This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.40
1.00
1.06
0.71
1.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.64
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.00
1.26
1.18
0.82
0.75
1.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.5%
@ 2.49-0.4%
Under 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.52+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
0-0 ✓
12.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
Cittadella goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.0%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.0%
8.3%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cittadella goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Cittadella is 0.11 points better than Brescia in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Cittadella is 0.03 goals worse than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Cittadella is 0.29 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cittadella
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
For 8.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cittadella
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.8
8.5
3.3
3.4
3.1
33.4
33.0
33.8
vs Stronger (20)
8.0
9.5
6.5
3.6
4.2
3.2
37.5
36.8
38.2
vs Similar (30)
9.7
9.9
9.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
31.4
31.1
31.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
42%
46%
38%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
58%
54%
62%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.8
10.5
2.2
2.0
2.4
26.3
26.2
26.4
vs Stronger (19)
11.2
10.7
11.5
2.0
1.1
2.6
26.9
26.0
27.3
vs Similar (31)
11.1
12.2
9.5
2.3
2.3
2.2
25.9
26.2
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
83%
58%
36%
35%
38%
79%
75%
83%
% under line
29%
17%
42%
64%
65%
62%
21%
25%
17%
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.1%
Under 3.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cittadella
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.60
0.21
0.71
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.42
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.17
0.72
0.20
0.90
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.56
0.44
0.14
0.86
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.82
0.40
0.60
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.53
0.64
0.36
0.12
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cittadella
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.86
0.43
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.92
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.33
0.70
0.30
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.44
0.62
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.82
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.74
0.55
0.45
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cittadella
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mirko Antonucci27%
Giovanni Crociata25%
Enrico Baldini17%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Tommaso Maistrello16%
Raúl Asencio12%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Alessio Vita3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Ignacio Lores Varela0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Perticone43%
Alessandro Salvi40%
Santiago Visentin38%
Giovanni Crociata38%
Simone Branca31%
Dario Del Fabro30%
Tommaso Cassandro28%
Mamadou Tounkara27%
Federico Giraudo25%
Daniele Donnarumma25%
Giuseppe Carriero24%
Valerio Mastrantonio24%
Andrea Danzi23%
Nicola Pavan23%
Domenico Frare18%
Ignacio Lores Varela18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Gian Filippo Felicioli17%
Andrea Magrassi15%
Elhan Kastrati14%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Raúl Asencio12%
Alessio Vita11%
Alessandro Mattioli7%
Carlos Embalo6%
Enrico Baldini0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giacomo Beretta17%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Alessio Vita9%
Andrea Danzi8%
Alessandro Salvi7%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Simone Branca6%
Giovanni Crociata6%
Federico Giraudo6%
Raúl Asencio6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Ignacio Lores Varela4%
Mirko Antonucci3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Giuseppe Carriero0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Enrico Baldini0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enrico Baldini33%
Giovanni Crociata19%
Raúl Asencio18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Ignacio Lores Varela11%
Tommaso Maistrello11%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Alessio Vita6%
Carlos Embalo6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Nicola Pavan3%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Andrea Magrassi0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Adryan11%
Flavio Bianchi11%
Andrea Cistana11%
Stefano Moreo11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Massimiliano Mangraviti6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Fran Karačić0%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran Karačić42%
Ahmad Benali38%
Vincenzo Garofalo33%
Andrea Papetti30%
Emanuele Ndoj29%
Matthieu Huard22%
Marcin Listkowski21%
Davide Adorni21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Massimiliano Mangraviti19%
Tom Van De Looi18%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Andrea Cistana16%
John Björkengren16%
Jakub Łabojko16%
Massimo Bertagnoli15%
Federico Viviani14%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Stefano Moreo11%
Alexander Jallow10%
Lorenzo Andrenacci8%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Florian Ayé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Adryan0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi14%
Fran Karačić12%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Pablo Rodríguez12%
Emanuele Ndoj11%
John Björkengren11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Jakub Łabojko6%
Stefano Moreo5%
Florian Ayé5%
Alexander Jallow5%
Matthieu Huard4%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Adryan0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Florian Ayé21%
Adryan11%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Federico Viviani7%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Flavio Bianchi6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Fran Karačić4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Ternana
Perugia
Spal
Benevento