PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Clyde vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
55%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Clyde are tipped to lift the win at home, with a 55% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a Dumbarton win. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Clyde’s home form shows they average 1.67 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Dumbarton, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.89 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 83%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.3% and Over 2.5 cards at 71.5%. These picks reflect the expected flow of the game and the teams’ recent performances.

Results analysis

The match saw Clyde extend a two-game winning run, while Dumbarton struggled after two straight defeats. The Pythia model’s favourite, a home win, proved accurate as Clyde secured a 2-0 victory. The model’s pre-match probability for a home win was 55%. The suggested selections performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 83%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.1%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 79.3%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 71.5%. All four picks settled as predicted, confirming the model’s overall accuracy for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.63
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.82
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.21
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W00D13L11D12L21W13L02L31W20WH·EDI21/02A·DUM24/02H·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.731.131.731.00
vs Stronger (25)1.841.081.751.251.920.92
vs Similar (5)1.201.001.670.670.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D11D30W20W11D21W22D11D21WA·EAS21/02H·CLY24/02A·STI28/02H·SPA07/03H·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.631.501.441.071.86
vs Stronger (11)1.181.551.671.330.601.80
vs Similar (19)1.371.681.401.501.331.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.55-3.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.25+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0 ✓
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
Clyde goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
06.4%4.6%3.1%1.1%0.3%
18.9%12%5.7%2.0%0.5%
29.2%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.7%6.1%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.7%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Clyde is 0.44 points better than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Clyde is 0.31 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Clyde is 0.56 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 5.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

15053105941925348663445281513107714987A·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EASA·DUMH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

8012222112144132313433242384547A·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EASA·DUMH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

29081381310101111148813101017121511121421212022222120292626A·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EASA·DUMH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1601061862637631047844434169891313111287H·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STIH·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

50232121122213131325212243445H·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STIH·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 8.6 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

260111112612915895755989111516922182123141214172625H·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STIH·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.79.44.03.84.122.123.520.9
vs Stronger (42)10.211.29.33.93.84.021.823.420.2
vs Similar (8)9.08.09.64.24.04.423.924.023.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%57%33%62%54%69%53%67%42%
% under line56%43%67%38%46%31%47%33%58%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.49.53.23.52.820.820.920.7
vs Stronger (24)10.813.28.62.72.82.620.819.821.8
vs Similar (26)10.210.210.33.74.13.120.821.619.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%61%43%42%52%30%43%48%38%
% under line48%39%57%58%48%70%57%52%62%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Dumbarton
10.6
East Kilbride
10.5
Elgin
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Clyde
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.2
Forfar
4.5
Elgin
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Spartans
4.2
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.1
Dumbarton
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.7
Forfar
24.4
Edinburgh City
24.1
Elgin
22.5
Stranraer
22.4
Clyde
22.4
Annan Athletic
22.1
Stirling
21.0
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.7%
Under 21.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W00D00D00D11D01L21W10WH·EDI21/02A·DUM24/02H·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.600.530.800.40
vs Stronger (25)0.760.480.670.580.850.38
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.330.330.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D01L00D20W01L00D02L10W10WA·EAS21/02H·CLY24/02A·STI28/02H·SPA07/03H·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.620.690.291.07
vs Stronger (11)0.360.820.670.500.001.20
vs Similar (19)0.530.890.600.800.441.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D03L11D12L21W02L01L10W10WH·EDI21/02A·DUM24/02H·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.130.600.930.60
vs Stronger (25)1.080.601.080.671.080.54
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.330.330.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W30W00D10W21W20W01L11DA·EAS21/02H·CLY24/02A·STI28/02H·SPA07/03H·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.880.750.790.79
vs Stronger (11)0.820.731.000.830.600.60
vs Similar (19)0.840.790.800.700.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
CLY wins
2
Draws
4
DUM wins

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Dumbarton · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/26ADumbarton Vs CLY0-0
01/11/25HCLY Vs Dumbarton3-1
02/08/25ADumbarton Vs CLY2-1
13/04/24ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
17/02/24HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
23/12/23ADumbarton Vs CLY4-4
07/10/23HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-4
30/04/22ADumbarton Vs CLY2-1

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs CLY0-2
04/04/26HCLY Vs Stirling3-1
28/03/26AElgin Vs CLY2-0
24/03/26AStranraer Vs CLY3-1
21/03/26HCLY Vs Stranraer2-1
14/03/26ASpartans Vs CLY2-1
07/03/26AForfar Vs CLY1-1
28/02/26HCLY Vs East Kilbride1-3
24/02/26ADumbarton Vs CLY0-0
21/02/26HCLY Vs Edinburgh City5-0

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HDUM Vs Stirling2-1
04/04/26AStranraer Vs DUM1-1
28/03/26HDUM Vs Forfar2-2
21/03/26HDUM Vs Annan Athletic2-1
14/03/26AElgin Vs DUM1-1
10/03/26HDUM Vs Stranraer2-0
07/03/26HDUM Vs Spartans3-0
28/02/26AStirling Vs DUM1-1
24/02/26HDUM Vs Clyde0-0
21/02/26AEast Kilbride Vs DUM3-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.44
HomeDWLWW1.50
AwayDLLLW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.903.042.77
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %34%46%23%
Scored1.641.751.54
Conceded1.261.291.23
BTTS68%75%62%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners10.0010.719.38
Cards4.404.334.46
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.22
HomeWWWDW1.30
AwayLLDDD1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%37%26%
AVG goals3.042.813.30
Over 1.5 %88%85%91%
Over 2.5 %62%70%52%
Over 3.5 %36%30%43%
Scored1.401.301.52
Conceded1.641.521.78
BTTS66%63%70%
Clean Sheet18%26%9%
Corners10.4811.399.48
Cards3.644.133.10

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches