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Cliftonville FC vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Cliftonville FC face Coleraine FC in a match that feels almost a coin toss, with the model favouring a home win but the margins are razor thin. The probabilities sit at 38% for Cliftonville, 30% for a draw, and 32% for Coleraine, so the favourite outcome is a 1-0 victory for the hosts. On average, the game should see 2.5 goals, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.1% probability, even though the model pick is a home win.

Cliftonville’s home form shows they average one goal scored and 1.1 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Coleraine’s away record is stronger, with 1.6 goals scored and only one conceded. Recent form adds intrigue: Cliftonville have stumbled after two straight losses, whereas Coleraine come off a two-game winning streak.

The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 76.1% and Over 1.5 goals at 72.3%. No other outcomes are given a win probability. This balanced preview underscores how fine the margins are in this Premiership clash.

Results analysis

Cliftonville FC extended their recent form, turning a run of two defeats into a win against Coleraine FC. The model had picked a home win with a 38% probability, and the result confirmed the call. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 proved wrong, but the actual 1-0 outcome matched the model’s 27% chance of a 2-goal total. The Under 3.5 selection hit, with a 76.1% probability, while the Over 1.5 missed despite a 72.3% chance. Overall, the model’s favourite and key selections performed well, delivering a balanced and accurate forecast for the match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cliftonville FC win✓ Hit
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W21W32W12L12L02L10W00D20WA·LIN24/08H·GLE30/08A·CAR06/09H·BAL13/09A·DUN20/09H·POR27/09H·LAR18/10A·CAR25/10H·LIN02/11H·DUN08/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.101.810.881.501.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.261.261.001.101.561.44
vs Weaker (11)2.360.823.170.501.401.20
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W12L21W12L31W40W20W22D51W11DA·POR13/09H·GLE19/09H·CAR27/09A·BAN04/10A·BAL11/10H·DUN18/10A·POR25/10H·LIN28/10H·GLE01/11A·LIN08/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.931.811.001.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.581.001.571.001.601.00
vs Weaker (6)2.330.673.501.001.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.6%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
Cliftonville FC goals ↓
Coleraine FC goals →
01234
09.6%8.5%5.8%2.3%0.7%
19.6%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
27.1%8.4%4.9%1.9%0.6%
33.1%3.6%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cliftonville FC goals (down), columns = Coleraine FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Annagh United
1.50
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Ballymena United
1.03
Bangor
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Glenavon FC
0.74
Cliftonville FC is 0.75 points worse than Coleraine FC in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 2.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Annagh United
2.00
Glentoran
1.92
Larne
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Glenavon FC
0.97
Cliftonville FC is 0.75 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Glenavon FC
1.82
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Cliftonville FC is 0.59 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L02L00D02L10W00D00DA·LIN24/08H·GLE30/08A·CAR06/09H·BAL13/09A·DUN20/09H·POR27/09H·LAR18/10A·CAR25/10H·LIN02/11H·DUN08/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.380.380.430.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.260.530.200.500.330.56
vs Weaker (11)0.640.360.670.170.600.60
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D02L20W20W00D02L10W00DA·POR13/09H·GLE19/09H·CAR27/09A·BAN04/10A·BAL11/10H·DUN18/10A·POR25/10H·LIN28/10H·GLE01/11A·LIN08/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.810.440.570.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.670.420.790.430.500.40
vs Weaker (6)0.830.171.000.500.750.00
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W11D31W10W12L00D00D00D20WA·LIN24/08H·GLE30/08A·CAR06/09H·BAL13/09A·DUN20/09H·POR27/09H·LAR18/10A·CAR25/10H·LIN02/11H·DUN08/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.631.440.501.070.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.740.800.601.220.89
vs Weaker (11)1.730.452.500.330.800.60
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W02L10W10W11D20W20W20W41W11DA·POR13/09H·GLE19/09H·CAR27/09A·BAN04/10A·BAL11/10H·DUN18/10A·POR25/10H·LIN28/10H·GLE01/11A·LIN08/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.000.561.070.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.920.580.790.571.100.60
vs Weaker (6)1.500.502.500.501.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Cliftonville FC and Coleraine FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Cliftonville FC and Coleraine FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Cliftonville FC and Coleraine FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Cliftonville FC and Coleraine FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
CF wins
4
Draws
0
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cliftonville FC vs Coleraine FC · H/A from CF
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HCF Vs Coleraine FC0-0
11/05/25AColeraine FC Vs CF0-2
18/03/25AColeraine FC Vs CF2-2
04/02/25AColeraine FC Vs CF0-0
22/10/24HCF Vs Coleraine FC2-1
06/04/24AColeraine FC Vs CF2-2
10/02/24HCF Vs Coleraine FC4-1
28/10/23AColeraine FC Vs CF1-2

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts2-0
02/11/25HCF Vs Linfield0-0
25/10/25ACarrick Rangers Vs CF0-1
18/10/25HCF Vs Larne0-2
27/09/25HCF Vs Portadown1-2
20/09/25ADungannon Swifts Vs CF2-1
13/09/25HCF Vs Ballymena United3-2
06/09/25ACarrick Rangers Vs CF1-2
30/08/25HCF Vs Glenavon FC3-1
24/08/25ALinfield Vs CF1-0

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ALinfield Vs CF1-1
01/11/25HCF Vs Glenavon FC5-1
28/10/25HCF Vs Linfield2-2
25/10/25APortadown Vs CF0-2
18/10/25HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts4-0
11/10/25ABallymena United Vs CF1-3
04/10/25ABangor Vs CF2-1
27/09/25HCF Vs Carrick Rangers2-1
19/09/25HCF Vs Glentoran1-2
13/09/25APortadown Vs CF1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.48
HomeWLLDW1.72
AwayLLWLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.662.442.88
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.521.601.44
Conceded1.140.841.44
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet34%52%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.70
HomeLWWDW1.84
AwayWLWWD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.842.842.84
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.681.721.64
Conceded1.161.121.20
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
7326+47
2.6
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.7
-
2Coleraine FCColeraine FC3880
66%
2.1
8337+46
3.2
87%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.0
-
3GlentoranGlentoran3877
61%
2.0
7338+35
2.9
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
4LinfieldLinfield3969
51%
1.8
6434+30
2.5
72%
49%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.60.9
-
5Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3953
38%
1.4
6561+4
3.2
82%
62%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.6
-
6Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC3953
38%
1.4
5661-5
3.0
77%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.6
-
7Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4152
41%
1.3
4882-34
3.2
83%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.22.0
-
8PortadownPortadown3844
34%
1.2
4466-22
2.9
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.7
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
26%
1.0
4658-12
2.7
89%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.5
-
10BangorBangor3839
26%
1.0
4165-24
2.8
79%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.7
-
11Crusaders FCCrusaders FC4039
28%
1.0
5285-33
3.4
85%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.32.1
-
12Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3828
21%
0.7
3769-32
2.8
79%
58%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.8
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
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Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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