Cliftonville FC vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Cliftonville FC are tipped to win, the model’s favourite result, with a 42% chance of a home victory, a 31% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a Coleraine FC win. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability. Cliftonville’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded against similar opposition, while Coleraine’s away record is 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s single suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, with an 80.8% probability. The match is likely to see a 1-1 outcome, but the overall shape leans toward a home win with a moderate goal tally.

The 2-2 draw shocked the pre-match favourite, Cliftonville FC, who had been tipped to win with a 42% chance. The model’s pick was wrong, as the match finished in a stalemate. The upset came after Cliftonville’s recent form of LLWWL, still after two straight defeats, while Coleraine had been on a two-game winning run (WWDWL). The model’s other selection, Under 3.5 goals, missed despite an 80.8% probability. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome but not the predicted 1-0 or 0-0. The game ended in a draw, leaving the model’s predictions largely off the mark.