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Clyde vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.26
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.32
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.93
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D12L21W11D02L12L01L00D02LH·FC 15/04A·PET22/04A·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.631.001.530.471.73
vs Stronger (29)0.761.661.001.530.501.79
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W13L10W03L01L00D12L11D15L20WH·FOR15/04A·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.700.871.270.872.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.732.270.751.250.712.86
vs Weaker (19)0.951.370.911.271.001.50
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.89-4.1%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.85+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
Clyde goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
09.5%7.4%4.5%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.1%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Clyde is 0.06 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Clyde is 0.31 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Clyde is 0.03 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 3.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1404323721452643910444451039879148A·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUNA·PETH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802222113221122144114425224182A·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUNA·PETH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.2 · Total 18.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

27017101412911134610737966101116627262017161016122122A·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MONA·DUNA·PETH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 3.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1407736253564565713242314978101112465H·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 1.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601114231111211260412201H·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 23.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3309111122127811141512182101113814101320331919293012242223H·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.83.73.93.621.521.521.6
vs Stronger (48)9.59.49.63.83.93.721.521.521.5
vs Similar (2)11.5-11.51.5-1.522.0-22.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%44%44%48%52%44%50%52%48%
% under line56%56%56%52%48%56%50%48%52%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.28.63.83.64.122.221.822.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)8.49.27.73.43.43.422.222.821.7
vs Weaker (32)9.29.19.24.13.64.522.321.323.3
% over line42%44%40%56%52%60%51%44%58%
% under line58%56%60%44%48%40%49%56%42%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.5
Dumbarton
10.1
Stranraer
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Spartans
9.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
East Fife
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Elgin
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Peterhead
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.2
East Fife
4.1
Stranraer
3.9
Elgin
3.8
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
22.9
Peterhead
22.7
Forfar
22.4
Elgin
22.2
Clyde
21.5
East Fife
21.3
Stranraer
21.1
Stenhousemuir
20.6
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
15.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.1%
Under 9.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.4%
Under 21.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L11D00D10W01L12L00D00D01LH·FC 15/04A·PET22/04A·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.670.800.330.60
vs Stronger (29)0.520.720.670.800.360.64
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D00D01L00D00D10W02L10WH·FOR15/04A·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.470.670.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.550.250.750.430.43
vs Weaker (19)0.530.680.550.640.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L21W01L01L00D01L00D01LH·FC 15/04A·PET22/04A·DUN29/04H·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.930.330.730.131.13
vs Stronger (29)0.240.930.330.730.141.14
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L10W03L00D00D12L01L13L10WH·FOR15/04A·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.070.400.600.401.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.361.730.500.500.292.43
vs Weaker (19)0.420.680.360.640.500.75
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
CLY wins
0
Draws
4
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Elgin · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/19HCLY Vs Elgin2-0
09/03/19AElgin Vs CLY2-1
17/11/18AElgin Vs CLY1-3
22/09/18HCLY Vs Elgin4-1
13/03/18HCLY Vs Elgin1-0
06/01/18AElgin Vs CLY2-1
28/10/17HCLY Vs Elgin2-4
19/08/17AElgin Vs CLY3-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23AEast Fife Vs CLY2-0
02/09/23HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
26/08/23AStranraer Vs CLY1-0
19/08/23HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
12/08/23HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-2
05/08/23ASpartans Vs CLY1-1
06/05/23HCLY Vs Montrose2-1
29/04/23ADunfermline Vs CLY2-1
22/04/23APeterhead Vs CLY1-1
15/04/23HCLY Vs FC Edinburgh2-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23HELG Vs Dumbarton2-0
02/09/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG5-1
26/08/23HELG Vs East Fife1-1
19/08/23ASpartans Vs ELG2-1
12/08/23AForfar Vs ELG0-0
05/08/23HELG Vs Stranraer0-1
06/05/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG3-0
29/04/23HELG Vs Dumbarton1-0
22/04/23AStranraer Vs ELG3-1
15/04/23HELG Vs Forfar2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.64
HomeWWLLD1.00
AwayDLDLL0.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%24%4%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored0.861.120.60
Conceded1.861.801.92
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet12%20%4%
Corners9.609.449.76
Cards3.723.883.56
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.06
HomeWWLDW1.20
AwayLLDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.722.363.08
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.621.281.96
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners8.909.168.64
Cards3.843.564.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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