Chindia Targoviste's recent form has been marred by a defeat, coming off a 0-1 loss to FC Politehnica Timisoara. However, at home, they have been a force to be reckoned with, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding none in their recent matches against weaker opponents. Metaloglobus, on the other hand, has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, but their away form is concerning, scoring only 0.75 goals on average and conceding 2.58 goals against stronger opponents.
The model favours Chindia Targoviste to win, with a 40% chance of a home win, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 34% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.2, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11.5%.
The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a probability of 83.7% and an edge of 11%. This suggests that the model expects a high-scoring match. Chindia Targoviste's home win percentage is 40%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 34%.
Results analysis
Chindia Targoviste's win extends their run, having come off a victory in their previous match. The final score stood at 3-1 in favour of the home team, confirming the actual result of a home win. The model's selection, Chindia Targoviste to win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 40%. The model's call was also supported by the suggested picks, with 'Over 1.5' goals hitting, given a pre-match probability of 83.7%.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chindia Targoviste win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.72
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Dafabet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Metaloglobus win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.23
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.38
Betano
4.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chindia Targoviste
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.73
1.27
0.87
1.53
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.48
1.82
1.36
0.92
1.58
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.97
1.00
1.33
0.93
2.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.93
1.93
1.00
1.50
0.89
2.22
vs Similar (15)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.22
1.00
3.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
@ 1.26+10.6%
Under 1.5
16.3%
@ 3.42-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.86+11.8%
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 1.85-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Under
Bet365
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.3%
@ 3.15+10.0%
Under 3.5
60.7%
@ 1.30-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.3%
@ 1.78+12.7%
No
35.7%
@ 1.90-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
No
Betano
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.43+4.9%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.37+2.9%
1-2
8.0%@ 12.55+4.6%
2-2
6.6%@ 13.71+3.5%
1-0
5.9%@ 6.29-0.9%
2-0
5.7%@ 7.61+0.1%
0-1
5.3%@ 10.87+1.4%
0-0
5.2%@ 9.37+0.7%
Chindia Targoviste goals ↓
Metaloglobus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.3%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
1
5.9%
12%
8.0%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.7%
6.6%
3.4%
1.3%
3
3.2%
4.8%
3.7%
1.9%
0.7%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chindia Targoviste goals (down), columns = Metaloglobus goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Chindia Targoviste is 0.40 points better than Metaloglobus in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Chindia Targoviste is 0.60 goals better than Metaloglobus in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Chindia Targoviste is 0.60 goals better than Metaloglobus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chindia Targoviste
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.93
0.33
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.70
1.09
0.45
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.33
0.73
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.56
0.78
vs Similar (15)
0.33
1.00
0.22
0.78
0.50
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chindia Targoviste
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.78
0.73
0.91
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.67
0.60
0.40
1.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
1.20
0.50
0.83
0.33
1.44
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.00
0.78
0.44
0.50
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.7%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+10.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metaloglobus · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florin Purece29%
Yassine Zakir23%
Dragos Ionut Huiban15%
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic12%
Ely Fernandes11%
Robert Bădescu10%
David Irimia8%
Adrian Sîrbu8%
Moses Abbey7%
Desley Ubbink5%
Damia Sabater3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nedelcovici50%
Mike Cestor50%
Gabriel Dumitru33%
David Irimia28%
Desley Ubbink26%
Cosmin Florin Achim25%
Endri Celaj25%
Moses Abbey24%
Aboubacar Camara24%
Bruno Carvalho21%
Tarek Aggoun20%
Damia Sabater18%
George Alexandru Caramalău18%
Christ Kouadio18%
Robert Neacsu16%
Alexandru Irimia15%
Benjamin Hadžić12%
Omar Pasagić11%
Yassine Zakir10%
Alexandru Țîrlea9%
Alexandru Gheorghe8%
Giovani Ghimfus8%
George Gavrilas8%
Ely Fernandes7%
Florin Purece7%
Andrei Sava7%
Marian Lis4%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Daniel Popa0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florin Purece21%
Christ Kouadio12%
Damia Sabater8%
Moses Abbey7%
Andrei Sava7%
Yassine Zakir6%
George Alexandru Caramalău6%
Omar Pasagić6%
Desley Ubbink5%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Ely Fernandes0%
Daniel Popa0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
David Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic8%
Gabriel Dumitru8%
Florin Purece7%
Yassine Zakir6%
Dragos Ionut Huiban5%
David Irimia4%
Ely Fernandes4%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Desley Ubbink0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Damia Sabater0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Moses Abbey0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Chindia Targoviste's squad is €2m more valuable than Metaloglobus's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste's attack is €1m more valuable than Metaloglobus's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste and Metaloglobus have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste and Metaloglobus have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Slatina
Concordia
CSM Reşiţa
Popești-Leordeni
Gloria Bistriţa
FC Bacau
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Cetatea Suceava
Metalul Buzău
CS Afumati
Bihor Oradea
Ştefăneşti
Viitorul Şelimbăr
ASA Targu Mures
Dumbrăviţa
CS Dinamo București
CSM Satu Mare
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Unirea Slobozia
AFC Hermannstadt