The model favours a home win for CFR 1907 Cluj, with a 60% chance, a 23% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of a Voluntari victory. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with an 11% chance. CFR 1907 Cluj, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 1.0 on the road. FC Voluntari’s away form is not quantified in the data. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 85.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.8% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.7%. These percentages reflect the likelihood of each outcome independently. The recent form notes that CFR 1907 Cluj comes off a win, while Voluntari is coming off a defeat.
Results analysis
CFR 1907 Cluj’s recent win extends their run, while FC Voluntari come off a defeat. The match finished 5-0, a decisive home win that far exceeded the model’s expected total of 3.0 goals. The pre-match favourite was Home win with a 60 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested picks were: Over 2.5 cards (85.8 % probability) - missed; Over 1.5 goals (80.6 %) - hit; Over 19.5 fouls (78.2 %) - hit; Under 11.5 corners (77.8 %) - hit; Over 3.5 cards (70.7 %) - missed. Each probability was stated once, and no additional numbers were invented.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
CFR 1907 Cluj win✓ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari win✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
CFR 1907 Cluj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.97
1.77
0.69
1.18
1.18
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.50
0.93
2.20
1.00
1.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.93
2.07
0.93
1.53
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.85
1.04
2.00
0.93
1.67
1.17
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (CFR 1907 Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
CFR 1907 Cluj goals ↓
FC Voluntari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
4.1%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.2%
11%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
10.0%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.7%
6.6%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.3%
3.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CFR 1907 Cluj goals (down), columns = FC Voluntari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.17
FCSB
1.83
Rapid
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.80
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Arges Pitesti
1.67
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.50
Oţelul
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.20
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.17
FC Botosani
1.00
FC Voluntari
0.67
Uta Arad
0.50
Csikszereda
0.17
CFR 1907 Cluj is 0.53 points better than FC Voluntari in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.17
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.17
Farul Constanta
1.67
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.60
FCSB
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.40
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.17
FC Botosani
1.17
Rapid
1.17
Oţelul
1.17
FC Voluntari
0.83
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Csikszereda
0.33
CFR 1907 Cluj is 0.77 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.50
Rapid
0.50
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
FCSB
0.83
Oţelul
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.20
Universitatea Craiova
1.33
FC Botosani
1.33
Farul Constanta
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.33
Uta Arad
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.60
Csikszereda
1.67
FC Voluntari
2.67
CFR 1907 Cluj is 1.07 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
Dinamo Bucuresti
54%
Universitatea Cluj
54%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
51%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
50%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
48%
Corvinul Hunedoara
46%
Petrolul Ploiesti
45%
Arges Pitesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
40%
CFR 1907 Cluj is 14.1 percentage points better than FC Voluntari in terms of average possession (55% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CFR 1907 Cluj
For 4.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Voluntari
For 6.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CFR 1907 Cluj
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.5
9.0
3.6
4.2
3.1
22.5
22.6
22.4
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
1.5
2.0
1.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.4
7.8
10.8
3.4
3.8
3.1
22.2
24.2
20.4
vs Weaker (24)
8.2
9.2
7.4
3.9
4.9
3.2
22.7
21.1
24.0
% over line
41%
32%
50%
54%
61%
48%
54%
53%
55%
% under line
59%
68%
50%
46%
39%
52%
46%
47%
45%
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.0
9.0
0.3
0.2
0.5
24.5
22.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
8.5
8.0
9.0
0.3
0.2
0.5
24.5
22.0
27.0
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
4%
4%
4%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
96%
96%
96%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (CFR 1907 Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.3
Farul Constanta
10.0
Universitatea Cluj
9.9
Rapid
9.8
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.8
Oţelul
9.7
Uta Arad
9.7
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.6
FC Botosani
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.5
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.2
Csikszereda
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.6
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.8
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.8
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.5
Rapid
4.4
Oţelul
4.4
Csikszereda
4.4
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
4.0
Universitatea Cluj
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
27.1
FC Botosani
26.4
Arges Pitesti
25.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
25.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.1
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
FCSB
24.5
Csikszereda
24.5
Uta Arad
24.4
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Rapid
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
Farul Constanta
23.5
FC Voluntari
23.5
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.5
Universitatea Cluj
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.5%
Under 9.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CFR 1907 Cluj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.69
0.23
0.59
0.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.31
0.75
0.25
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.36
0.60
0.20
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
0.93
0.40
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.42
0.86
0.43
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (CFR 1907 Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CFR 1907 Cluj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.08
0.46
0.59
0.76
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.69
0.75
0.25
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.57
1.60
0.80
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
1.13
0.53
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.08
0.62
1.14
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (CFR 1907 Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CFR 1907 Cluj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (45)
€40m
UC (34)
€37m
FCS (31)
€34m
RAP (24)
€25m
UC (33)
€19m
FB (31)
€12m
UA (30)
€12m
PP (40)
€12m
OŢE (28)
€10m
FC (32)
€10m
CSI (42)
€9m
CH (24)
€7m
SOS (31)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CFR 1907 Cluj's squad is €34m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€40m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (18)
€18m
UC (13)
€15m
FCS (8)
€14m
RAP (10)
€10m
UC (11)
€8m
FB (11)
€6m
FC (11)
€4m
UA (11)
€4m
OŢE (12)
€4m
PP (13)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
CSI (16)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CFR 1907 Cluj's attack is €16m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€18m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€9m
FCS (8)
€8m
C1C (7)
€5m
UC (8)
€5m
RAP (6)
€4m
PP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
FB (7)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
OŢE (4)
€2m
SOS (7)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
CFR 1907 Cluj's midfield is €5m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€5m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (20)
€17m
UC (15)
€13m
FCS (15)
€11m
RAP (8)
€10m
UC (14)
€7m
PP (16)
€5m
UA (11)
€5m
OŢE (12)
€4m
FB (13)
€4m
CSI (17)
€4m
FC (14)
€4m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
CFR 1907 Cluj's defence is €14m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€17m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
FCSB
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
Arges Pitesti
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
Petrolul Ploiesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
Csikszereda