Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa Result & Analysis

Cherno More Varna look set to keep the pressure on Botev Vratsa with a tight, low-scoring outlook. The model favours a home win, with a 57% chance, a 28% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of an away victory. The average number of goals expected is 2.2, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Cherno More, with a 16% probability. Cherno More’s home form shows they average 1.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opposition, while Botev Vratsa’s away numbers are 0.82 scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 3.5 goals at 82.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 81.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 72.4%, and Over 8.5 corners at 72.7%. Each of these selections carries its own probability and is presented as the model’s selection.

The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Cherno More Varna, who had been coming off a win and were tipped to win with a 57% probability. The model’s pick was wrong. The match finished level, matching the most likely scoreline of 1-1 in the model’s spread, but the final result was a draw. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit at 82.2%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 81.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 81.2%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 72.4%. Only Over 8.5 corners missed at 72.7%. The game saw no goals, confirming the defensive solidity of both sides.