This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.20
1.07
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.17
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.89
1.22
0.67
1.11
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.3%
Under 1.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.0%
@ 2.72+1.2%
Under 2.5
64.0%
@ 1.45-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.8%
Under 3.5
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
Cittadella goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
9.0%
3.7%
1.1%
1
9.4%
14%
8.1%
3.3%
1.0%
2
4.8%
6.0%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
3
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cittadella goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Cittadella is 0.11 points worse than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Cittadella is 0.16 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Cittadella is 0.05 goals better than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cittadella
For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.4 · Against 13.5 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
For 3.8 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 14.8 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cittadella
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.8
8.4
3.8
4.0
3.7
33.4
33.2
33.6
vs Stronger (20)
8.3
9.8
6.5
4.1
4.8
3.5
37.2
36.4
38.2
vs Similar (30)
9.4
9.9
9.1
3.6
3.4
3.8
31.6
31.1
31.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
69%
33%
50%
52%
48%
93%
92%
93%
% under line
50%
31%
67%
50%
48%
52%
7%
8%
7%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.6
3.1
3.3
3.0
30.5
31.6
29.4
vs Stronger (20)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.3
3.2
3.5
29.5
30.0
29.0
vs Similar (30)
10.0
10.1
9.9
3.0
3.4
2.7
31.1
32.9
29.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
57%
57%
48%
44%
52%
89%
93%
86%
% under line
43%
43%
43%
52%
56%
48%
11%
7%
14%
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.6%
Under 3.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
96.4%
Under 21.5
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cittadella
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.14
0.64
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.46
0.25
0.25
0.67
0.56
vs Similar (17)
0.12
0.65
0.10
0.80
0.14
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.22
0.67
0.11
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cittadella
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.57
0.50
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.69
1.25
0.75
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.41
0.30
0.40
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
0.58
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.67
0.56
0.56
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cittadella
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mirko Antonucci27%
Giovanni Crociata25%
Enrico Baldini17%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Tommaso Maistrello16%
Raúl Asencio12%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Alessio Vita3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Ignacio Lores Varela0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Perticone43%
Alessandro Salvi40%
Santiago Visentin38%
Giovanni Crociata38%
Simone Branca31%
Dario Del Fabro30%
Tommaso Cassandro28%
Mamadou Tounkara27%
Federico Giraudo25%
Daniele Donnarumma25%
Giuseppe Carriero24%
Valerio Mastrantonio24%
Andrea Danzi23%
Nicola Pavan23%
Domenico Frare18%
Ignacio Lores Varela18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Gian Filippo Felicioli17%
Andrea Magrassi15%
Elhan Kastrati14%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Raúl Asencio12%
Alessio Vita11%
Alessandro Mattioli7%
Carlos Embalo6%
Enrico Baldini0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giacomo Beretta17%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Alessio Vita9%
Andrea Danzi8%
Alessandro Salvi7%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Simone Branca6%
Giovanni Crociata6%
Federico Giraudo6%
Raúl Asencio6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Ignacio Lores Varela4%
Mirko Antonucci3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Giuseppe Carriero0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Enrico Baldini0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enrico Baldini33%
Giovanni Crociata19%
Raúl Asencio18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Ignacio Lores Varela11%
Tommaso Maistrello11%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Alessio Vita6%
Carlos Embalo6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Nicola Pavan3%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Andrea Magrassi0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Ascoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Marsura23%
Francesco Forte21%
Amato Ciciretti15%
Federico Dionisi15%
Cedric Gondo15%
Pedro Mendes13%
Michele Collocolo11%
Eric Botteghin8%
Lorenco Šimić8%
Fabrizio Caligara6%
Francesco Donati5%
Claud Adjapong4%
Christophe Lungoyi4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Simone Giordano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessandro Salvi50%
Giuseppe Bellusci44%
Nicola Falasco37%
Federico Proia30%
Marcel Büchel29%
Lorenco Šimić27%
Samuel Giovane26%
Amato Ciciretti23%
Davide Marsura23%
Danilo Quaranta22%
Fabrizio Caligara21%
Cedric Gondo21%
Eric Botteghin16%
Mirko Eramo15%
Francesco Donati15%
Francesco Forte14%
Claud Adjapong12%
Federico Dionisi12%
Nicola Leali12%
Christophe Lungoyi11%
Michele Collocolo11%
Simone Giordano6%
Marcello Falzerano5%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michele Collocolo14%
Fabrizio Caligara12%
Soufiane Bidaoui9%
Federico Dionisi9%
Amato Ciciretti8%
Nicola Falasco7%
Francesco Forte7%
Samuel Giovane4%
Christophe Lungoyi4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Pedro Mendes3%
Eric Botteghin3%
Claud Adjapong0%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Davide Marsura0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Cedric Gondo0%
Francesco Donati0%
Simone Giordano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Mendes20%
Federico Dionisi15%
Francesco Forte14%
Cedric Gondo12%
Soufiane Bidaoui9%
Amato Ciciretti8%
Fabrizio Caligara6%
Simone Giordano6%
Claud Adjapong4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Michele Collocolo3%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Davide Marsura0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Christophe Lungoyi0%
Francesco Donati0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Cosenza
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento