PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

City Escaldes vs Carroi Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 0-1
City Escaldes
City Escaldes
Vs
33%
22%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

City Escaldes win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W44D05LH·RAN28/09A·UE 06/10H·ATL19/10
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.333.001.502.504.004.00
vs Stronger (3)2.333.001.502.504.004.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L23L02L06L02L11D10W01L12L22DA·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05A·ATL29/09A·UE 20/10← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.670.252.831.002.56
vs Stronger (15)0.733.600.503.830.893.44
vs Similar (12)0.582.000.002.201.001.86
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (City Escaldes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
91.9%
Under 1.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.9%
Under 2.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
75.7%
No
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
City Escaldes goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
02.5%3.1%4.1%3.0%1.6%
12.6%7.8%7.7%5.6%3.1%
23.1%6.7%7.2%5.3%2.9%
31.9%4.2%4.5%3.3%1.8%
40.9%1.9%2.1%1.5%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = City Escaldes goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
2.19
Atlètic Amèrica
1.88
City Escaldes
1.44
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
Ranger's II
0.62
City Escaldes is 0.75 points worse than Carroi in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 2.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Carroi
2.50
Atlètic Amèrica
2.19
City Escaldes
1.88
UE Santa Coloma II
1.31
Ranger's II
1.00
City Escaldes is 0.62 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.88
Atlètic Amèrica
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II
1.81
City Escaldes
1.81
Ranger's II
3.38
City Escaldes is 0.94 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 0.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W01L03L01L01L00D01L11DH·UE 06/04A·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05A·UE 20/10← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.300.081.310.291.29
vs Stronger (15)0.271.730.141.570.381.88
vs Similar (12)0.081.000.001.200.140.86
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (City Escaldes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
City Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
City Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
City Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L04L13L01L03L01L10W10W00D11DH·UE 06/04A·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05A·UE 20/10← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.370.311.460.711.29
vs Stronger (15)0.531.870.572.000.501.75
vs Similar (12)0.501.000.001.000.861.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (City Escaldes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
City Escaldes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
City Escaldes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
City Escaldes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.576.9%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes75.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (24)
€5m
CAR (21)
€2m
CE (3)
€0m
City Escaldes's squad is €2m less valuable than Carroi's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (9)
€2m
CAR (4)
€0m
CE (2)
€0m
City Escaldes and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
CE (0)
€0m
City Escaldes and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (11)
€2m
CAR (10)
€1m
CE (1)
€0m
City Escaldes's defence is €1m less valuable than Carroi's (€0m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CE wins
0
Draws
0
CAR wins

Head-to-head

City Escaldes vs Carroi · H/A from CE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24HCE Vs Atlètic Amèrica0-5
06/10/24AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CE4-4
28/09/24HCE Vs Ranger's II3-0

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR2-2
29/09/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CAR2-1
29/05/24HCAR Vs Ranger's0-1
25/05/24ARanger's Vs CAR0-1
19/05/24AOrdino Vs CAR1-1
12/05/24HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-2
05/05/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR6-0
27/04/24AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR2-0
20/04/24HCAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica2-3
14/04/24AFC Santa Coloma Vs CAR4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

City Escaldes
City Escaldes
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDL1.33
HomeWL1.50
AwayD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%0%
AVG goals5.334.008.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %67%50%100%
Scored2.331.504.00
Conceded3.002.504.00
BTTS33%0%100%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.16
HomeDLLLL1.13
AwayLDWLD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals3.663.833.52
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %70%65%74%
Over 3.5 %52%57%48%
Scored1.541.651.44
Conceded2.122.172.07
BTTS46%35%56%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CarroiCarroi1635
69%
2.2
4014+26
3.4
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.50.9
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica1630
56%
1.9
3516+19
3.2
88%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3City EscaldesCity Escaldes1623
44%
1.4
3029+1
3.7
75%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
4UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II1616
25%
1.0
2129-8
3.1
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.8
-
5RangerRanger's II1610
19%
0.6
1654-38
4.4
88%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.4
-
6Atlètic Club IIAtlètic Club II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches