
27.3
23.0
vs Stronger (9)
7.3
12.0
5.0
1.4
0.8
2.0
24.3
28.0
22.5
vs Similar (7)
9.7
9.5
10.0
2.6
3.2
1.7
26.0
27.0
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
31%
25%
38%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
69%
75%
62%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pacos Ferreira
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
1.7
1.6
1.9
31.2
32.0
30.5
vs Stronger (26)
7.0
7.8
4.0
1.0
1.4
0.5
32.6
32.5
33.0
vs Similar (24)
10.6
11.7
10.1
2.5
1.8
3.0
30.5
31.3
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
43%
50%
26%
23%
29%
93%
86%
100%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
74%
77%
71%
7%
14%
0%
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AVS
13.3
Nacional
11.7
Leixoes
10.9
Academico Viseu
10.8
Feirense
10.8
Penafiel
10.7
Oliveirense
10.6
FC Porto B
10.5
Benfica B
10.2
Vilaverdense
10.1
Mafra
10.0
Pacos Ferreira
9.9
Tondela
9.7
Maritimo
9.2
Torreense
9.1
Santa Clara
8.9
União de Leiria
8.9
CF Os Belenenses
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Oliveirense
6.6
Maritimo
6.6
Santa Clara
6.3
Pacos Ferreira
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Nacional
5.9
FC Porto B
5.8
Benfica B
5.8
AVS
5.8
Tondela
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.7
Torreense
5.6
Penafiel
5.5
Mafra
5.4
CF Os Belenenses
5.2
Feirense
5.1
Vilaverdense
5.0
União de Leiria
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maritimo
33.0
Pacos Ferreira
32.3
Oliveirense
30.9
Penafiel
30.8
Santa Clara
30.7
Feirense
30.6
Vilaverdense
30.3
Nacional
29.0
Leixoes
29.0
Tondela
28.6
União de Leiria
27.9
Torreense
27.6
Mafra
26.8
AVS
26.7
Benfica B
26.2
FC Porto B
26.0
Academico Viseu
25.7
CF Os Belenenses
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.5%
Under 9.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.1%
Under 3.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.2%
Under 21.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CF Os Belenenses
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.19
0.81
0.38
0.62
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pacos Ferreira
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.85
0.78
0.89
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.83
0.67
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CF Os Belenenses
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.81
0.38
0.75
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.78
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.86
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pacos Ferreira
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.67
0.60
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.62
0.44
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.76
1.00
0.50
0.18
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pacos Ferreira · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Costinha50%
Joao Victor25%
David Costa14%
Vladimir Silva14%
Anilson10%
Ronaldo Lumungo9%
Nuno Cunha9%
Miguel Mota8%
Francisco Ramos0%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Andre Sousa0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fernandinho Conceição67%
Gonçalo Cardoso50%
Kauan50%
Costinha50%
Miguel Falé33%
Iuri Moreira33%
Miguel Mota25%
Fernando Gomes25%
Diegão20%
Anilson20%
Rafael Vieira18%
Ronaldo Lumungo18%
Nuno Cunha18%
Leandro Dias17%
Tiago Ferreira10%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Andre Sousa0%
João Pinto0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
David Costa0%
Vladimir Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Costa14%
Vladimir Silva14%
Andre Sousa10%
Anilson10%
Ronaldo Lumungo9%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Costinha0%
Nuno Cunha0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel Falé50%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Andre Sousa0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Anilson0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
Costinha0%
Nuno Cunha0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
David Costa0%
Vladimir Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Santa Clara
Nacional
Maritimo
AVS
Tondela
Torreense
Benfica B
FC Porto B
Mafra
Academico Viseu
União de Leiria
Penafiel
Leixoes
Feirense
Oliveirense
Vilaverdense
Lusitânia Lourosa