Clyde are tipped to edge Kelty Hearts, with the model picking a home win and a 45 % chance of victory, 27 % for a draw and 29 % for an away win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely scoreline is a tidy 1-1 draw, a 12.5 % probability. Clyde’s home form shows they average 2.25 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded against stronger opposition, while Kelty Hearts, playing away against weaker teams, manage just 0.25 goals scored and concede 1.25. The model’s selections favour a low-scoring game: Under 7.5 (99 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96 %), Under 5.5 (92.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (91.6 %), Home +2 handicap (87.4 %), Away under 2.5 goals (86.4 %) and Under 4.5 (83.1 %). Clyde’s recent two-game winning run and a 3-0 victory over Forfar contrast with Kelty Hearts’ recent win over Dumbarton, setting the stage for a competitive but likely low-scoring contest.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win
49.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.40
2.36
0.79
1.19
1.94
vs Stronger (24)
1.83
1.50
2.36
0.82
1.38
2.08
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.00
2.33
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.57
1.14
1.43
0.81
1.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
1.33
1.50
1.25
0.20
1.40
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
Clyde goals ↓
Kelty Hearts goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
5.6%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.9%
12%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.6%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.8%
5.4%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Kelty Hearts goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Clyde is 0.80 points better than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Clyde is 0.80 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Clyde is 0.80 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kelty Hearts
For 5.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.3
9.2
2.8
2.7
3.0
21.2
22.3
20.1
vs Stronger (41)
10.2
11.2
9.3
2.8
2.6
3.0
20.5
22.4
18.7
vs Similar (9)
7.7
7.0
8.7
2.8
3.0
2.5
24.0
22.0
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
50%
33%
42%
31%
54%
42%
56%
28%
% under line
58%
50%
67%
58%
69%
46%
58%
44%
72%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.9
9.9
3.4
3.1
3.7
23.8
23.3
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
-
2.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (35)
9.4
9.4
9.5
3.8
3.3
4.2
23.5
23.1
23.9
vs Weaker (14)
9.1
7.5
10.8
2.6
2.6
2.6
24.8
24.2
25.2
% over line
43%
44%
42%
54%
52%
56%
62%
50%
74%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
46%
48%
44%
38%
50%
26%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.9%
Under 21.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Clyde or Draw
75.8%
Avg Implied -
49%
26%
24%
covers Clyde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde or Kelty Hearts
73.7%
Avg Implied -
49%
26%
24%
covers Clyde + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kelty Hearts
50.6%
Avg Implied -
49%
26%
24%
covers Draw + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Clyde over/under 0.5
Over
81.6%
Under
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5
Over
67.7%
Under
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5
Over
31.2%
Under
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Clyde, so a minus line means Clyde give that many goals of a start and Kelty Hearts receive them. At -1, Clyde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Clyde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Clyde)
Clyde -2
11.8%
Draw -2
15.4%
Kelty Hearts +2
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Clyde)
Clyde -1
27.3%
Draw -1
22.2%
Kelty Hearts +1
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Clyde)
Clyde +1
75.8%
Draw +1
14.4%
Kelty Hearts -1
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Clyde)
Clyde +2
90.1%
Draw +2
6.9%
Kelty Hearts -2
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.36
0.29
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (24)
1.00
0.58
1.45
0.27
0.62
0.85
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.50
0.20
0.60
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.89
1.00
0.75
0.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.7%
Under 0.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
27.9%
Under 1.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.8%
Under 2.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.5%
Under
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
1.00
0.50
0.62
1.19
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
0.92
0.91
0.55
0.77
1.23
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.71
0.79
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.10
0.80
0.90
0.70
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
0.22
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.1%
Under 0.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.5%
Under 1.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.3%
Under 2.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2H
Over
67.9%
Under
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.0%
Under
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
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No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Clyde and Kelty Hearts have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Clyde and Kelty Hearts have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Clyde and Kelty Hearts have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
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Elgin
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Stirling
Dumbarton