Cliftonville FC vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Cliftonville FC are tipped to win, with a 53% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of Coleraine FC taking the victory. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most probable total being two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% probability. Cliftonville’s home form shows they score 1.2 goals and concede 1.2 against opponents of similar strength, while Coleraine’s away form yields 1.18 goals scored and 2.36 conceded in comparable matchups. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with 74.3% probability and Under 3.5 with 73.7% probability. Cliftonville’s recent five-game run of LLWWL, after two straight defeats, and Coleraine’s WWDWL, on a two-game winning streak, add context to the predicted outcome. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home win prediction.

The Cliftonville FC win extends their recent run, as the final score of 2-1 confirmed the model’s pre-match favourite of a home win, a 53% probability that proved correct. The match also delivered on the model’s selections: Over 1.5 goals, with a 74.3% chance, hit, and Under 3.5 goals, at 73.7%, also hit. Cliftonville’s 2-1 victory matched the most likely 2-goal total (26% probability) and the 1-0, 1-1, and 2-0 scorelines that dominated the distribution. Coleraine’s 3-0 win over Portadown before this game had set a positive tone, but the home side’s form and the model’s predictions aligned perfectly, securing a successful outcome for the Pythia model.