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Clyde vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
32%
29%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.76
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.42
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✓ Hit
38.4%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.89
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W11D02L12L01L00D02L21W22DA·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.631.131.530.531.73
vs Stronger (29)0.861.661.131.530.571.79
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D11D11D31W42W10W02L01L31WA·ELG29/04H·STR06/05A·BON05/08H·SPA12/08H·FOR19/08A·STE26/08H·EAS02/09A·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.241.061.231.31
vs Stronger (15)0.871.071.001.120.711.00
vs Similar (15)1.601.271.441.001.831.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.88-4.0%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.85+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
Clyde goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
09.5%9.5%7.1%3.1%1.0%
18.4%14%8.4%3.7%1.2%
25.8%7.6%5.0%2.2%0.7%
32.3%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Clyde is 0.53 points worse than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.58).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Clyde is 0.28 goals worse than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.56).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Clyde is 0.39 goals worse than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 2.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

10045724323721452643999451039879A·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

604222222211322112216444252241A·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 8.0 · Total 17.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

270127781710141291113461073796619152726201716101612A·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 6.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

18083117773479954741051031111814716141114154H·STRH·PETA·ELGH·EASA·STEH·FORH·SPAA·BONH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1002332112641132321255131014532H·STRH·PETA·ELGH·EASA·STEH·FORH·SPAA·BONH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

280111014911913151297975121378131121232028211612251524H·STRH·PETA·ELGH·EASA·STEH·FORH·SPAA·BONH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.83.84.03.621.321.121.5
vs Stronger (48)9.69.59.73.94.03.721.321.121.4
vs Similar (2)11.5-11.51.5-1.522.0-22.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%44%44%50%56%44%48%48%48%
% under line56%56%56%50%44%56%52%52%52%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.79.84.64.25.020.520.220.7
vs Stronger (26)9.79.79.64.64.74.521.421.421.4
vs Similar (24)10.911.89.94.63.75.719.519.119.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%65%54%68%62%75%40%35%46%
% under line40%35%46%32%38%25%60%65%54%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.5
Dumbarton
10.3
Stranraer
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
Spartans
9.2
Peterhead
9.2
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Peterhead
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
East Fife
4.1
Stranraer
4.0
Elgin
3.9
Clyde
3.8
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
Forfar
22.6
Peterhead
22.5
Elgin
22.1
Stranraer
21.5
East Fife
21.4
Clyde
21.3
Stenhousemuir
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.3%
Under 21.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L12L00D00D01L20W01LA·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.800.800.270.60
vs Stronger (29)0.550.720.800.800.290.64
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D10W00D01L40W00D01L00D21WA·ELG29/04H·STR06/05A·BON05/08H·SPA12/08H·FOR19/08A·STE26/08H·EAS02/09A·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.590.530.620.54
vs Stronger (15)0.270.530.380.620.140.43
vs Similar (15)0.930.530.780.441.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L01L00D01L00D01L01L21WA·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.930.330.730.271.13
vs Stronger (29)0.310.930.330.730.291.14
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L11D30W02L10W01L01L10WA·ELG29/04H·STR06/05A·BON05/08H·SPA12/08H·FOR19/08A·STE26/08H·EAS02/09A·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.650.530.620.77
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.620.500.570.57
vs Similar (15)0.670.730.670.560.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
CLY wins
1
Draws
5
DUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Dumbarton · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22ADumbarton Vs CLY2-1
12/02/22HCLY Vs Dumbarton1-3
06/11/21ADumbarton Vs CLY1-1
31/07/21HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-3
01/05/21HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
15/04/21HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-1
03/11/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
07/03/20HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AStenhousemuir Vs CLY2-2
23/09/23HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
16/09/23AEast Fife Vs CLY2-0
02/09/23HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
26/08/23AStranraer Vs CLY1-0
19/08/23HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
12/08/23HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-2
05/08/23ASpartans Vs CLY1-1
06/05/23HCLY Vs Montrose2-1
29/04/23ADunfermline Vs CLY2-1

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HDUM Vs Stranraer3-1
23/09/23HDUM Vs Peterhead0-1
16/09/23AElgin Vs DUM2-0
02/09/23HDUM Vs East Fife1-0
26/08/23AStenhousemuir Vs DUM2-4
19/08/23HDUM Vs Forfar3-1
12/08/23HDUM Vs Spartans1-1
05/08/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs DUM1-1
06/05/23HDUM Vs Stranraer1-1
29/04/23AElgin Vs DUM1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD0.66
HomeWLLDW1.00
AwayLDLLD0.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%24%4%
AVG goals2.722.962.48
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored0.881.120.64
Conceded1.841.841.84
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners9.649.489.80
Cards3.763.963.56
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.68
HomeDWWLW1.88
AwayWLDWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals2.522.232.83
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %28%19%38%
Scored1.401.381.42
Conceded1.120.851.42
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners10.2610.739.75
Cards4.604.195.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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