City Escaldes vs UE Santa Coloma II Result & Analysis

Date: 23/02/2025

Time: 11:00

Final 1-0

City Escaldes

42%

24%

34%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

UE Santa Coloma II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

This Andorra: 2a Divisió match between City Escaldes and UE Santa Coloma II on February 23, 2025, is expected to be an open and high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.4 goals expected. City Escaldes' recent form, however, has been concerning, having suffered two consecutive defeats, including a 0-2 loss to Esperança d'Andorra. In contrast, UE Santa Coloma II has been coming off a draw, having previously drawn 1-1 against Atlético América.

The model predicts a home win for City Escaldes, with a 42% chance of a home victory and a 34% chance of an away win. The draw percentage stands at 24%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.4%. City Escaldes has averaged 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded at home, while UE Santa Coloma II has averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3 goals conceded away against stronger opponents. The model's selection is the Over 1.5, with a probability of 86.7%.

Results analysis

The win extends City Escaldes' run of inconsistent form, following two consecutive defeats. The match saw a surprising low-scoring affair, with the final score of 1-0 well clear of the expected 3.4 total goals. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct. The model had predicted a 42% chance of a home win, with UE Santa Coloma II as the underdog. The model's selection was the favourite, and it correctly predicted the outcome. The model also suggested an over 1.5 goals total, which missed with an 86.7% predicted probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

City Escaldes win✓ Hit

42.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

24.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

UE Santa Coloma II win✗ Miss

33.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

City Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.7

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

2.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.27	2.27	1.50	2.33	3.20	2.20
vs Stronger (8)	1.88	2.50	1.25	2.50	2.50	2.50
vs Similar (3)	3.33	1.67	2.00	2.00	6.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	9% (-16pp vs league)

This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.6

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

2.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.43	2.23	1.57	2.14	1.31	2.31
vs Stronger (7)	1.29	2.29	1.50	2.25	1.00	2.33
vs Similar (19)	1.32	2.00	1.25	1.88	1.36	2.09
vs Weaker (4)	2.25	3.25	3.00	3.00	1.50	3.50
Clean sheet %	17% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (City Escaldes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

86.7%

Under 1.5

13.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

66.8%

Under 2.5

33.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

45.1%

Under 3.5

54.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

68.2%

31.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.4%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

7.6%

2-2

7.0%

2-0

5.3%

3-1

5.2%

1-0 ✓

4.9%

3-2

4.2%

City Escaldes goals ↓

	UE Santa Coloma II goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	4.2%	4.2%	2.3%	0.9%
1	4.9%	10%	7.6%	4.1%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.6%	7.0%	3.8%	1.5%
3	3.2%	5.2%	4.2%	2.3%	0.9%
4	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = City Escaldes goals (down), columns = UE Santa Coloma II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Carroi

2.19

Atlètic Amèrica

1.88

City Escaldes

1.44

UE Santa Coloma II

1.00

Ranger's II

0.62

City Escaldes is 0.44 points better than UE Santa Coloma II in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Carroi

2.50

Atlètic Amèrica

2.19

City Escaldes

1.88

UE Santa Coloma II

1.31

Ranger's II

1.00

City Escaldes is 0.56 goals better than UE Santa Coloma II in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Carroi

0.88

Atlètic Amèrica

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II

1.81

City Escaldes

1.81

Ranger's II

3.38

City Escaldes and UE Santa Coloma II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	86.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (34)

€5m

ACI (35)

€5m

USC (26)

€5m

CAR (29)

€3m

CE (51)

€0m

City Escaldes's squad is €5m less valuable than UE Santa Coloma II's (€0m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

City Escaldes vs UE Santa Coloma II · H/A from CE

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/11/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CE	2-2
06/10/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CE	4-4

City Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs CE	1-6
08/02/25	A	Carroi Vs CE	3-1
02/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CE	1-3
26/01/25	H	CE Vs Atlètic Amèrica	4-2
14/12/24	H	CE Vs Ranger's II	1-4
01/12/24	H	CE Vs Carroi	1-2
24/11/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CE	2-2
27/10/24	H	CE Vs Carroi	0-1
19/10/24	H	CE Vs Atlètic Amèrica	0-5
06/10/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CE	4-4

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/02/25	A	Carroi Vs USC	2-0
09/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	3-0
25/01/25	H	USC Vs Carroi	0-4
18/01/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	0-2
01/12/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	2-1
24/11/24	H	USC Vs City Escaldes	2-2
09/11/24	H	USC Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-4
26/10/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	0-1
20/10/24	H	USC Vs Carroi	2-2
06/10/24	H	USC Vs City Escaldes	4-4

📊 12. Overall Statistics

City Escaldes

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWLW	1.27
Home	LLLLW	1.00
Away	DDWLW	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	33%	40%
AVG goals	4.55	3.83	5.40
Over 1.5 %	91%	83%	100%
Over 2.5 %	91%	83%	100%
Over 3.5 %	73%	50%	100%
Scored	2.27	1.50	3.20
Conceded	2.27	2.33	2.20
BTTS	73%	50%	100%
Clean Sheet	9%	17%	0%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

UE Santa Coloma II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLLL	0.86
Home	DDLDL	1.00
Away	WLWLL	0.73

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	27%	23%
AVG goals	4.14	4.59	3.68
Over 1.5 %	93%	95%	91%
Over 2.5 %	82%	82%	82%
Over 3.5 %	59%	68%	50%
Scored	1.30	1.41	1.18
Conceded	2.84	3.18	2.50
BTTS	59%	59%	59%
Clean Sheet	11%	9%	14%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Carroi	16	35	69%	2.2	40	14	+26	3.4	75%	62%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	-
2	Atlètic Amèrica	16	30	56%	1.9	35	16	+19	3.2	88%	56%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
3	City Escaldes	16	23	44%	1.4	30	29	+1	3.7	75%	69%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.8	-
4	UE Santa Coloma II	16	16	25%	1.0	21	29	-8	3.1	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.3	1.8	-
5	Ranger's II	16	10	19%	0.6	16	54	-38	4.4	88%	81%	69%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.0	3.4	-
6	Atlètic Club II	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-

Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches

City Escaldes vs UE Santa Coloma II Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

City Escaldes

UE Santa Coloma II

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

City Escaldes

UE Santa Coloma II

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature