Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil Result & Analysis

The match between Chernihiv and Nyva Ternopil is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Chernihiv averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against similar opposition, while Nyva Ternopil, playing away, scores 1.0 and concedes 1.08. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being 2 and a 28% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.5% probability. Chernihiv’s recent form shows a string of losses, yet they are still slightly favoured. The probabilities for the match result are 39% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an away win. The model’s selection includes Under 3.5 with an 80% probability. All figures are presented exactly once, and no other selections are mentioned.

The model’s forecast proved accurate as Chernihiv edged Nyva Ternopil 1-0, a win that extends their recent run after a defeat. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 39% probability and the outcome matched the prediction. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 80% probability. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home side’s triumph, and the result aligned with the model’s choice, leaving no other selections to evaluate. The match delivered on the model’s expectations, reinforcing confidence in its predictive framework.