Cliftonville FC vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Cliftonville FC are favoured to win, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Coleraine FC victory. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability. Cliftonville, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, while Coleraine, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 with a 74.5% chance, and Over 1.5 with a 73.6% chance. The match preview is shaped by Cliftonville’s recent five-game record of LLWWL, including a 0-2 loss to Dungannon Swifts, and Coleraine’s recent five-game run of WWDWL, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Portadown. The model’s pick remains a home win, with the overall match likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair.

The pre-match favourite, Cliftonville FC, failed to deliver as the match ended 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick of a home win incorrect. Cliftonville’s recent form, after two straight defeats, was a mixed run of LLWWL, while Coleraine, on a two-game winning streak, finished WW D WL. The model had assigned a 49% probability to a home win, but the outcome was a draw. The suggested picks were Under 3.5, with a 74.5% chance, which missed, and Over 1.5, with a 73.6% chance, which hit. The expected total of 2.6 goals was close to the actual total of four, and the most likely scoreline of 2-1 did not materialise.