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Chrobry Głogów vs Górnik Łęczna Result & Analysis

Date: 26/02/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Vs
36%
32%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chrobry Głogów win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L12L10W10W30W01L14L21W11DH·ODR06/10H·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.500.801.471.001.53
vs Stronger (11)0.732.090.672.000.802.20
vs Similar (18)0.891.220.621.251.101.20
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D03L30W00D03L04L00D00D20WA·LEC06/10H·GKS22/10A·NIE28/10A·ODR04/11H·POL11/11A·STA25/11A·WIS10/12A·ARK16/12H·MIE16/02H·TYC20/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.031.270.930.731.13
vs Stronger (3)0.673.001.002.500.004.00
vs Similar (25)0.960.721.170.500.770.92
vs Weaker (2)2.002.003.003.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-1 ✓
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
Chrobry Głogów goals ↓
Górnik Łęczna goals →
01234
013%11%6.2%2.1%0.6%
112%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.3%7.5%3.9%1.3%0.3%
32.7%2.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.7%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chrobry Głogów goals (down), columns = Górnik Łęczna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Chrobry Głogów is 0.36 points worse than Górnik Łęczna in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Chrobry Głogów is 0.03 goals better than Górnik Łęczna in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Chrobry Głogów is 0.61 goals worse than Górnik Łęczna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D00D10W01L12L00D10WH·ODR06/10H·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.330.730.530.67
vs Stronger (11)0.551.270.501.330.601.20
vs Similar (18)0.330.390.120.380.500.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D30W00D00D01L00D00D10WA·LEC06/10H·GKS22/10A·NIE28/10A·ODR04/11H·POL11/11A·STA25/11A·WIS10/12A·ARK16/12H·MIE16/02H·TYC20/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.800.330.400.33
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.120.830.000.460.23
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L10W10W20W00D02L21W01LH·ODR06/10H·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.470.730.470.87
vs Stronger (11)0.180.820.170.670.201.00
vs Similar (18)0.560.830.500.880.600.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L00D00D03L03L00D00D10WA·LEC06/10H·GKS22/10A·NIE28/10A·ODR04/11H·POL11/11A·STA25/11A·WIS10/12A·ARK16/12H·MIE16/02H·TYC20/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.470.600.330.80
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.320.600.330.500.310.69
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
CG wins
1
Draws
1
GŁ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chrobry Głogów vs Górnik Łęczna · H/A from CG
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/23AGórnik Łęczna Vs CG3-1
27/05/23HCG Vs Górnik Łęczna1-1
30/10/22AGórnik Łęczna Vs CG0-2

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/24ANieciecza Vs CG1-1
19/12/23AZaglebie Sosnowiec Vs CG1-2
16/12/23HCG Vs GKS Katowice1-4
09/12/23ALechia Gdansk Vs CG1-0
24/11/23HCG Vs Podbeskidzie3-0
12/11/23AResovia Rzeszów Vs CG0-1
06/11/23HCG Vs Znicz Pruszków1-0
27/10/23AWisla Plock Vs CG2-1
20/10/23HCG Vs Motor Lublin0-1
06/10/23HCG Vs Odra Opole0-0

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/24HGŁ Vs Tychy 712-0
16/02/24HGŁ Vs Miedz Legnica0-0
16/12/23AArka Gdynia Vs GŁ0-0
10/12/23AWisla Krakow Vs GŁ4-0
25/11/23AStal Rzeszów Vs GŁ3-0
11/11/23HGŁ Vs Polonia Warszawa0-0
04/11/23AOdra Opole Vs GŁ0-3
28/10/23ANieciecza Vs GŁ3-0
22/10/23HGŁ Vs GKS Katowice1-1
06/10/23ALechia Gdansk Vs GŁ1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.28
HomeDLWWL1.40
AwayLWLWD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.702.482.92
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.141.121.16
Conceded1.561.361.76
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.38
HomeDDDDW1.60
AwayLWLLD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.342.482.20
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.161.440.88
Conceded1.181.041.32
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk3468
62%
2.0
6034+26
2.8
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.81.0
-
2Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3665
53%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3462
53%
1.8
6835+33
3.0
76%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3642.01.0
-
4Motor LublinMotor Lublin3660
47%
1.7
5143+8
2.6
75%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
10261.41.2
-
5Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3556
40%
1.6
3529+6
1.8
54%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Odra OpoleOdra Opole3553
43%
1.5
4436+8
2.3
69%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.0
-
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3451
38%
1.5
5236+16
2.6
76%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.1
-
8Wisla PlockWisla Plock3451
41%
1.5
4646+0
2.7
82%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.41.4
-
9Tychy 71Tychy 713451
47%
1.5
4347-4
2.6
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
10Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3450
38%
1.5
6250+12
3.3
82%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.5
-
11Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3448
41%
1.4
5360-7
3.3
85%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.8
-
12Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3442
35%
1.2
3444-10
2.3
65%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3442
32%
1.2
3549-14
2.5
74%
47%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
14NiecieczaNieciecza3441
29%
1.2
5652+4
3.2
82%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.5
-
15Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3435
24%
1.0
4150-9
2.7
76%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.21.5
-
16Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3434
26%
1.0
3960-21
2.9
85%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3423
12%
0.7
2659-33
2.5
76%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
18Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3416
6%
0.5
2155-34
2.2
62%
32%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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